186 Eddie St · Lexington-Fayette, KY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly renovated 3 bedroom, 1 full bath ranch. New updates include flooring, paint, light fixtures, door knobs, vinyl siding, roof, gutters, new split HVAC unit, and much much more! There's a big family room and 2 spare bedrooms that would also make great offices. The master bedroom is spacious and has plenty of closet space. The kitchen has plenty of cabinet and counterspace and has a $2000 fridge/stove allowance. The full bathroom is also very spacious and has the washer/dryer hook-ups.
Key facts
- 2,730 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 133 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: House; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Composition/Shingle roof; Built area approximately 825
- Exterior features: Chain link, privacy, and wood fencing; Neighborhood view; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Insulated windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (main level); Electric dryer hookup; Washer and electric dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Fayette County (urban): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #27 of 165 in KY (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: William Wells Brown Elementary (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #648 of 676 statewide, top 98%, 308 students, 86% FRL); Lexington Trad Magnet School (math 11% / reading 29%, grade F, #206 of 217 statewide, top 95%, 296 students, 81% FRL); Frederick Douglass High School (math 36% / reading 42%, grade F, #51 of 254 statewide, top 21%, 1,667 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 44% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fayette County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.8%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,036 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (542 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.83%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $192,225
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 549 N Limestone | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (+2%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $286 | 75 |
| 936 Highland Park Dr | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-1%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $233 | 71 |
| 569 N Upper St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 775 (-6%) | 6mo | $68,600 | $89 | 65 |
| 132 York St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 750 (-9%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $240 | 63 |
| 564 Ohio St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 881 (+7%) | 11mo | $126,000 | $143 | 61 |
| 126 Devonia Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 924 (+12%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $244 | 54 |
| 751 Dakota St | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 930 (+13%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $220 | 54 |
| 440 Ohio St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (+9%) | 12mo | $161,300 | $179 | 48 |
| 300 Locust Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 758 (-8%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $284 | 47 |
| 636 Locust Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 918 (+11%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $240 | 44 |
| 101 Bluegrass Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 876 (+6%) | 9mo | $178,000 | $203 | 44 |
| 1211 North Ct | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-13%) | 13mo | $142,900 | $198 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,020
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $51,571
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40508
- Rents YoY
- 11.8%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,428 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $574/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $222
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199 Eddie St Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $1,295 | $2.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 214 E Seventh St Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 706 Lancaster Ave Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1050 | $1,495 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 161 E Loudon Ave Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 222 W Sixth St Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 115 W Loudon Ave Unit L97 Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $980 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 434 N Martin Luther King Blvd #201 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 426 E Fifth St Unit Z1 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $1,195 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 653 Jackson St Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 425 Hawkins Ave Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1124 | $1,570 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 246 Warnock St Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,195 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 236 Warnock St Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $2,200 | $2.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 345 Blackburn Ave Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 946 | $1,925 | $2.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 120 E Main St Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 710 | $2,486 | $3.50 | 14d | 20 | 1.01mi |
| 811 Shelby Ave Unit Z1 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,224 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 330 Newtown Pike Lexington, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $1,377 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 723 Charles Ave Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 143 Woodland Ave Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 341 Grosvenor Ave Unit 3 Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 875 | $2,500 | $2.86 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 341 Grosvenor Ave #4 Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 859 | $2,600 | $3.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 341 Grosvenor Ave Unit 1 Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $2,050 | $2.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 261 S Limestone #303 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $2,995 | $2.72 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 275 S Limestone #115 Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $2,500 | $2.48 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 139 N Hanover Ave Lexington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,275 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 302 Owsley Ave Lexington, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,895 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 330 Rose St Lexington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 627 | $1,450 | $2.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 832 W High St Unit 1 Lexington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-13price $139,900
-
2026-03-29price $145,000
-
2026-03-06price $149,900
-
2026-01-16$160,000 Active
-
2024-01-12soldstatus $135,000
-
2024-01-08soldstatus $135,000 Closed 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Newly renovated 3 bedroom, 1 full bath ranch. New updates include flooring, paint, light fixtures, door knobs, vinyl siding, roof, gutters, new split HVAC unit, and much much more! There's a big family room and 2 spare bedrooms that would also make great offices. The master bedroom is spacious and has plenty of closet space. The kitchen has plenty of cabinet and counterspace and has a $2000 fridge/stove allowance. The full bathroom is also very spacious and has the washer/dryer hook-ups.
