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D Composite 43.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0

$162,500

202 Montana St S · Elgin, ND 58533
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · Other · 89 Days on market
Built 1960 9,200 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Storage room
  • Cellar
  • Deck added

Tags

REFINISHED CABINETSCOUNTERTOPSDECK ADDEDLARGE LAUNDRY ROOMSTORAGE ROOMCELLAR

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane; Electricity connected; Cable connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Metal/steel siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built on lot with dimensions approximately 100 x 92 (0.21 acres)
  • Exterior features: Rain gutters; Deck; Partial fencing; Landscaped, level lot; Paved, public maintained city street access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Finished full basement with storage space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $162k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-484/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (4.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (27.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (27.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#136 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Elgin-New Leipzig 49 (rural): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #43 of 169 in ND (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Elgin-New Leipzig Elementary School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #204 of 236 statewide, top 91%, 105 students, 59% FRL); Elgin-New Leipzig High School (math 30% / reading 70%, grade D+, #16 of 144 statewide, top 12%, 66 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 31% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Elgin-New Leipzig 49 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Grant County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $162k implies a 306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $118,025 (27.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.06%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$16,930
Equity at exit
$73,067
10-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$63,795
Equity at exit
$112,605

Cash invested: $45,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58533

Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,180 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$852
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $635/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$-40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,231
Max offer price $155,368
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $52 -5% $6 +0% $-40 +5% $-86 +10% $-132
Rent -10% $-134 -5% $-87 +0% $-40 +5% $6 +10% $53
Rate -1.0pp $41 -0.5pp $1 base $-40 +0.5pp $-82 +1.0pp $-125

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,625
Closing costs
$4,875
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $162,500 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $162,500 Active 88 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $162,500 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $162,500 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-03-04
    listed $162,500 Active
  6. 2025-04-28
    soldstatus $40,000
  7. 2020-10-08
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$635 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,592 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$958/yr (+$80/mo · 150.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,163
− Mortgage interest
−$9,103
− Property taxes
−$635
− Insurance
−$812
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,133
− Management
−$1,133
− Depreciation
−$4,727
Taxable loss
−$3,380
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$811
After-tax cash flow
$327/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elgin-New Leipzig 49
NCES district ID
3800045
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$41,867
Composite
45.97/100
National rank
#5527
State rank
#43 of 169 in ND

Livability — Elgin

Score
67/100
State rank
#136
US rank
#10696

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elgin, ND
Population (ZIP)
911

Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,327 people
By 2030
2,324 · -0.1%
By 2040
2,342 · +0.6%
By 2050
2,436 · +4.7%
By 2075
3,075 · +32.1%
By 2100
3,660 · +57.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Asian 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 22% Scotch-Irish 12%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Tagalog/Filipino 5% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grant

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 15.7% · R 82.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-43.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+67.9 2016: R+66.9 2012: R+49.2 2008: R+23.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+441.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $162,500 GNMLS
  • 2025-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2020-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $635 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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