1731 Herbert St · Lansing, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors Welcome! Great 3 bedroom. Currently rented. This property is part of a large portfolio - see attached documents for other properties. 48 hour notice required for all showings. Property sold as-is.
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1916
- Listed 129 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.49%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $74,935
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- 20.10%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 Isbell St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,054 (+1%) | 5mo | $30,000 | $28 | 80 |
| 202 Woodlawn Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,094 (+5%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $32 | 70 |
| 227 Woodlawn Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+8%) | 3mo | $89,900 | $80 | 65 |
| 841 Baker St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-8%) | 0mo | $57,000 | $59 | 65 |
| 512 Woodrow Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-12%) | 5mo | $104,500 | $115 | 60 |
| 1824 Davis Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,118 (+8%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $45 | 60 |
| 1718 Donora St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-14%) | 4mo | $39,900 | $44 | 55 |
| 713 E Greenlawn Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 939 (-10%) | 0mo | $77,500 | $83 | 54 |
| 2305 Forest Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 888 (-15%) | 4mo | $142,200 | $160 | 49 |
| 2311 S Pennsylvania Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,170 (+12%) | 1mo | $133,000 | $114 | 48 |
| 717 Smith Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (+12%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $147 | 45 |
| 2340 S Pennsylvania Ave | 0.66mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+11%) | 4mo | $69,000 | $60 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $8,585
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $44,540
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48910
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,346 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$229 /mo · $2,744/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $325
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1828 Davis Ave Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2528 Forest Ave Lansing, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $1,699 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 401 E Willard Ave Unit 19 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,000 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 920 S Washington Ave Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1016 E Greenlawn Ave Unit 3 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1913 Stirling Ave Unit 1 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 430 Dunlap St Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,450 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 335 E Saint Joseph St Unit 6 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $949 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1223 Bensch St Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 605 S Grand Ave Unit 2 Lansing, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1027 Climax St Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1298 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3031 S Washington Ave Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1100 Malcolm X St Unit B Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $1,050 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 805 Bement St Unit Hosmer 507 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,075 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 507 S Hosmer St Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,075 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 401 S Washington Sq Unit 205 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,355 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 401 S Washington Sq Unit 201 Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1254 | $1,560 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1317 Lenore Ave Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1442 | $850 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 910 Dakin St Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,295 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3518 Davidson Dr Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,115 | $1.31 | 44d | 3 | 1.22mi |
| 208 S Bingham St Lansing, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1815 Potomac Cir Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 113 Pere Marquette Dr Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1065 | $2,250 | $2.11 | 14d | 9 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $90,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-02-09$90,000 Active 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Investors Welcome! Great 3 bedroom. Currently rented. This property is part of a large portfolio - see attached documents for other properties. 48 hour notice required for all showings. Property sold as-is.
-
2026-02-09$90,000 Active 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Investors Welcome! Great 3 bedroom. Currently rented. This property is part of a large portfolio - see attached documents for other properties. 48 hour notice required for all showings. Property sold as-is.
-
2026-02-04historical
-
2025-05-05status Active
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2025-05-05status Pending
-
2025-05-05historical
-
2025-05-04$90,000 Active
-
2025-05-04$90,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,744 · $229/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,744 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,154
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$2,744
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,292
- − Management
- −$1,292
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $2,716
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$652
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,252/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lansing Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2621150
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,453
- Composite
- 18.76/100
- National rank
- #14002
- State rank
- #650 of 760 in MI
Livability — Lansing
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #2182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lansing, MI
- County
- Ingham County · 237,052 people
- City population
- 161,269
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,800
- Household income
- $54,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 300,362 people
- By 2030
- 307,808 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 320,492 · +6.7%
- By 2050
- 333,223 · +10.9%
- By 2075
- 373,693 · +24.4%
- By 2100
- 392,021 · +30.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ingham
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.82%
- Current HPI
- 196.8087
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.71%
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-09 Listed $90,000 Greater Lansing AoR
- 2026-02-04 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-05-05 Relisted — Greater Lansing AoR
- 2025-05-05 Pending — Greater Lansing AoR
- 2025-05-05 Listing Removed — Greater Lansing AoR
- 2025-05-04 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-04 Listed $90,000 Greater Lansing AoR
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,744 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…