-
2023-12-01historical Contingent 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Newly renovated 3 bedroom, 1 full bath ranch. New updates include flooring, paint, light fixtures, door knobs, vinyl siding, roof, gutters, new split HVAC unit, and much much more! There's a big family room and 2 spare bedrooms that would also make great offices. The master bedroom is spacious and has plenty of closet space. The kitchen has plenty of cabinet and counterspace and has a $2000 fridge/stove allowance. The full bathroom is also very spacious and has the washer/dryer hook-ups.
-
2023-10-19price $139,900 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Newly renovated 3 bedroom, 1 full bath ranch. New updates include flooring, paint, light fixtures, door knobs, vinyl siding, roof, gutters, new split HVAC unit, and much much more! There's a big family room and 2 spare bedrooms that would also make great offices. The master bedroom is spacious and has plenty of closet space. The kitchen has plenty of cabinet and counterspace and has a $2000 fridge/stove allowance. The full bathroom is also very spacious and has the washer/dryer hook-ups.
-
2023-09-19$150,000 Active 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Newly renovated 3 bedroom, 1 full bath ranch. New updates include flooring, paint, light fixtures, door knobs, vinyl siding, roof, gutters, new split HVAC unit, and much much more! There's a big family room and 2 spare bedrooms that would also make great offices. The master bedroom is spacious and has plenty of closet space. The kitchen has plenty of cabinet and counterspace and has a $2000 fridge/stove allowance. The full bathroom is also very spacious and has the washer/dryer hook-ups.
-
2004-09-24soldstatus $47,500 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Home is in brand new condition inside & outside. Totally rebuilt. Brand new kitchen, bath, brand new electric. Absolutely 0 money down-owner possibly will assist with finance, great off street parking.
-
2004-08-25historical 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Home is in brand new condition inside & outside. Totally rebuilt. Brand new kitchen, bath, brand new electric. Absolutely 0 money down-owner possibly will assist with finance, great off street parking.
-
2004-08-16$49,900 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Home is in brand new condition inside & outside. Totally rebuilt. Brand new kitchen, bath, brand new electric. Absolutely 0 money down-owner possibly will assist with finance, great off street parking.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,203 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$630/yr (+$52/mo · 109.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,133
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$574
- − Insurance
- −$1,497
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,371
- − Management
- −$1,371
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $414
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$99
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,561/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County
- NCES district ID
- 2101860
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,245
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5211
- State rank
- #27 of 165 in KY
Livability — Lexington-Fayette
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- County
- Fayette County · 317,143 people
- City population
- 321,882
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,756
- Household income
- $29,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2644.0
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 363,454 people
- By 2030
- 388,270 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 438,688 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 490,667 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 625,394 · +72.1%
- By 2100
- 721,354 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.1) · D 58.0% · R 39.9% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.3pp toward D · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: 18.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.1 2020: D+20.8 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -251.04%
- Current HPI
- 204.3994
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.83%
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+180.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $139,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-29 Price Changed $145,000 ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $149,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $160,000 ImagineMLS
- 2024-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2024-01-08 Sold (MLS) $135,000 ImagineMLS
- 2023-12-01 Contingent — ImagineMLS
- 2023-10-19 Price Changed $139,900 ImagineMLS
- 2023-09-19 Listed $150,000 ImagineMLS
- 2004-09-24 Sold (MLS) $47,500 ImagineMLS
- 2004-08-25 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2004-08-16 Listed $49,900 ImagineMLS
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2015): $574 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…