1832 W Schwartz Blvd · Lady Lake, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful Manufactured Home.
Key facts
- Landscaped yard
- Community pools
- Enclosed lanai
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $901 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 4.1% in Lady Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#457 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 576 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.28%
- DSCR
- 3.15
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $208,728
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 814 Orchid St | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+11%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $250 | 70 |
| 726 Orchid St | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+11%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $197 | 65 |
| 1620 W Schwartz Blvd | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (+8%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $223 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $46,439
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 53.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.48×
- Total profit
- $122,750
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32159
- Home prices YoY
- -16.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 576
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,874 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,522/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$394
- Net cashflow
- $901
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 909 Orchid St Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,600 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1715 Pebble Beach Ln Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $3,500 | $3.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1532 W Schwartz Blvd Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $2,950 | $2.70 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 739 Heathrow Ave Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,250 | $2.16 | 1d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 13765 NE 136th Loop Lady Lake, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1078 | $1,639 | $1.52 | 20d | 36 | 0.70mi |
| 13740 Lead LN The Villages, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $1,720 | $1.67 | 20d | 38 | 0.75mi |
| 804 Weeping Willow Ave Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,300 | $1.93 | 16d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1214 Dustin Dr Lady Lake, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,400 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1824 Marion County Rd Weirsdale, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,500 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-02-07status Pending
-
2026-02-04$80,000 Active
-
2019-06-06soldstatus $110,766
-
2019-06-03soldstatus $110,766 Sold 28-char remark
Show marketing remark (28 chars)
Beautiful Manufactured Home.
-
2019-03-04historical 28-char remark
Show marketing remark (28 chars)
Beautiful Manufactured Home.
-
2019-03-03$125,000 28-char remark
Show marketing remark (28 chars)
Beautiful Manufactured Home.
-
2016-07-18soldstatus $110,000
-
2015-09-28soldstatus $81,000 Sold 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
In THE VILLAGES 2 bedroom 2 bath HOME IN ORANGE BLOSSOM GARDENS. HOME FEATURES LIVING ROOM/DINING ROOM HAS WOOD WITH LAMINATE FLOORING AND ENCLOSED PORCH.
-
2015-08-29status Pending 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
In THE VILLAGES 2 bedroom 2 bath HOME IN ORANGE BLOSSOM GARDENS. HOME FEATURES LIVING ROOM/DINING ROOM HAS WOOD WITH LAMINATE FLOORING AND ENCLOSED PORCH.
-
2015-08-20$81,000 Active 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
In THE VILLAGES 2 bedroom 2 bath HOME IN ORANGE BLOSSOM GARDENS. HOME FEATURES LIVING ROOM/DINING ROOM HAS WOOD WITH LAMINATE FLOORING AND ENCLOSED PORCH.
-
2014-07-15historical
-
2014-06-11status Pending
-
2014-06-10historical
-
2014-05-19$76,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,522 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,522 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,493
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,522
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,799
- − Management
- −$1,799
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $10,164
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,439
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,374/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lady Lake
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #457
- US rank
- #8302
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lady Lake, FL
- County
- Lake County · 364,602 people
- City population
- 32,107
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,107
- Household income
- $58,518
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1047.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.24%
- Current HPI
- 237.6208
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.03%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+5.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-07 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-04 Listed $80,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $110,766 Public Records
- 2019-06-03 Sold (MLS) $110,766 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-04 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-03 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2015-09-28 Sold (MLS) $81,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-29 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-20 Listed $81,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-10 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-19 Listed $76,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,522 · +22.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…