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10388 Cedarlawn St
D Composite 44.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$184,900

10388 Cedarlawn St · Detroit, MI 48204
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,304 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1925 4,356 sqft lot $80/sqft · 167% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to own a multi-family home, perfect for rental income or multi-generational living. This well-maintained home features two spacious units. The first-floor unit includes 2 bedrooms and an expansive 600 sq ft bonus room originally designed with handicap accessibility in mind - ideal for a home office, additional living space, or recreation. The upper unit offers a 1-bedroom, 1-bath layout, providing a cozy and private setting. This home has endless opportunities. A must see in person.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1925

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-829/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (6.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (29.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mackenzie Elementarymiddle School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,384 of 1,397 statewide, top 100%, 909 students, 88% FRL); Cody High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 466 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 88% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,302/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1418% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $130,159 (29.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.60%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$87,361
List price
$184,900
Delta
111.65%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9685 Pinehurst St 0.31mi 3/1.0 2,090 (-9%) 18mo $57,900 $28 51
11435 Wyoming St 0.25mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,073 (-10%) 19mo $39,000 $19 49
9615 Sorrento Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 2,404 (+4%) 20mo $55,000 $23 46
12666 Ilene St 0.63mi 3/1.5 2,429 (+5%) 19mo $35,000 $14 44
9644 Littlefield St 0.67mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,145 (-7%) 9mo $65,000 $30 43
9420 Pinehurst St 0.51mi 3/1.5 2,062 (-10%) 19mo $70,000 $34 41
9942 Cheyenne St 0.59mi 3/1.5 2,078 (-10%) 21mo $47,000 $23 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.1%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$96,212
Equity at exit
$166,573
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
6.54×
Total profit
$286,605
Equity at exit
$359,220

Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,302 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $608/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$-69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,389
Max offer price $172,701
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $36 -5% $-17 +0% $-69 +5% $-121 +10% $-174
Rent -10% $-172 -5% $-120 +0% $-69 +5% $-18 +10% $34
Rate -1.0pp $24 -0.5pp $-22 base $-69 +0.5pp $-117 +1.0pp $-166

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,225
Closing costs
$5,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12650 Griggs St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,375 $0.84 26d 1 0.60mi
9260 Manor St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 2760 $950 $0.34 45d 1 0.67mi
9209 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1589 $1,500 $0.94 45d 1 0.72mi
13910 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1680 $1,000 $0.60 45d 1 1.13mi
12123 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1680 $1,000 $0.60 26d 1 1.19mi
8320 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1737 $1,550 $0.89 22d 1 1.33mi
12778 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1597 $1,150 $0.72 6d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 505-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Great opportunity to own a multi-family home, perfect for rental income or multi-generational living. This well-maintained home features two spacious units. The first-floor unit includes 2 bedrooms and an expansive 600 sq ft bonus room originally designed with handicap accessibility in mind—ideal for a home office, additional living space, or recreation. The upper unit offers a 1-bedroom, 1-bath layout, providing a cozy and private setting. This home has endless opportunities. A must see in person.

  2. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Great opportunity to own a multi-family home, perfect for rental income or multi-generational living. This well-maintained home features two spacious units. The first-floor unit includes 2 bedrooms and an expansive 600 sq ft bonus room originally designed with handicap accessibility in mind—ideal for a home office, additional living space, or recreation. The upper unit offers a 1-bedroom, 1-bath layout, providing a cozy and private setting. This home has endless opportunities. A must see in person.

  3. 2026-04-10
    listed $184,900 Active 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    Great opportunity to own a multi-family home, perfect for rental income or multi-generational living. This well-maintained home features two spacious units. The first-floor unit includes 2 bedrooms and an expansive 600 sq ft bonus room originally designed with handicap accessibility in mind - ideal for a home office, additional living space, or recreation. The upper unit offers a 1-bedroom, 1-bath layout, providing a cozy and private setting. This home has endless opportunities. A must see in person.

  4. 2026-04-10
    listed $184,900 Active 505-char remark
    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    Great opportunity to own a multi-family home, perfect for rental income or multi-generational living. This well-maintained home features two spacious units. The first-floor unit includes 2 bedrooms and an expansive 600 sq ft bonus room originally designed with handicap accessibility in mind - ideal for a home office, additional living space, or recreation. The upper unit offers a 1-bedroom, 1-bath layout, providing a cozy and private setting. This home has endless opportunities. A must see in person.

  5. 2026-04-08
    historical $184,900 505-char remark
    Show marketing remark (505 chars)

    Great opportunity to own a multi-family home, perfect for rental income or multi-generational living. This well-maintained home features two spacious units. The first-floor unit includes 2 bedrooms and an expansive 600 sq ft bonus room originally designed with handicap accessibility in mind - ideal for a home office, additional living space, or recreation. The upper unit offers a 1-bedroom, 1-bath layout, providing a cozy and private setting. This home has endless opportunities. A must see in person.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$608 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,728 · $144/mo
Expected delta
+$1,120/yr (+$93/mo · 184.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,619
− Mortgage interest
−$10,357
− Property taxes
−$608
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,250
− Management
−$1,250
− Depreciation
−$5,379
Taxable loss
−$4,148
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$996
After-tax cash flow
$167/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $184,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $184,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Coming Soon $184,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $608 · -37.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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