Truman F Plan · Mesquite, TX 75181

$444,950

5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,599 sqft · SingleFamily · 120 Days on market

Excellent condition 3-car garage

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +6.9/30.0
• Condition / age +5.0/5.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +1.8/10.0
• DSCR +1.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Explore the Truman F Floor Plan - New Home Design Available in DFW, TXThe Truman F offers 5 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, and 2599 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space that adapts to your needs. From everyday routines to special moments, this layout is built to support how you live - with comfort, functionality, and style in mind. Features like dramatic vaulted ceilings that enhance the sense of space, a versatile game room perfect for entertainment, and a relaxing covered patio for outdoor enjoyment provide the perfect foundation for personalization and everyday convenience.

Key facts

• 3 garage spots
• Listed 119 days

🏗️ New construction. The $444,950 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $485,697.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $445k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-732 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $380k (14.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $332k (25.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $332k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#358 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, commute F.
• Mesquite ISD (suburban): math 35% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #536 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Gentry El (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,769 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 637 students, 79% FRL); Berry Middle (math 45% / reading 41%, grade D-, #540 of 1,662 statewide, top 33%, 579 students, 76% FRL); Horn H S (math 41% / reading 36%, grade F, #866 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 3,029 students, 74% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 683 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 43d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 63% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($111k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($405k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $332,204 (25.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.68% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.48%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.46%
• DSCR: 0.71
• GRM: 12.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $485,697
• List price: $444,950
• Delta: -8.39%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1825 Jasmine June	0.11mi	5/4.0	2,683 (+3%)	3mo	$529,950	$198	83
1412 Casting Rdg	0.20mi	4/4.0 (-1)	2,575 (-1%)	1mo	$498,900	$194	80
1868 Night Owl Way	0.23mi	4/3.0 (-1)	2,541 (-2%)	2mo	$419,490	$165	79
1816 Morning Mist Way	0.33mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,574 (-1%)	2mo	$516,901	$201	75
2028 Jasper Mdws	0.41mi	5/3.0	2,538 (-2%)	3mo	$464,373	$183	74
2021 Jasper Mdw	0.39mi	4/3.0 (-1)	2,541 (-2%)	1mo	$399,590	$157	72
3212 Cantura Dr	0.36mi	4/3.5 (-1)	2,706 (+4%)	0mo	$368,900	$136	69
1813 Forest Wood Ln	0.49mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,630 (+1%)	3mo	$414,990	$158	66
2101 Lone Oak Trl	0.47mi	4/3.5 (-1)	2,480 (-5%)	1mo	$469,000	$189	62
2225 Hazel Lily Run	0.35mi	4/3.0 (-1)	2,358 (-9%)	2mo	$414,990	$176	62
2017 Fall Creek Cv	0.43mi	4/3.0 (-1)	2,814 (+8%)	1mo	$415,000	$147	60
1821 Jade Forest Ln	0.44mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,291 (-12%)	1mo	$433,999	$189	52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -30.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.01×
• Total profit: $-134,798
• Equity at exit: $72,419

10-year hold

• IRR: -52.7%
• Equity multiple: -0.57×
• Total profit: $-214,042
• Equity at exit: $41,994

Cash invested: $135,995 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 145 active · 22 under contract
• Months of supply: 25.6 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $444,950 ($175/sqft)
• Median days on market: 275 d
• This list price: 49% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +6.9% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 75181

• Home prices YoY: -9.4%
• Rents YoY: 0.1%
• Active inventory: 683
• Price-to-rent: 11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,322 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,547
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$607 /mo · $7,285/yr
• Insurance: −$202
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$698
• Net cashflow: $-732

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,249

Max offer price $379,756

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-396	-5% $-564	+0% $-732	+5% $-900	+10% $-1,068
Rent	-10% $-995	-5% $-863	+0% $-732	+5% $-601	+10% $-470
Rate	-1.0pp $-488	-0.5pp $-609	base $-732	+0.5pp $-858	+1.0pp $-986

