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3018 Florence St
C Composite 57.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

3018 Florence St · Kilgore, TX 75662
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,659 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1948 0.39 ac lot Est $244k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled on a desirable corner lot in Kilgore, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,659 square feet of living space and a unique opportunity to own a property that has been lovingly maintained since it was built in 1948. Full of character and potential, this home is being offered "AS IS" making it an excellent opportunity for buyers looking to personalize a home in a great location. The spacious floor plan provides comfortable living areas, generously sized bedrooms, and plenty of natural light throughout. Adding even more value, the furniture will remain with the home unless the buyer prefers otherwise. The washer, dryer, and additional appliances will also convey with th

Key facts

  • Original owner
  • Natural light
  • Move in ready

Tags

CORNER LOTMOVE IN READYORIGINAL OWNERNATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Exterior features: Paved parking area; Lot approximately 0.3889 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; 3 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.2% in Kilgore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#257 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Kilgore ISD (town): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #498 of 826 in TX (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Rusk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rusk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.44%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$243,873
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1502 Peach St 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,903 (+15%) 4mo $279,000 $147 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-7,708
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$38,092
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75662

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Rents YoY
8.9%
Active inventory
283
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,468 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$255 /mo · $3,059/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$112

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,326
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $192 -5% $152 +0% $112 +5% $73 +10% $33
Rent -10% $-4 -5% $54 +0% $112 +5% $170 +10% $228
Rate -1.0pp $183 -0.5pp $148 base $112 +0.5pp $76 +1.0pp $39

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
633 Harris St Kilgore, TX 2.0 2.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 14d 1 0.94mi
620 Riverside Dr Kilgore, TX 3.0 2.0 1376 $1,495 $1.09 14d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 689-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    listed $140,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,059 · $255/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,059 · $255/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,615
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$3,059
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,409
− Management
−$1,409
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$877
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$210
After-tax cash flow
$1,558/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kilgore ISD
NCES district ID
4825620
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$49,682
Composite
30.72/100
National rank
#6168
State rank
#498 of 826 in TX

Livability — Kilgore

Score
72/100
State rank
#257
US rank
#6044

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kilgore, TX
County
Gregg County · 128,826 people
City population
25,034
Metro
Longview, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,034
Household income
$70,096
Rent vs Own
21.9% rent · 78.1% own
Severe rent burden
486.0

Population outlook (Rusk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
52,498 people
By 2030
52,093 · -0.8%
By 2040
50,866 · -3.1%
By 2050
49,696 · -5.3%
By 2075
48,583 · -7.5%
By 2100
43,265 · -17.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 22% Black 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Rusk

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.4) · D 20.0% · R 79.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.2pp toward R · 2008: -46.3pp · 2024: -59.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.4 2020: R+55.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+51.1 2008: R+46.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.09%
Current HPI
247.1337
Rent YoY
▲ 8.89%
Metro
Longview, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $140,000 LAAR
  • 1973-01-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1969-09-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,059 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…