372 Circle Dr E · Grand Forks, ND
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Quiet park setting
- Stylish kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Manufactured in park (mobile home)
- Construction: Schult make, Lifestyle 15-5 model
- Exterior features: Located in Park Manor (manufactured home park); Skirted with wood; Zoned R-1 (Single Family)
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Central air
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.2% in Grand Forks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in ND, #2,645 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+.
- Grand Forks 1 (urban): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #27 of 53 in ND (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Winship Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #216 of 236 statewide, top 93%, 227 students, 66% FRL); Valley Middle School (math 22% / reading 40%, grade F, #31 of 35 statewide, top 88%, 513 students, 56% FRL); Central High School (math 29% / reading 56%, grade F, #48 of 144 statewide, top 33%, 1,093 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 29% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.24%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $25,536
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4829 Iron Gate Ct | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 13mo | $42,900 | $35 | 67 |
| 4812 Iron Gate Ct | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 20mo | $25,000 | $21 | 62 |
| 4907 Golden Gate Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+5%) | 12mo | $25,000 | $20 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $8,933
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $52,331
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58203
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,294 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $332
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 815 N 39th St Grand Forks, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 44d | 9 | 0.90mi |
| 3544 11th Ave N Grand Forks, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $925 | $1.44 | 44d | 8 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 18 events
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2026-06-19days on market $99,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-08$105,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Heat 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,530
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,242
- − Management
- −$1,242
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $2,545
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$611
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,373/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed. It's move-in ready with a good resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal
- Both Replace worn-out flooring — Improves both resale and rental value
- Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and attracts buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both Replace worn-out flooring — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
- Resale Update kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and attracts buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grand Forks 1
- NCES district ID
- 3808130
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,234
- Composite
- 36.39/100
- National rank
- #4681
- State rank
- #27 of 53 in ND
Livability — Grand Forks
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Forks, ND
- County
- Grand Forks County · 58,851 people
- City population
- 58,851
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,478
- Household income
- $60,474
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1031.0
Population outlook (Grand Forks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,606 people
- By 2030
- 86,489 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 99,506 · +23.4%
- By 2050
- 115,269 · +43.0%
- By 2075
- 171,303 · +112.5%
- By 2100
- 238,330 · +195.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Native American 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 23% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Grand Forks
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.1% · R 58.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+13.3 2016: R+18.5 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.25%
- Current HPI
- 183.3667
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.95%
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $105,000 GFAAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…