23 Grand St · Oneonta, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
City of Oneonta! 4 bedroom , 2 bathroom home on a large corner lot. Bring your skills, vision and restore this home to its former glory! Rooms are large and filled with natural bright light on all ends! No owner financing or rent to own. Being sold as is. Special addendum may apply.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 128 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $566 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 5.2% in Oneonta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#253 in NY, #4,021 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Oneonta City School District (town): math 46% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #374 of 590 in NY (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Greater Plains Elementary School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #1,195 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 284 students, 40% FRL); Oneonta Middle School (math 28% / reading 56%, grade D-, #379 of 729 statewide, top 54%, 378 students, 44% FRL); Oneonta Senior High School (math 92% / reading 75%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 502 students, 37% FRL).
- Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 133 units permitted in Otsego County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Otsego County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.11%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $232,328
- List price
- $114,900
- Delta
- -50.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Central Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,937 (+2%) | 3mo | $257,000 | $133 | 62 |
| 59 Center St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,882 (-0%) | 17mo | $285,370 | $152 | 59 |
| 29-31 Hudson St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,920 (+2%) | 18mo | $300,000 | $156 | 58 |
| 115 Spruce St | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 | 1,764 (-7%) | 8mo | $234,900 | $133 | 58 |
| 503 Main St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,832 (-3%) | 5mo | $190,194 | $104 | 58 |
| 66 Maple St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,856 (-2%) | 15mo | $190,000 | $102 | 55 |
| 56 Hudson St | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 | 1,738 (-8%) | 21mo | $230,000 | $132 | 44 |
| 7 Normal Ave | 0.68mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,712 (-9%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $131 | 43 |
| 3 Normal Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,068 (+9%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $111 | 42 |
| 81 Clinton St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,823 (-4%) | 14mo | $325,000 | $178 | 41 |
| 11 Ivy Ct | 0.54mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,146 (+14%) | 3mo | $271,000 | $126 | 41 |
| 11 Cedar St | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 | 2,127 (+12%) | 14mo | $323,000 | $152 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.07×
- Total profit
- $98,648
- Equity at exit
- $103,511
- IRR
- 34.5%
- Equity multiple
- 9.15×
- Total profit
- $262,209
- Equity at exit
- $223,225
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active · 11 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.3 mo (31%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $281,500 ($163/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 20 d
- This list price
- 17% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -24.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 13820
- Home prices YoY
- 22.7%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,722 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,724/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $566
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $645 | -5% $606 | +0% $566 | +5% $526 | +10% $487 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $430 | -5% $498 | +0% $566 | +5% $634 | +10% $702 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $624 | -0.5pp $595 | base $566 | +0.5pp $536 | +1.0pp $506 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15881 State Highway 8 Masonville, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 93d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- No garageNo driveway
- Utilities
- Public water available (not connected)Sewer available
- Home design
- Single-storyFrame constructionResale propertyStone foundation
- Construction
- Frame constructionStone foundationExisting (previously built)
- Exterior features
- Corner lotIrregular lot
Interior
- Kitchen
- Country-style kitchen
- Bedrooms
- 7 total rooms (includes living areas)
- Flooring
- CarpetVaried flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Heating: see remarks
- Interior features
- Separate/formal living roomCountry kitchenFull basement
- Laundry & utility
- Water heater
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $114,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $114,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $114,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $114,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $114,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $114,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $114,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $114,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $114,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $114,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $114,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $114,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $114,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $114,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $114,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $114,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-17days on market $114,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $114,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $114,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $114,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $114,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $114,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $114,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $114,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-08pricedays on market $114,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $124,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $124,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $124,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $124,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $124,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $124,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $124,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $124,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $124,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $124,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $124,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $124,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $124,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $124,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $124,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $124,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $124,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $124,900 Active 66 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,658
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$1,724
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,653
- − Management
- −$1,653
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $5,276
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,266
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,525/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This home requires moderate renovations, focusing on roof, siding, and fencing repairs, as well as landscaping to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of significant wear
- Major siding — Weathered and peeling
- Major fencing — Old and in need of repair
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and fencing repair — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Roof repair — Critical for structural integrity and safety ↑
- Both Siding repair — Improves aesthetics and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oneonta City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621780
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,631
- Composite
- 43.19/100
- National rank
- #3066
- State rank
- #374 of 590 in NY
Livability — Oneonta
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #253
- US rank
- #4021
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oneonta, NY
- County
- Otsego County · 57,987 people
- City population
- 23,056
- Metro
- Oneonta, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,056
- Household income
- $65,953
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Otsego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,987 people
- By 2030
- 55,403 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 50,336 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 45,715 · -21.2%
- By 2075
- 38,769 · -33.1%
- By 2100
- 33,468 · -42.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Otsego
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.9) · D 46.1% · R 53.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.8pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.9 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+13.0 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 67.86%
- Current HPI
- 366.3391
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Oneonta, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+108.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-08 Price Changed $114,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-06-06 Price Changed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $134,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $139,900 UNYREIS
- 2006-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
- 1999-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,873 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…