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $121,424
• Closing costs: $14,571
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 27 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1908 Twisted Tree Ln Mesquite, TX	5.0	2.5	2750	$3,670	$1.33	73d	1	0.26mi
1908 Twisted Tree Ln Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.5	2558	$3,195	$1.25	7d	1	0.26mi
2201 Cantura Dr Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.0	2432	$2,700	$1.11	48d	1	0.52mi
1817 Cedarbriar Dr Mesquite, TX	5.0	3.5	2538	$3,495	$1.38	93d	1	0.58mi
2324 Cantura Dr Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.0	2190	$2,500	$1.14	34d	1	0.61mi
2439 Whitetail Dr Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.5	2484	$2,800	$1.13	73d	1	0.69mi
1809 Osage Trl Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.0	2022	$2,599	$1.29	66d	1	0.70mi
732 Creekview Ct Mesquite, TX	5.0	3.0	2313	$3,495	$1.51	93d	1	0.87mi
1421 Nimitz Way Mesquite, TX	4.0	3.0	2828	$2,725	$0.96	0d	1	1.00mi
1332 Nimitz Way Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.0	2109	$2,230	$1.06	13d	1	1.05mi
1309 Dawson Way Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.0	1952	$2,222	$1.14	3d	1	1.08mi
1309 Dawson Way Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.0	1952	$2,222	$1.14	57d	1	1.08mi
1308 Dawson Way Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.5	2476	$3,573	$1.44	73d	1	1.11mi
1226 Rivercrest Dr Mesquite, TX	5.0	3.0	3221	$3,970	$1.23	0d	1	1.22mi
2637 Austin Dr Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.5	2291	$3,350	$1.46	93d	1	1.23mi
3113 Blazing Star Rd Mesquite, TX	5.0	4.0	3711	$3,600	$0.97	0d	1	1.28mi
1229 Nimitz Way Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.0	2075	$2,300	$1.11	37d	1	1.29mi
1626 Rancho Dr Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.0	2562	$2,419	$0.94	73d	1	1.33mi
2338 Liles Ln Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.0	2344	$2,400	$1.02	7d	1	1.36mi
2725 Stillwater Dr Mesquite, TX	5.0	2.5	2228	$3,199	$1.44	12d	1	1.36mi
2404 Liles Ln Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.0	2323	$3,999	$1.72	1d	1	1.37mi
1704 Bent Brook Dr Mesquite, TX	5.0	3.0	2726	$2,900	$1.06	67d	1	1.40mi
2812 Clearmeadow Dr Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.0	1837	$2,250	$1.22	30d	1	1.43mi
2829 Kerrville Dr Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.5	2349	$2,600	$1.11	43d	1	1.44mi
2314 Stillwater Dr Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.0	1995	$2,600	$1.30	48d	1	1.45mi
2314 Stillwater Dr Mesquite, TX	4.0	2.0	1995	$2,600	$1.30	73d	1	1.45mi
1707 Rosbury Ct Mesquite, TX	4.0	3.0	2320	$2,900	$1.25	0d	1	1.48mi

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $444,950

Exterior

• Parking: 3-car garage / 3 total parking spaces
• Utilities: Electric heating and cooling services available
• Home design: Single-family plan: Truman F

Interior

• Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heatingCentral air conditioning
• Interior features: Open living area

