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319 Ford St
D Composite 40.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$189,900

319 Ford St · Reeves, LA 70658
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,497 sqft · SingleFamily · 105 Days on market
Built 1975 0.69 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Completely renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering approximately 2,497 heated square feet, situated on four city lots. This property beautifully blends rustic charm with modern finishes throughout. The kitchen features quartz countertops, an oversized island perfect for entertaining, and a spacious butler’s pantry providing additional prep and storage space. Open living areas offer plenty of room to gather, while updated fixtures and finishes give the home a fresh, modern feel. Oversized laundry room with abundant workspace and storage. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated while maintaining warmth and character. Situated on four city lots, this property offers rare in-town space and flexibility. All measurements are m/l.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Renovated home
  • Open living areas

Tags

RENOVATED HOMEQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSOVERSIZED ISLANDBUTLER PANTRYOPEN LIVING AREASOVERSIZED LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One-story
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.69 acres; Lot dimensions approximately 383 x 247; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Not specified
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-783/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (6.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (20.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (20.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#341 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Allen Parish (rural): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #36 of 98 in LA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Allen Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Allen County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $53k; list at $190k implies a 258% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,446 (20.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.47%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$18,705
Equity at exit
$85,387
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$72,426
Equity at exit
$131,592

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70658

Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,504 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,146/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$-65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,587
Max offer price $178,366
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    statuslisting id $189,900 Pending 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,900 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,900 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $189,900 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,900 Active 97 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $189,900 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 87 DOM
  16. 2026-03-23
    price $189,900
  17. 2026-03-20
    price $189,900 748-char remark
    Show marketing remark (748 chars)

    Completely renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering approximately 2,497 heated square feet, situated on four city lots. This property beautifully blends rustic charm with modern finishes throughout. The kitchen features quartz countertops, an oversized island perfect for entertaining, and a spacious butler’s pantry providing additional prep and storage space. Open living areas offer plenty of room to gather, while updated fixtures and finishes give the home a fresh, modern feel. Oversized laundry room with abundant workspace and storage. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated while maintaining warmth and character. Situated on four city lots, this property offers rare in-town space and flexibility. All measurements are m/l.

  18. 2026-03-04
    listed $199,900 Active
  19. 2026-03-02
    listed $199,900 Active 748-char remark
    Show marketing remark (748 chars)

    Completely renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering approximately 2,497 heated square feet, situated on four city lots. This property beautifully blends rustic charm with modern finishes throughout. The kitchen features quartz countertops, an oversized island perfect for entertaining, and a spacious butler’s pantry providing additional prep and storage space. Open living areas offer plenty of room to gather, while updated fixtures and finishes give the home a fresh, modern feel. Oversized laundry room with abundant workspace and storage. Every detail has been thoughtfully updated while maintaining warmth and character. Situated on four city lots, this property offers rare in-town space and flexibility. All measurements are m/l.

  20. 2020-08-12
    soldstatus $53,100

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,146 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,146 · $179/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,054
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$2,146
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,444
− Management
−$1,444
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$4,092
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$982
After-tax cash flow
$199/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allen Parish
NCES district ID
2200060
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -46.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -39.00%
Median HH income
$39,440
Composite
28.45/100
National rank
#6751
State rank
#36 of 98 in LA

Livability — Reeves

Score
56/100
State rank
#341
US rank
#22856

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Reeves, LA
City population
896
Population (ZIP)
896

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,056 people
By 2030
24,668 · -1.5%
By 2040
23,964 · -4.4%
By 2050
23,166 · -7.5%
By 2075
21,285 · -15.1%
By 2100
15,904 · -36.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.0% · R 80.0%
2008→2024 swing
-24.7pp toward R · 2008: -36.4pp · 2024: -61.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.0 2020: R+55.7 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+41.7 2008: R+36.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+257.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $189,900 GFPAR
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $189,900 SWLAR
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $199,900 GFPAR
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $199,900 SWLAR
  • 2020-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $53,100 Public Records

Property tax history

+17.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,146 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…