4 Sanford Pl · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,800
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Extremely rare ranch home in the highly desirable South Wedge neighborhood, ideally situated at the end of a quiet street—so private, you’d never know it exists. This inviting home offers a convenient open layout featuring an updated granite kitchen with beautiful cabinetry and a dining area that flows seamlessly into the living room, highlighted by gleaming hardwood floors. An expansive entryway/mudroom provides flexibility as a potential third bedroom or home office, also with hardwood floors. The home includes two generously sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, including a private primary suite. Step outside to a charming, secluded yard and relaxing screened-in porch. Enjoy
Key facts
- Ranch home
- Dining area
- Entryway mudroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Cable available; High-speed internet available; Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction; Composite siding; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Entry level: main level
- Construction: Block and slab foundation; Composite siding
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Shed(s) and storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Appliances negotiable
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms; Primary suite on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; French/atrium doors; Separate/formal living room; Bath in primary bedroom; Primary suite; Convertible bedroom
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (6.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 74 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.82%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $227,836
- List price
- $199,800
- Delta
- -12.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 Sanford St | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,176 (+1%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $255 | 84 |
| 84 Gregory St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,099 (-5%) | 6mo | $242,500 | $221 | 80 |
| 69 Benton St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (+1%) | 1mo | $227,222 | $193 | 69 |
| 38 Hamilton St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,290 (+11%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $163 | 62 |
| 5 Sauer Pl | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 993 (-14%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $101 | 62 |
| 755 Goodman St S | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,220 (+5%) | 1mo | $153,500 | $126 | 58 |
| 56 Alpine St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,232 (+6%) | 6mo | $375,000 | $304 | 58 |
| 140 Oakland St | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,298 (+12%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $143 | 55 |
| 185 Caroline St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,334 (+15%) | 1mo | $242,005 | $181 | 52 |
| 24 Bloomfield Pl | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,241 (+7%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $173 | 51 |
| 291 Benton St | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,228 (+6%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $130 | 43 |
| 273 Benton St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,318 (+14%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $163 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-21,444
- Equity at exit
- $29,791
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-13,615
- Equity at exit
- $17,275
Cash invested: $55,944 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14620
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,869 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,446/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $338 | -5% $281 | +0% $225 | +5% $168 | +10% $112 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $77 | -5% $151 | +0% $225 | +5% $298 | +10% $372 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $325 | -0.5pp $275 | base $225 | +0.5pp $173 | +1.0pp $120 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,950
- Closing costs
- $5,994
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Sanford St Unit 1546304P Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $4,032 | $4.81 | 15d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 256 Gregory St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 90 Manor Pkwy Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,485 | $2.48 | 11d | 3 | 0.21mi |
| 94 Averill Ave Unit 2 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 416 Gregory St Unit Down Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1374 | $1,995 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 495 S Clinton Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 451 Averill Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,695 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 451 Averill Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,695 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 355 Caroline St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $1,650 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 290 Exchange Blvd Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $2,102 | $2.36 | 3d | 15 | 0.62mi |
| 694 Broadway Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1090 | $2,200 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 271 Pearl St Unit 273 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,795 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 463 Averill Ave Unit 451 Averill Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,695 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 625 S Goodman St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 868 | $2,506 | $2.89 | 3d | 8 | 0.64mi |
| 123 Griffith St Unit 6 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 95 Troup St Apt 8 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,785 | $2.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 102 Court St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $2,570 | $2.70 | 4d | 11 | 0.84mi |
| 108 Boardman St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 42 S Washington St Unit 401 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 42 S Washington St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 193 Reynolds St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1342 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 55 Exchange Blvd Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $2,695 | $2.83 | 4d | 28 | 0.92mi |
| 165 Atkinson St #6 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 65 W Broad St Unit 808 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $1,679 | $2.11 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 30 Boardman St #1 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,600 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 19-21 Cornell St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 12 Boardman St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,600 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 30 W Broad St Unit 307 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $1,950 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 47 Savannah St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $2,025 | $2.61 | 22d | 6 | 0.99mi |
| 13 S Fitzhugh St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 890 | $2,098 | $2.36 | 11d | 2 | 0.99mi |
| 91 Reynolds St Unit 6 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 261 Henrietta St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 11d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 32 Lilac Dr Brighton, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $1,625 | $2.03 | 22d | 4 | 1.05mi |
| 183 E Main St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $2,870 | $2.51 | 11d | 28 | 1.06mi |
| 76 Gold St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,400 | $1.87 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 9 Rowley St Unit 3 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,550 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2 Gold St Unit 2 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,400 | $1.87 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 39 State St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1154 | $3,500 | $3.03 | 4d | 8 | 1.08mi |
| 59 Gold St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1264 | $2,000 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 209 S Goodman St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,800 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,800 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,800 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,800 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,800 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,800 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,800 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,800 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,800 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,800 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,800 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,800 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,800 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,800 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,800 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12historical
-
2026-05-12$199,800 Active 843-char remark
-
2026-03-09price $199,900
-
2026-03-05$219,800 Active
-
2026-03-05historical
-
2026-01-21price $219,900
-
2025-12-18$239,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,446 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,411 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- +$965/yr (+$80/mo · 66.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,423
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,192
- − Property taxes
- −$1,446
- − Insurance
- −$999
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,794
- − Management
- −$1,794
- − Depreciation
- −$5,812
- Taxable loss
- −$614
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$147
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,843/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,769
- Household income
- $61,783
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2013.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 12% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Chinese 4% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.77%
- Current HPI
- 337.6917
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.20%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-16.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $199,800 UNYREIS
- 2026-05-12 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $199,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-03-05 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $219,800 UNYREIS
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $219,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-12-18 Listed $239,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,446 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…