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-08-08
   days on market $444,950 Active 120 DOM
2. 2026-08-06
   days on market $444,950 Active 118 DOM
3. 2026-08-05
   days on market $444,950 Active 117 DOM
4. 2026-08-04
   days on market $444,950 Active 116 DOM
5. 2026-08-03
   days on market $444,950 Active 115 DOM
6. 2026-07-31
   days on market $444,950 Active 112 DOM
7. 2026-07-30
   days on market $444,950 Active 111 DOM
8. 2026-07-30
   days on market $444,950 Active 110 DOM
9. 2026-07-28
   days on market $444,950 Active 109 DOM
10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $444,950 Active 107 DOM
11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $444,950 Active 105 DOM
12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $444,950 Active 104 DOM
13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $444,950 Active 103 DOM
14. 2026-07-20
    days on market $444,950 Active 101 DOM
15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $444,950 Active 99 DOM
16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $444,950 Active 98 DOM
17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $444,950 Active 97 DOM
18. 2026-07-15
    days on market $444,950 Active 96 DOM
19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $444,950 Active 95 DOM
20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $444,950 Active 94 DOM
21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $444,950 Active 93 DOM
22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $444,950 Active 92 DOM
23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $444,950 Active 91 DOM
24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $444,950 Active 90 DOM
25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $444,950 Active 88 DOM
26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $444,950 Active 87 DOM
27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $444,950 Active 86 DOM
28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $444,950 Active 85 DOM
29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $444,950 Active 84 DOM
30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $444,950 Active 83 DOM
31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $444,950 Active 82 DOM
32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $444,950 Active 81 DOM
33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $444,950 Active 80 DOM
34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $444,950 Active 79 DOM
35. 2026-06-26
    days on market $444,950 Active 77 DOM
36. 2026-06-24
    days on market $444,950 Active 75 DOM
37. 2026-06-22
    days on market $444,950 Active 73 DOM
38. 2026-06-21
    days on market $444,950 Active 72 DOM
39. 2026-06-18
    days on market $444,950 Active 69 DOM
40. 2026-06-17
    days on market $444,950 Active 68 DOM
41. 2026-06-16
    days on market $444,950 Active 67 DOM
42. 2026-06-15
    days on market $444,950 Active 66 DOM
43. 2026-06-13
    days on market $444,950 Active 64 DOM
44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $444,950 Active 63 DOM
45. 2026-06-09
    days on market $444,950 Active 60 DOM
46. 2026-06-08
    days on market $444,950 Active 59 DOM
47. 2026-06-07
    days on market $444,950 Active 58 DOM
48. 2026-06-04
    days on market $444,950 Active 55 DOM
49. 2026-06-03
    days on market $444,950 Active 54 DOM
50. 2026-06-02
    days on market $444,950 Active 53 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $39,864
• − Mortgage interest: −$27,207
• − Property taxes: −$7,285
• − Insurance: −$2,428
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,189
• − Management: −$3,189
• − Depreciation: −$14,129
• Taxable loss: −$17,564
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$4,215
• After-tax cash flow: $-4,570/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This Truman Select 2F home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a high ROI with updates that improve both resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Install smart home automation — Improves convenience and energy efficiency ↑
• Both Add smart thermostat — Saves energy and improves comfort ↑
• Both Install smart security system — Enhances safety and peace of mind ↑

F Composite school gradezoned avg 40/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Gentry El F TX #1,769/4,322 Nat'l #21,438/41,679 Middle Berry Middle D- TX #540/1,662 Nat'l #5,160/14,009 High Horn H S F TX #866/1,632 Nat'l #8,796/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mesquite ISD
• NCES district ID: 4830390
• Math proficiency: 35% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $49,372
• Composite: 29.06/100
• National rank: #6606
• State rank: #536 of 826 in TX

B Composite livability gradescore 70/100

Livability — Mesquite

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #358
• US rank: #7743

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Mesquite, TX
• County: Dallas County · 2,979,839 people
• City population: 150,788
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 29,788
• Household income: $111,052
• Rent vs Own: 16.2% rent · 83.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 29% of renters

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Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,979,839 people
• By 2030: 3,191,823 · +7.1%
• By 2040: 3,619,611 · +21.5%
• By 2050: 4,026,915 · +35.1%
• By 2075: 4,957,073 · +66.4%
• By 2100: 5,508,725 · +84.9%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 21% White 16% Asian 5% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 27% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 22% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -26.63%
• Current HPI: 257.0959
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.07%
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $444,950

Exterior

• Parking: 3-car garage / 3 total parking spaces
• Utilities: Electric heating and cooling services available
• Home design: Single-family plan: Truman F

Interior

• Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heatingCentral air conditioning
• Interior features: Open living area