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3210 Colburn Mountain Rd
B- Composite 67.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$61,300

3210 Colburn Mountain Rd · Littleville, AL 35674
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,407 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1994 0.46 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investore special!!! Property sold "As Is"

Key facts

  • 0.46 acre lot
  • Built 1994
  • Listed 38 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Above-grade finished area about 1,437
  • Exterior features: Frontage approximately 129.21'; Lot roughly 0.46 acres; Irregular lot dimensions (129.21 x 137.94)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $61k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $532 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $61k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 3.5% in Littleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#122 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Colbert County (rural): math 13% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #90 of 129 in AL (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Colbert Heights Elementary School (math 24% / reading 49%, grade F, #281 of 627 statewide, top 45%, 473 students, 50% FRL); Colbert Heights High School (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #111 of 305 statewide, top 37%, 484 students, 40% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Colbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $424 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Colbert County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,461 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.97%
Cap rate
16.71%
Cash-on-cash
37.22%
DSCR
2.66
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.2%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$23,993
Equity at exit
$9,140
10-year hold
IRR
40.1%
Equity multiple
4.77×
Total profit
$64,629
Equity at exit
$5,300

Cash invested: $17,164 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35674

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Active inventory
220
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,210 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$321
Tax est. 1.5%
$77 /mo · $920/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$532

Break-even live

Break-even rent $536
Max offer price $61,300
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,325
Closing costs
$1,839
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $61,300 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $61,300 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $61,300 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $61,300 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $61,300 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $61,300 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $61,300 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $61,300 Active 30 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $68,800 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,800 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,800 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $68,800 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,800 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,800 Active 22 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,800 Active 21 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,800 Active 20 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $68,800 Active 19 DOM
  18. 2026-05-11
    listed $68,800 Active 52-char remark
  19. 2026-04-16
    price $68,800
  20. 2026-02-09
    price $74,900
  21. 2026-02-09
    listed $74,900,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,522
− Mortgage interest
−$3,434
− Property taxes
−$920
− Insurance
−$306
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,162
− Management
−$1,162
− Depreciation
−$1,783
Taxable income
$5,755
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,381
After-tax cash flow
$5,007/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Colbert County
NCES district ID
0100840
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$40,710
Composite
21.48/100
National rank
#8328
State rank
#90 of 129 in AL

Livability — Littleville

Score
65/100
State rank
#122
US rank
#12858

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Colbert County · 20,176 people
Metro
Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
Population (ZIP)
20,176
Household income
$64,706
Rent vs Own
25.3% rent · 74.7% own
Severe rent burden
372.0

Population outlook (Colbert County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,154 people
By 2030
53,746 · -0.8%
By 2040
52,431 · -3.2%
By 2050
50,303 · -7.1%
By 2075
44,789 · -17.3%
By 2100
36,676 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Colbert

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.4% · R 72.8%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: -20.3pp · 2024: -46.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.4 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.06%
Current HPI
171.9693
Rent YoY
Metro
Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Price Changed $61,300 SAARMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $68,800 SAARMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $68,800 SAARMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $74,900 SAARMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $74,900,000 SAARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…