3305 Sandlin Rd · Decatur, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly Remodeled, 3bdrm and 1ba, vinyl siding located in Soutwest, Decatur. This property is ready for a new home owner. Recently painted, new flooring and Central Heat and Air this home is move in Ready.
Key facts
- Central heat and air
- New flooring
- Vinyl siding
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (6.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Decatur City (urban): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #66 of 129 in AL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 395 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $155k implies a 148% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.78%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $176,348
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -12.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3204 Sandlin Rd SW | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,271 (+4%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $142 | 82 |
| 3104 Sandlin Rd SW | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,183 (-3%) | 8mo | $168,000 | $142 | 73 |
| 3203 Wheat Ave SW | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,147 (-6%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $153 | 72 |
| 411 Tammy St SW | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,172 (-4%) | 12mo | $100,000 | $85 | 71 |
| 603 Wheeler Dr SW | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,282 (+5%) | 11mo | $189,900 | $148 | 70 |
| 513 Denise Dr SW | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,302 (+7%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $153 | 69 |
| 506 Pumpkin Dr SW | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,111 (-9%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $149 | 68 |
| 3003 Cornville Rd | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (+4%) | 8mo | $179,000 | $141 | 66 |
| 3002 Cotton Pl SW | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,143 (-6%) | 10mo | $177,000 | $155 | 58 |
| 405 SW Brenda St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (+4%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $154 | 56 |
| 401 Brenda St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,255 (+3%) | 13mo | $187,000 | $149 | 52 |
| 317 Conan Gardens St SW | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+8%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $159 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-11,869
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $6,564
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35603
- Active inventory
- 395
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,457 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $781/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $209
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $297 | -5% $253 | +0% $209 | +5% $165 | +10% $121 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $94 | -5% $151 | +0% $209 | +5% $266 | +10% $324 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $287 | -0.5pp $248 | base $209 | +0.5pp $169 | +1.0pp $128 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 Courtney Dr SW Decatur, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1200 | $1,425 | $1.19 | 44d | 6 | 0.62mi |
| 306 Courtney Dr SW Unit 21 Decatur, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $975 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2801 Sandlin Rd SW Decatur, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $999 | $1.55 | 44d | 6 | 0.75mi |
| 3526 Highway 31 S Decatur, AL | 2.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1208 | $985 | $0.82 | 44d | 3 | 1.09mi |
| 4020 Ryan Dr SW Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,825 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4020 Ryan Dr SW Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,850 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2500 Spring Ave SW Decatur, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $987 | $1.20 | 44d | 7 | 1.38mi |
| 4135 Hudson Ct SW , AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1493 | $1,425 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4121 Hudson Ct SW Unit 1 , AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $1,650 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4129 Hudson Ct SW , AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,684 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4113 Hudson Ct SW , AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4119 Hudson Ct SW Unit 1 Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,650 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4117 Hudson Ct SW Unit 1 Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4139 Hudson Ct SW Decatur, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1493 | $1,425 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4131 Hudson Ct SW , AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,684 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4121 Hudson Ct SW , AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,650 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4111 Hudson Ct SW , AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,695 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4115 Hudson Ct SW , AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,450 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $155,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $155,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $155,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $155,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-01$155,000 Active 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Newly Remodeled, 3bdrm and 1ba, vinyl siding located in Soutwest, Decatur. This property is ready for a new home owner. Recently painted, new flooring and Central Heat and Air this home is move in Ready.
-
2020-01-27soldstatus $62,500 Sold 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Sold AS-IS. Good investment property. Short Sale
-
2020-01-10status Pending 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Sold AS-IS. Good investment property. Short Sale
-
2020-01-08historical Contingent 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Sold AS-IS. Good investment property. Short Sale
-
2019-12-03price $62,000 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Sold AS-IS. Good investment property. Short Sale
-
2019-10-23$89,000 Active 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Sold AS-IS. Good investment property. Short Sale
-
2010-02-26soldstatus $75,900
-
2002-07-26soldstatus $62,000
-
1999-04-30soldstatus $63,750
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $781 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $781 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,490
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$781
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,399
- − Management
- −$1,399
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$56
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$14
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,520/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur City
- NCES district ID
- 0101170
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,170
- Composite
- 26.21/100
- National rank
- #7261
- State rank
- #66 of 129 in AL
Livability — Decatur
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #5989
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decatur, AL
- County
- Morgan County · 67,628 people
- City population
- 67,628
- Metro
- Decatur, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,179
- Household income
- $81,490
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 467.0
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,775 people
- By 2030
- 116,979 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 111,800 · -5.9%
- By 2050
- 105,181 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 87,736 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 67,624 · -43.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -52.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.6 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -141.07%
- Current HPI
- 243.157
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Decatur, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+143.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $155,000 VMLS
- 2020-01-27 Sold (MLS) $62,500 VMLS
- 2020-01-10 Pending — VMLS
- 2020-01-08 Contingent — VMLS
- 2019-12-03 Price Changed $62,000 VMLS
- 2019-10-23 Listed $89,000 VMLS
- 2010-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $75,900 Public Records
- 2002-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 1999-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $63,750 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $781 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…