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877 22nd Ave S Duplex
D Composite 44.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

877 22nd Ave S · St. Petersburg, FL 33705
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,330 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1948 6,064 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Investor Special in St. Pete! Duplex priced at only $99.9K with ARV $300K+ – this one is a no-brainer for your next project. Property needs full rehab but offers huge upside potential. Two units make this an excellent BRRRR, flip, or rental cash-flow opportunity. Located minutes from downtown St. Pete, major highways, and the beaches. Don’t miss out – deals with this kind of spread are rare!

Key facts

  • Two units
  • Full rehab
  • Duplex

Tags

DUPLEXFULL REHABHUGE UPSIDE POTENTIALTWO UNITSCASH-FLOW OPPORTUNITYMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as residential income with 2 total units; Unit sizes: 2-bedroom unit ~750 heated sq ft; 1-bedroom unit ~580 heated sq ft
  • Financial info: Annual net income listed as $0.00; Pro forma values noted: 2-bedroom unit pro forma 1600; 1-bedroom unit pro forma 1200; Calculated list price per sq ft available (data point)
  • HOA & community: No HOA or association

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Water source: see remarks; Sewer: Other; Utilities: Other
  • Home design: Duplex (residential income property); Total of 1 building; Property condition listed as fixer
  • Construction: Frame construction; Other-type roof; Crawlspace and other foundation details; Building area (living area) approximately 1,330 sq ft
  • Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Lot dimensions approximately 47 x 125; Lot size about 0.14 acres (≈563 m²)

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliances or features listed
  • Bedrooms: Total of 3 bedrooms; Unit mix: one 2-bedroom unit and one 1-bedroom unit
  • Flooring: No flooring information provided
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No notable interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry features: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 37.3% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,303/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 1386% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.31%
Cap rate
37.27%
Cash-on-cash
110.63%
DSCR
5.92
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.70×
Total profit
$131,404
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
10.74×
Total profit
$272,492
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33705

Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,303 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$255 /mo · $3,060/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$904
Net cashflow
$2,512

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,123
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 37%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,303

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2310 21st St S Saint Petersburg, FL 5.0 3.0 1500 $3,460 $2.31 4d 1 0.91mi
1735 25th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 5.0 2.0 1453 $3,250 $2.24 24d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-04-23
    listed $99,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,060 · $255/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,060 · $255/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$51,636
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$3,060
− Insurance
−$1,297
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,131
− Management
−$4,131
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$30,515
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$7,324
After-tax cash flow
$22,825/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Petersburg

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Petersburg, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
249,151
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,939
Household income
$73,027
Rent vs Own
41.5% rent · 58.5% own
Severe rent burden
1386.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 41% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -540.28%
Current HPI
388.3086
Rent YoY
▼ -0.13%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+21.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,060 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…