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646 S 35th St
B+ Composite 76.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$97,999

646 S 35th St · Louisville, KY 40211
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,636 sqft · SingleFamily · 29 Days on market
Built 1905 4,480 sqft lot Est $155k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention investors! Welcome to 646 S 35th Street, a spacious 2 story home looking for its next owner. This large home features 4 spacious bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and an unfinished basement. As you enter the home you will find a cozy living room area, a larger dining room area, kitchen and the convenience of a first floor bedroom and half bath. As you make your way to the second floor, you will find 3 more spacious bedrooms and a huge full bath. The unfinished basement is ready for your finishing or is a perfect area for storage. One hidden gem is the attic area which could also be finished out with the right idea and vision. There is a nice back yard perfect for entertaining. The home does n

Key facts

  • 4,480 sq ft lot
  • Built 1905
  • Listed 28 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Traditional single-family residence; 2 stories; Built in 1905
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Poured concrete foundation
  • Exterior features: Wood and chain-link fencing; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 128

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Separate dining room on the first floor; Living room on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 1 bedroom on the first floor (first-floor primary bedroom); 3 bedrooms on the second floor
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the second floor; 1 half bathroom on the first floor
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; 4 closets; Basement (unfinished)
  • Laundry & utility: No first-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,440/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1483% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $677 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 3% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $98k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,529 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.56%
Cash-on-cash
22.40%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$155,420
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
714 Dearborn Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,631 (-0%) 1mo $110,000 $67 77
633 S 36th St 0.08mi 4/1.5 1,478 (-10%) 7mo $150,000 $101 72
816 Dearborn Ave 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,628 (-0%) 2mo $63,500 $39 70
824 S 36th St 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,568 (-4%) 5mo $120,000 $77 70
624 S 39th St 0.37mi 4/2.5 1,596 (-2%) 5mo $180,000 $113 69
634 S 38th St 0.29mi 4/2.0 1,500 (-8%) 5mo $165,000 $110 65
718 S 36th St 0.19mi 4/2.0 1,836 (+12%) 7mo $175,000 $95 61
309 S 41st St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,675 (+2%) 2mo $102,000 $61 54
817 S 36th St 0.32mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,447 (-12%) 7mo $144,000 $100 51
233 S 41st St 0.74mi 4/2.0 1,765 (+8%) 2mo $110,000 $62 47
3712 W Kentucky St 0.56mi 4/3.0 1,877 (+15%) 2mo $215,000 $115 40
114 S 33rd St 0.68mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,453 (-11%) 4mo $110,000 $76 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$19,491
Equity at exit
$14,612
10-year hold
IRR
27.0%
Equity multiple
3.58×
Total profit
$70,702
Equity at exit
$8,473

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40211

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
140
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,440 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$514
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $847/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$512

