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187 N Lake Ave Duplex
C+ Composite 62.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,000

187 N Lake Ave · Albany, NY 12206
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,372 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1900 2,178 sqft lot Est $216k · 39% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great corner lot. Ready for ownership as occupant or investor. Rents could be higher. Hdwdfl, newer kitchen and baths. Natural woodwork thruout. Built in cabinets. Walk-in pantries. New circuit breakers, separate private entrance, separate utilities, -- Excellent Condition

Key facts

  • 2,178 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two-unit property

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex; Total living area above grade 2,372; Below-grade finished area 1,186
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Small lot (approximately 0.05 acre)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Each unit has 4 bedrooms (Unit 1: 4 bedrooms; Unit 2: 4 bedrooms)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (one full bath on the 1st level, one full bath on the 2nd level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Unfinished walk-out basement with interior entry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $642/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $299k).
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albany City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,123/mo this rent would consume 119% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2035% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $299k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $299,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.44%
Cash-on-cash
18.40%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$215,852
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
534 1st St 0.23mi 6/2.0 2,464 (+4%) 0mo $175,000 $71 83
10 Wilkins Ave 0.31mi 6/2.0 2,294 (-3%) 1mo $280,000 $122 79
24 Kent St 0.50mi 6/2.0 2,364 (-0%) 5mo $210,000 $89 72
337 3rd St 0.17mi 6/2.0 2,058 (-13%) 1mo $160,000 $78 69
351 2nd St 0.14mi 6/2.0 2,056 (-13%) 3mo $184,002 $89 68
189-B Quail St 0.56mi 6/2.0 2,512 (+6%) 3mo $185,000 $74 62
18.5 Dudley Hts 0.58mi 6/2.0 2,200 (-7%) 0mo $289,900 $132 60
362 Clinton Ave 0.43mi 7/4.0 (+1) 2,490 (+5%) 2mo $270,000 $108 57
558 Washington Ave 0.49mi 7/3.0 (+1) 2,562 (+8%) 3mo $325,000 $127 52
97 Lark St 0.62mi 6/3.0 2,214 (-7%) 4mo $259,000 $117 52
459 Hudson Ave 0.67mi 6/2.0 2,584 (+9%) 3mo $235,000 $91 51
466 Hudson Ave 0.70mi 6/2.0 2,712 (+14%) 3mo $235,000 $87 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$43,373
Equity at exit
$44,582
10-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$186,416
Equity at exit
$25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12206

Home prices YoY
-9.9%
Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,123 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$281 /mo · $3,372/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$866
Net cashflow
$1,284

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,498
Max offer price $299,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,453 -5% $1,368 +0% $1,284 +5% $1,199 +10% $1,114
Rent -10% $958 -5% $1,121 +0% $1,284 +5% $1,446 +10% $1,609
Rate -1.0pp $1,434 -0.5pp $1,360 base $1,284 +0.5pp $1,206 +1.0pp $1,127

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,123

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
69 Winthrop Ave Albany, NY 6.0 2.0 2800 $2,795 $1.00 24d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 341-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $299,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,372 · $281/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,212 · $351/mo
Expected delta
+$841/yr (+$70/mo · 24.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$49,476
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$3,372
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,958
− Management
−$3,958
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable income
$11,246
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,699
After-tax cash flow
$12,704/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albany City School District
NCES district ID
3602460
Math proficiency
37% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,568
Composite
32.34/100
National rank
#5744
State rank
#543 of 590 in NY

Livability — Albany

Score
79/100
State rank
#129
US rank
#2083

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albany, NY
County
Albany County · 196,626 people
City population
116,921
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
14,572
Household income
$41,548
Rent vs Own
73.4% rent · 26.6% own
Severe rent burden
2035.0

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
Black 38% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 12% Asian 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.24%
Current HPI
275.8109
Rent YoY
▲ 5.37%
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+399.2% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $299,000 Global MLS
  • 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $1,550 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-14 Listed for Rent $1,550 APPFOLIO
  • 2006-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
  • 2006-07-03 Sold (MLS) $129,900 Global MLS
  • 2006-05-01 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2006-01-16 Listed $119,000 Global MLS
  • 2005-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2005-10-19 Sold (MLS) $64,900 Global MLS
  • 2005-09-23 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2005-09-19 Listed $64,900 Global MLS
  • 2005-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2003-11-13 Sold (MLS) $53,000 Global MLS
  • 2003-10-21 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2003-05-16 Listed $59,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+10.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,372 · -15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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