5300 Highway A1a #205 · Indian River Shores, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$360,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- $1,474 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA with amenities including beach access, elevator(s), pool, tennis courts, and pickleball courts; HOA fee includes cable TV, insurance, sewer, trash, water, common areas and elevator
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage with garage door opener; Guest parking; 1 covered space
- Security: Fire sprinkler system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three phase electric; Cable available
- Home design: Condominium; 4 total stories; North-facing
- Construction: Concrete construction; Composition/shingle roof; Built as resale property
- Exterior features: Zero lot line; Sidewalks; Waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Built-in features; Custom mirrors; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in a laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $360k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-271 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $312k (13.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $360k).
- Recommended offer: $312k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 1.5% in Indian River Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#517 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.0%/yr); 498 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($150k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 367 days — a 12% lower offer ($317k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $139k; list at $360k implies a 159% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 34% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 367 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.44%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-51,643
- Equity at exit
- $53,677
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $41,446
- Equity at exit
- $31,126
Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32963
- Rents YoY
- 11.0%
- Active inventory
- 498
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,377 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,888
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,810/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$1,474
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$919
- Net cashflow
- $-271
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $90,000
- Closing costs
- $10,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5300 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 214 Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $5,500 | $4.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 5300 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 408 Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $9,000 | $6.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 5300 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 314 Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,000 | $2.31 | 21d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 5300 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 305 Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $6,000 | $4.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 5300 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy #301 Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $7,000 | $5.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 5400 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit B8 Indian River Shores, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5400 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit I24 Indian River Shores, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5400 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 5400A11 Indian River Shores, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5400 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit A19 Indian River Shores, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $3,000 | $3.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 5400 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 5151 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 514 Indian River Shores, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,750 | $1.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5151 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 305 Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1339 | $2,300 | $1.72 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5151 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 512 Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1339 | $4,600 | $3.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5101 Highway A1A #109 Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $5,500 | $2.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5151 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 516 Indian River Shores, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 937 | $3,000 | $3.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 131 Peppertree Dr #21 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $3,300 | $1.85 | 13d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5536 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 211 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1632 | $6,000 | $3.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5554 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 201 Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $12,000 | $7.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5554 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 202 Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1632 | $12,000 | $7.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5100 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 58G INDN RIV SHRS, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $6,000 | $5.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 219 Park Shores Cir Unit 219B Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1583 | $3,000 | $1.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 902 Tides Rd Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1810 | $8,500 | $4.70 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 907 Tropic Dr Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $10,000 | $5.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 101 E Park Shores Cir Unit 2 Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,600 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 133 E Park Shores Cir Unit 7E Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $3,000 | $1.83 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 133 E Park Shores Cir Unit 4E Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $3,500 | $2.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4890 Bethel Creek Dr #5 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1244 | $2,200 | $1.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4836 Bethel Creek Dr Unit 4836 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4834 Bethel Creek Dr Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,900 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4800 Highway A1A #207 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $7,000 | $3.78 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4800 Highway A1A #116 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1822 | $3,000 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4800 Highway A1A #506 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $4,500 | $2.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4601 Highway A1A #103 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4601 Highway A1A #202 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $3,250 | $2.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4600 Highway A1A #507 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $5,000 | $3.57 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4600 Highway A1A #409 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1725 | $7,500 | $4.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4450 Highway A1A #404 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $3,499 | $3.24 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4450 Highway A1A #303 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $3,500 | $3.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4450 Florida A1A Unit 102 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,900 | $3.90 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4150 Highway A1A #111 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,600 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,474 · $17,688/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-30days on market $360,000 Active 367 DOM
-
2025-12-10price $360,000
-
2025-12-10price $360,000
-
2025-05-27$380,000 Active
-
2025-05-27$380,000 Active
-
2001-04-18soldstatus $139,250
-
1999-04-07soldstatus $125,000
-
1989-08-01soldstatus $91,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,810 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,988 · $249/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,178/yr (+$98/mo · 65.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,527
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,166
- − Property taxes
- −$1,810
- − Insurance
- −$2,598
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,202
- − Management
- −$4,202
- − HOA
- −$17,688
- − Depreciation
- −$10,473
- Taxable loss
- −$8,611
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,067
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,187/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — Indian River Shores
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #517
- US rank
- #9512
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indian River Shores, FL
- County
- Indian River County · 143,738 people
- City population
- 15,008
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,008
- Household income
- $149,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 119.0
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.47%
- Current HPI
- 312.0326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.04%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+295.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $360,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $360,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2025-05-27 Listed $380,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-05-27 Listed $380,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2001-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $139,250 Public Records
- 1999-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 1989-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,810 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…