202 Montana St S · Elgin, ND
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
$162,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Storage room
- Cellar
- Deck added
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane; Electricity connected; Cable connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One level
- Construction: Metal/steel siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built on lot with dimensions approximately 100 x 92 (0.21 acres)
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Deck; Partial fencing; Landscaped, level lot; Paved, public maintained city street access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl; Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Finished full basement with storage space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-484/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (4.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (27.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $118k (27.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#136 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Elgin-New Leipzig 49 (rural): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #43 of 169 in ND (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Elgin-New Leipzig Elementary School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #204 of 236 statewide, top 91%, 105 students, 59% FRL); Elgin-New Leipzig High School (math 30% / reading 70%, grade D+, #16 of 144 statewide, top 12%, 66 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 31% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Elgin-New Leipzig 49 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Grant County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $162k implies a 306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.06%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $16,930
- Equity at exit
- $73,067
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $63,795
- Equity at exit
- $112,605
Cash invested: $45,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58533
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,180 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$852
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $635/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $-40
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $52 | -5% $6 | +0% $-40 | +5% $-86 | +10% $-132 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-134 | -5% $-87 | +0% $-40 | +5% $6 | +10% $53 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $41 | -0.5pp $1 | base $-40 | +0.5pp $-82 | +1.0pp $-125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,625
- Closing costs
- $4,875
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
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Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
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2026-06-04days on market $162,500 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $162,500 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $162,500 Active 87 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $162,500 Active 86 DOM
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2026-03-04$162,500 Active
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2025-04-28soldstatus $40,000
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2020-10-08soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $635 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,592 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$958/yr (+$80/mo · 150.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,163
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,103
- − Property taxes
- −$635
- − Insurance
- −$812
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,133
- − Management
- −$1,133
- − Depreciation
- −$4,727
- Taxable loss
- −$3,380
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$811
- After-tax cash flow
- $327/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elgin-New Leipzig 49
- NCES district ID
- 3800045
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,867
- Composite
- 45.97/100
- National rank
- #5527
- State rank
- #43 of 169 in ND
Livability — Elgin
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #136
- US rank
- #10696
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elgin, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 911
Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,327 people
- By 2030
- 2,324 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 2,342 · +0.6%
- By 2050
- 2,436 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 3,075 · +32.1%
- By 2100
- 3,660 · +57.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Asian 5% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 22% Scotch-Irish 12%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Tagalog/Filipino 5% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grant
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.8) · D 15.7% · R 82.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.8 2020: R+67.9 2016: R+66.9 2012: R+49.2 2008: R+23.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
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Market trends
- HPI YoY
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- Current HPI
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- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
+441.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Listed $162,500 GNMLS
- 2025-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2024): $635 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…