Break-even live

Break-even rent $792
Max offer price $97,999
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,500
Closing costs
$2,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
652 S 37th St #9 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,095 $1.02 23d 1 0.19mi
627 S 38th St Louisville, KY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,349 $1.04 15d 1 0.28mi
803 S 35th St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1486 $1,350 $0.91 23d 1 0.29mi
737 S 33rd St Louisville, KY 4.0 1.0 1356 $1,595 $1.18 23d 1 0.29mi
814 S 33rd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,350 $1.22 3d 1 0.35mi
3819 River Park Dr Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,090 $0.98 20d 1 0.37mi
628 S 39th St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1448 $1,220 $0.84 15d 1 0.37mi
3909 W Broadway Louisville, KY 5.0 2.0 2000 $1,745 $0.87 15d 1 0.41mi
823 S 38th St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 3d 1 0.43mi
820 Hazel St Louisville, KY 4.0 2.0 1872 $1,395 $0.75 2d 1 0.47mi
722 S 40th St Unit NA Louisville, KY 4.0 2.5 1556 $1,700 $1.09 3d 1 0.48mi
836 S 41st St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 19d 1 0.63mi
803 Cecil Ave Louisville, KY 4.0 1.0 1165 $1,449 $1.24 10d 1 0.63mi
714 S 42nd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1078 $1,150 $1.07 15d 1 0.70mi
4129 W Muhammad Ali Blvd Louisville, KY 4.0 2.0 1224 $1,500 $1.23 1d 1 0.71mi
3514 Grand Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1450 $1,295 $0.89 21d 1 0.72mi
247 Cecil Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1083 $1,305 $1.20 19d 1 0.77mi
1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1393 $1,275 $0.92 23d 1 0.80mi
1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1393 $1,275 $0.92 21d 1 0.80mi
2912 Greenwood Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1362 $1,150 $0.84 15d 1 0.81mi
2825 Greenwood Ave #4 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,250 $0.87 23d 1 0.82mi
2821 Greenwood Ave #1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,300 $1.17 23d 1 0.83mi
2711 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1155 $1,100 $0.95 23d 1 0.87mi
2634 Garland Ave Unit A Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1152 $940 $0.82 23d 1 0.87mi
2634 Garland Ave Unit B Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1152 $895 $0.78 20d 1 0.87mi
106 N 40th St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1325 $1,220 $0.92 3d 1 0.91mi
127 N 40th St Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,570 $1.05 3d 1 0.94mi
2708 Greenwood Ave Apt 1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 23d 1 0.95mi
4221 Sunset Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,199 $1.12 23d 1 1.01mi
4220 Sunset Ave Louisville, KY 5.0 1.5 1464 $1,950 $1.33 1d 1 1.02mi
430 S 24th St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1288 $1,400 $1.09 23d 1 1.03mi
2416 Garland Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 2.0 1172 $1,600 $1.37 23d 1 1.05mi
2706 Hale Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 23d 1 1.10mi
2913 Dumesnil St Apt 3 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1112 $740 $0.67 10d 1 1.10mi
2319 W Muhammad Ali Blvd Louisville, KY 4.0 1.0 1644 $1,300 $0.79 15d 1 1.11mi
3901 Jewell Ave Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1069 $1,140 $1.07 20d 1 1.11mi
2529 W Main St #2 Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1404 $1,200 $0.85 23d 1 1.13mi
2508 W Main St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.0 1327 $1,500 $1.13 23d 1 1.14mi
848 S 23rd St Louisville, KY 3.0 1.5 1050 $1,450 $1.38 23d 1 1.15mi
205 N 26th St Louisville, KY 5.0 2.0 1538 $1,700 $1.11 23d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    price $97,999
  2. 2026-04-28
    listed $95,000 Active
  3. 2026-03-31
    historical
  4. 2026-02-27
    listed $114,995 Active
  5. 2026-02-26
    historical
  6. 2026-02-06
    price $113,990
  7. 2026-01-26
    price $113,995
  8. 2025-12-26
    listed $119,995 Active
  9. 2021-07-27
    soldstatus $45,260
  10. 2021-07-23
    soldstatus $45,260 Closed
  11. 2021-04-22
    status Pending
  12. 2021-03-24
    historical Active Under Contract
  13. 2021-03-01
    listed $45,260 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$847 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$847 · $71/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,279
− Mortgage interest
−$5,489
− Property taxes
−$847
− Insurance
−$490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,382
− Management
−$1,382
− Depreciation
−$2,851
Taxable income
$4,837
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,161
After-tax cash flow
$4,985/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
20,407
Household income
$31,749
Rent vs Own
58.6% rent · 41.4% own
Severe rent burden
1483.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.22%
Current HPI
176.337
Rent YoY
▲ 4.87%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+116.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $97,999 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $95,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $114,995 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-02-26 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $113,990 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $113,995 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-12-26 Listed $119,995 Metro Search MLS
  • 2021-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $45,260 Public Records
  • 2021-07-23 Sold (MLS) $45,260 Metro Search MLS
  • 2021-04-22 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2021-03-24 Contingent Metro Search MLS
  • 2021-03-01 Listed $45,260 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $847 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…