306 Railroad St · Monarch Mill, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all investors, flippers, and those willing to take on a challenge. This vintage cottage is brimming with potential and ready for its next chapter. Priced to reflect its as-is condition, this is your chance to build instant equity in a charming older home with classic bones. Call us today for your showing!
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 15 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Built area of 1,440 above-grade finished square feet
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: One-level living
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#229 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Union 01 (town): math 23% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #60 of 80 in SC (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 57 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Union County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 86.78%
- DSCR
- 4.86
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 87.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.03×
- Total profit
- $33,848
- Equity at exit
- $4,473
- IRR
- 90.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.45×
- Total profit
- $79,371
- Equity at exit
- $2,594
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29379
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,039 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $518/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $607
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $30,000 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $30,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $30,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $30,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $30,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $30,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $30,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$30,000 Active
-
2025-06-11historical
-
2025-02-24price $38,000
-
2025-01-24price $42,500
-
2024-12-10$49,950 Active
-
2008-11-11soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $518 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $518 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,462
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$518
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$997
- − Management
- −$997
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $7,247
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,739
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,550/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union 01
- NCES district ID
- 4503750
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,709
- Composite
- 23.05/100
- National rank
- #7971
- State rank
- #60 of 80 in SC
Livability — Monarch Mill
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #19463
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Monarch Mill, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,580
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,518 people
- By 2030
- 24,099 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 21,133 · -17.2%
- By 2050
- 18,314 · -28.2%
- By 2075
- 13,235 · -48.1%
- By 2100
- 9,565 · -62.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 31% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.7) · D 33.2% · R 65.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -32.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.7 2020: R+24.5 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+11.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.94%
- Current HPI
- 158.1075
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-21.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $30,000 SPMLS
- 2025-06-11 Listing Removed — Greater Greenville MLS
- 2025-02-24 Price Changed $38,000 Greater Greenville MLS
- 2025-01-24 Price Changed $42,500 Greater Greenville MLS
- 2024-12-10 Listed $49,950 Greater Greenville MLS
- 2008-11-11 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $518 · +19.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…