518 Linda Vista Dr · Alamogordo, NM 88310

$183,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,262 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market

Built 1960 4,922 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.7/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• 1% rule +3.6/10.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Well kept home! 2 bed, 1 bath with curb appeal. Desert landscape in front, covered porch and covered carport. Garage has been converted into living space. Updates to kitchen include cabinets, countertops and backsplash! Refridgerated air!

Key facts

• Tall shade tree
• Large den
• Spacious backyard

Tags

• REMODELED KITCHEN
• REMODELED BATHROOM
• LARGE DEN
• SPACIOUS BACKYARD
• TALL SHADE TREE
• ATTACHED SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; One story
• Construction: Vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Chain link fencing; Shingle roof

Interior

• Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Range; Oven
• Flooring: Carpet; Tile
• Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating
• Interior features: Window coverings; Total of 5 rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $183k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $6 ($76/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (14.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $157k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#5 in NM, #3,233 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, schools F.
• Alamogordo Public Schools (town): math 26% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #26 of 95 in NM (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 444 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6 units permitted in Otero County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Otero County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $156,546 (14.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.86% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.33%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.71%
• DSCR: 1.17
• GRM: 9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -17.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.39×
• Total profit: $-31,346
• Equity at exit: $27,286

10-year hold

• IRR: -12.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.31×
• Total profit: $-35,146
• Equity at exit: $15,822

Cash invested: $51,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State New Mexico: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 88310

• Rents YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 444
• Price-to-rent: 9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,565 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$960
• Tax from tax record: −$42 /mo · $509/yr
• Insurance: −$76
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$329
• Net cashflow: $6

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,557

Max offer price $183,000

Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $110	-5% $58	+0% $6	+5% $-45	+10% $-97
Rent	-10% $-117	-5% $-56	+0% $6	+5% $68	+10% $130
Rate	-1.0pp $98	-0.5pp $53	base $6	+0.5pp $-41	+1.0pp $-89

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $45,750
• Closing costs: $5,490
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 8 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1514 Utah Ave Alamogordo, NM	2.0	1.0	1119	$1,450	$1.30	15d	1	0.60mi
1301 Jefferson Ave Unit LAST ONE AVAILABLE!! Alamogordo, NM	2.0	2.0	892	$1,425	$1.60	3d	1	0.87mi
1502 Campbell Pl Alamogordo, NM	3.0	2.0	1816	$1,450	$0.80	24d	1	0.94mi
1301 Fillmore Ave Alamogordo, NM	2.0	1.0	967	$1,095	$1.13	45d	2	1.11mi
2201 Mesa Ln Alamogordo, NM	3.0	2.0	1408	$3,000	$2.13	24d	1	1.26mi
2300 Aspen Dr Alamogordo, NM	3.0	2.0	1368	$1,400	$1.02	3d	1	1.29mi
2360 Mesa Ln Alamogordo, NM	3.0	2.0	1173	$1,600	$1.36	24d	1	1.38mi
2606 Pontiac Dr Alamogordo, NM	3.0	2.0	1785	$1,650	$0.92	24d	1	1.50mi

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $183,000 Active 12 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $183,000 Active 11 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $183,000 Active 10 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $183,000 Active 9 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $183,000 Active 7 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $183,000 Active 6 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $183,000 Active 4 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $183,000 Active 3 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $183,000 Active 2 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 691-char remark
11. 2026-06-07
    listed $183,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $509 · $42/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,464 · $122/mo
• Expected delta: +$955/yr (+$80/mo · 187.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AH · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,786
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,251
• − Property taxes: −$509
• − Insurance: −$2,740
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,503
• − Management: −$1,503
• − Depreciation: −$5,324
• Taxable loss: −$3,043
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$730
• After-tax cash flow: $806/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Alamogordo Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 3500030
• Math proficiency: 26% —
• Reading proficiency: 39% —
• Median HH income: $42,194
• Composite: 30.24/100
• National rank: #11572
• State rank: #26 of 95 in NM

Livability — Alamogordo

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #5
• US rank: #3233

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Alamogordo, NM
• County: Otero County · 36,983 people
• City population: 36,983
• Metro: Alamogordo, NM
• Population (ZIP): 36,983
• Household income: $57,214
• Rent vs Own: 34.4% rent · 65.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1231.0

Population outlook (Otero County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 62,967 people
• By 2030: 62,164 · -1.3%
• By 2040: 60,253 · -4.3%
• By 2050: 58,575 · -7.0%
• By 2075: 55,411 · -12.0%
• By 2100: 48,551 · -22.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 25%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Otero

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.4% · R 62.4% · Other 2.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -27.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -174.88%
• Current HPI: 181.737
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.65%
• Metro: Alamogordo, NM
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+183.7% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-06 Listed $183,000 OCAOR
• 2017-07-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2017-07-24 Sold (MLS) — OCAOR
• 2016-12-12 Listed $64,500 OCAOR

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $509 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.