Duplex
877 22nd Ave S · St. Petersburg, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Investor Special in St. Pete! Duplex priced at only $99.9K with ARV $300K+ – this one is a no-brainer for your next project. Property needs full rehab but offers huge upside potential. Two units make this an excellent BRRRR, flip, or rental cash-flow opportunity. Located minutes from downtown St. Pete, major highways, and the beaches. Don’t miss out – deals with this kind of spread are rare!
Key facts
- Two units
- Full rehab
- Duplex
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as residential income with 2 total units; Unit sizes: 2-bedroom unit ~750 heated sq ft; 1-bedroom unit ~580 heated sq ft
- Financial info: Annual net income listed as $0.00; Pro forma values noted: 2-bedroom unit pro forma 1600; 1-bedroom unit pro forma 1200; Calculated list price per sq ft available (data point)
- HOA & community: No HOA or association
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Water source: see remarks; Sewer: Other; Utilities: Other
- Home design: Duplex (residential income property); Total of 1 building; Property condition listed as fixer
- Construction: Frame construction; Other-type roof; Crawlspace and other foundation details; Building area (living area) approximately 1,330 sq ft
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Lot dimensions approximately 47 x 125; Lot size about 0.14 acres (≈563 m²)
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliances or features listed
- Bedrooms: Total of 3 bedrooms; Unit mix: one 2-bedroom unit and one 1-bedroom unit
- Flooring: No flooring information provided
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No notable interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 37.3% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,303/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 1386% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 37.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 110.63%
- DSCR
- 5.92
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.70×
- Total profit
- $131,404
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.74×
- Total profit
- $272,492
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33705
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 308
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,303 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$255 /mo · $3,060/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$904
- Net cashflow
- $2,512
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $4,302 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $2,151 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $2,151 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,303 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2310 21st St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $3,460 | $2.31 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1735 25th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $3,250 | $2.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-23$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,060 · $255/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,060 · $255/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,636
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$3,060
- − Insurance
- −$1,297
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,131
- − Management
- −$4,131
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $30,515
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,324
- After-tax cash flow
- $22,825/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Petersburg
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Petersburg, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 249,151
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,939
- Household income
- $73,027
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1386.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 41% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -540.28%
- Current HPI
- 388.3086
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.13%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+21.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,060 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…