🏷️ Likely Rental
113 Hearn St · Eldon, IA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.18%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$6,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This cozy 2 bedroom home is partially demoed out and needs considerable work , but has plenty of potential and sits on a nice level corner lot. At this price, call today!
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1888
- Listed 152 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $7k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $598 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($817 rent vs $7k).
- Recommended offer: $6k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#863 in IA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, health & safety C-.
- Cardinal Community School District (rural): math 54% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #262 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Wapello County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $125 of equity ($48 loan paydown + $77 appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
- Wapello County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($6k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1888 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1888 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 11.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 110.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 371.29%
- DSCR
- 17.52
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $88,338
- List price
- $6,900
- Delta
- -92.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302 Des Moines St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 746 (-0%) | 1mo | $8,200 | $11 | 82 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.80×
- Total profit
- $38,253
- Equity at exit
- $2,397
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 44.34×
- Total profit
- $83,729
- Equity at exit
- $3,218
Cash invested: $1,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52554
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $817 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$36
- Tax from tax record
- −$9 /mo · $104/yr
- Insurance
- −$3
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$172
- Net cashflow
- $598
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $602 | -5% $600 | +0% $598 | +5% $596 | +10% $594 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $533 | -5% $566 | +0% $598 | +5% $630 | +10% $662 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $601 | -0.5pp $600 | base $598 | +0.5pp $596 | +1.0pp $594 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,725
- Closing costs
- $207
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $6,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $6,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $6,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $6,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $6,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $6,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $6,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $6,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $6,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $6,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $6,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $6,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $6,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $6,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $6,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $6,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-01-19$6,900 Active 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
This cozy 2 bedroom home is partially demoed out and needs considerable work , but has plenty of potential and sits on a nice level corner lot. At this price, call today!
-
2024-10-01soldstatus $11,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $104 · $9/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $106 · $9/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2/yr ($0/mo · 2.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 18% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,805
- − Mortgage interest
- −$387
- − Property taxes
- −$104
- − Insurance
- −$34
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$784
- − Management
- −$784
- − Depreciation
- −$201
- Taxable income
- $7,511
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,803
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,371/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cardinal Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1906240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,438
- Composite
- 47.32/100
- National rank
- #2298
- State rank
- #262 of 289 in IA
Livability — Eldon
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #863
- US rank
- #20055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eldon, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,221
Population outlook (Wapello County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,472 people
- By 2030
- 35,563 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 36,083 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 37,287 · +5.1%
- By 2075
- 43,898 · +23.8%
- By 2100
- 52,973 · +49.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Iranian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wapello
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.6% · R 65.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.5pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+20.8 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.12%
- Current HPI
- 132.373
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
-37.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-19 Listed $6,900 IAR
- 2024-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $104 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…