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2549 Lynnwood Dr Unit L23
B+ Composite 75.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

2549 Lynnwood Dr Unit L23 · Saw Creek, PA 18302
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,420 sqft · Manufactured · 7 Days on market
Built 1999 Good condition Est $165k · 12% under $60/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 2549 Lynnwood Drive, East Stroudsburg, PA 18302! This beautifully renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom Manufactured Home in Lynnwood Acres offers approximately 1,420 square feet of modern, move-in-ready living space. The spacious open layout features luxury vinyl tile flooring, stylish tile accents, central air, and forced-air heat for year-round comfort. The updated kitchen is the heart of the home, complete with hidden spice racks, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space. Both bathrooms showcase elegant glass vessel sinks and upgraded fixtures, while the oversized primary suite offers two large closets and abundant storage. Situated on a slab foundation for easy access and low m

Key facts

  • Renovated
  • Glass vessel sinks
  • Open layout

Tags

RENOVATEDOPEN LAYOUTUPDATED KITCHENHIDDEN SPICE RACKSGLASS VESSEL SINKSOVERSIZED PRIMARY SUITE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $715 (about $59.58/month); Association includes water, sewer, and trash; Community recreation facilities

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space); Off-street open parking (6 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Double wide mobile home; Residential property
  • Construction: Glass and batt insulation construction materials; Vinyl skirting
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Lot in Lynnwood Acres (residential zoning)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Stone counters; Open floorplan; Recessed lighting; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $145k).
  • Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 4.3% in Saw Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,538 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, schools F.
  • East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 271 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
15.16%
Cash-on-cash
31.65%
DSCR
2.41
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$164,720
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2179 Deer Track Dr 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,632 (+15%) 7mo $216,000 $132 64
7617 Rocky Rdg 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,280 (-10%) 17mo $137,000 $107 44
7816 Dougherty Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,296 (-9%) 20mo $149,900 $116 41
7584 Rocky Ridge Rd 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,215 (-14%) 24mo $102,000 $84 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$44,790
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
34.2%
Equity multiple
4.13×
Total profit
$127,147
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18302

Home prices YoY
-20.6%
Active inventory
271
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,700 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$60
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$567
Net cashflow
$1,071

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,344
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1273 Chateau Dr East Stroudsburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1073 $2,700 $2.52 43d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$60 · $720/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $145,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $145,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,400
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,592
− Management
−$2,592
− HOA
−$720
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$11,256
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,701
After-tax cash flow
$10,150/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This beautifully renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom Manufactured Home in Lynnwood Acres offers modern, move-in-ready living space with updated kitchen and bathrooms. The home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances the home's aesthetic
  • Both painting — refreshes the interior and exterior, making the home more appealing
  • Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances the home's aesthetic

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances the home's aesthetic
  • Both painting — refreshes the interior and exterior, making the home more appealing
  • Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances the home's aesthetic

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Stroudsburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4208670
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$57,142
Composite
30.13/100
National rank
#6332
State rank
#413 of 539 in PA

Livability — Saw Creek

Score
59/100
State rank
#1538
US rank
#20241

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,593

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 17% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.00%
Current HPI
157.9833
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $145,000 PMAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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