21 Lawrence Dr Unit A · Valhalla, NY 10603

$174,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · Condo · 1 Days on market

Built 1951 Average condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +6.2/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Rare opportunity to buy a sponsor unit- avoiding the need for the long and complex board application/interview process. If you can get a mortgage or pay cash, you can buy it. Large 2 bedroom with a separate dining room or use as office space. Freshly painted and redone hardwood floors. Tons of light as the unit has many windows. Older kitchen but has new stainless-steel appliances. The unit faces the courtyard. Parking on the street or in one of the two lots. Garages are currently a waitlist. Rentig allowed after owning and living in the unit for several years. Parking lots have been recently repaved. There are 4 laundry rooms in the complex. The elementary school is next door to the comple

Key facts

• 75 garage spots
• Built 1951

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Association: Edgebrook Estates; Additional monthly assessment of $147.78 (assessment ends Dec. 2029)

Exterior

• Parking: Parking lot with one assigned space; Garage available with 75 garage spaces
• Utilities: Con Edison electric service; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
• Home design: Stock cooperative; Two stories; Entry level: first floor
• Construction: Brick construction
• Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront; Sidewalks in the community

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first floor
• Flooring: Hardwood floors
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Baseboard heat; Hot water heat; Wall/window air conditioning units
• Interior features: First-floor bedroom; No basement; Five total rooms; Two-story unit; entry on first floor; Cats allowed
• Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $175k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
• Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 3.8% in Valhalla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#795 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, commute A; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
• Valhalla Union Free School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #119 of 590 in NY (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Virginia Road Elementary School (317 students, 16% FRL); Valhalla Middle School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B+, #136 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 301 students, 24% FRL); Valhalla High School (math 98% / reading 70%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 429 students, 25% FRL).
• Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $174,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.72% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.34%
• Cash-on-cash: 28.75%
• DSCR: 2.28
• GRM: 4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 21.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.86×
• Total profit: $42,227
• Equity at exit: $26,078

10-year hold

• IRR: 29.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.61×
• Total profit: $127,877
• Equity at exit: $15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10603

• Home prices YoY: -24.2%
• Active inventory: 111
• Price-to-rent: 4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,015 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$917
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$219 /mo · $2,624/yr
• Insurance: −$73
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$633
• Net cashflow: $1,107

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,614

Max offer price $174,900

Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $43,725
• Closing costs: $5,247
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
23 Custis Ave Unit 2nd floor White Plains, NY	3.0	1.0	1100	$3,500	$3.18	43d	1	0.47mi
13 Summitt Pl Valhalla, NY	1.0	1.0	566	$2,500	$4.42	15d	1	0.63mi
4 Wyndover Woods Ln Unit 12 White Plains, NY	2.0	1.0	925	$2,500	$2.70	43d	1	0.79mi
13 Granada Cres #1 White Plains, NY	2.0	2.0	1100	$3,500	$3.18	24d	1	1.05mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-16
   statusdays on market $174,900 Active 1 DOM
2. 2026-06-15
   days on market $174,900 Coming Soon 6 DOM
3. 2026-06-13
   days on market $174,900 Coming Soon 4 DOM
4. 2026-06-10
   remarks 699-char remark
5. 2026-06-10
   listed $174,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $36,179
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,797
• − Property taxes: −$2,624
• − Insurance: −$1,672
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,894
• − Management: −$2,894
• − Depreciation: −$5,088
• Taxable income: $11,210
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,690
• After-tax cash flow: $10,589/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

This condo is in average condition with some cosmetic updates needed. It offers a good opportunity for a fresh paint job and kitchen updates to enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

• Moderate kitchen cabinets — Older and in need of updating
• Minor exterior paint — Some discoloration

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
• Both Updating kitchen cabinets — Improves functionality and resale value
• Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
kitchen cabinets · Older and in need of updating	Moderate	$3,000–15,000
exterior paint · Some discoloration	Minor	$500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items		$3,500–18,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
• Both Updating kitchen cabinets — Improves functionality and resale value ↑
• Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and rental value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Valhalla Union Free School District
• NCES district ID: 3629400
• Math proficiency: 68% ▲ 3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 66% ▲ 7.00%
• Median HH income: $106,068
• Composite: 62.26/100
• National rank: #699
• State rank: #119 of 590 in NY

Livability — Valhalla

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #795
• US rank: #15361

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 7,180
• Population (ZIP): 19,201

Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,028,035 people
• By 2030: 1,051,636 · +2.3%
• By 2040: 1,098,520 · +6.9%
• By 2050: 1,136,044 · +10.5%
• By 2075: 1,196,925 · +16.4%
• By 2100: 1,175,147 · +14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 35% White 34% Black 21% Two or more races 13% Asian 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 3%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 33% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 55% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Indo-European 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Westchester

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -101.72%
• Current HPI: 317.8177
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-09 Coming Soon $174,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid