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4767 Kiska Rd
D- Composite 39.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$214,500

4767 Kiska Rd · North Port, FL 34288
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,214 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 2004 10,000 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located at North Port, this 3 bed 2 bath single-family home features 1,214 sq ft of living space and a 2-car garage. Built in 2004, the property offers fantastic curb appeal and a brand-new roof that is only 3 years old. Now completely vacant and cleared of all personal belongings, this home presents a blank canvas with incredible equity potential for your next investment portfolio addition or flip project. Solid bones, well, and septic are on site. Being sold as-is bring your creative design vision and maximize this property's true market potential.

Key facts

  • Solid bones
  • Well and septic
  • Brand new roof

Tags

BRAND NEW ROOFSOLID BONESWELL AND SEPTIC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot about 0.23 acres (0 to less than 1/4 acre)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer; Public utilities available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces east
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Other foundation details; Built as residential (single family)
  • Exterior features: Dog run; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $214k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-590/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (4.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (12.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.6% in North Port — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.4%/yr); 1397 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $186,995 (12.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.98%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.4%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-43,313
Equity at exit
$31,983
10-year hold
IRR
-24.7%
Equity multiple
-0.04×
Total profit
$-62,700
Equity at exit
$18,546

Cash invested: $60,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34288

Home prices YoY
-12.2%
Rents YoY
-5.4%
Active inventory
1397
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,870 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,125
Tax from tax record
$312 /mo · $3,746/yr
Insurance
$89
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$-49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,932
Max offer price $205,819
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,625
Closing costs
$6,435
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18118 Sullivan Ave Port Charlotte, FL 4.0 2.0 1481 $1,860 $1.26 20d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $214,500 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $214,500 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $214,500 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $214,500 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $214,500 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $214,500 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $214,500 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $214,500 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $214,500 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $214,500 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $214,500 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $214,500 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-05-18
    listed $214,500 Active
  14. 2012-02-13
    historical
  15. 2011-09-22
    listed $100,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,746 · $312/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,746 · $312/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,439
− Mortgage interest
−$12,015
− Property taxes
−$3,746
− Insurance
−$1,072
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,795
− Management
−$1,795
− Depreciation
−$6,240
Taxable loss
−$4,225
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,014
After-tax cash flow
$424/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sarasota
NCES district ID
1201680
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$51,167
Composite
53.68/100
National rank
#1428
State rank
#7 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Port

Score
75/100
State rank
#252
US rank
#3975

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Port, FL
County
Sarasota County · 448,376 people
City population
75,324
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,231
Household income
$84,211
Rent vs Own
23.0% rent · 77.0% own
Severe rent burden
177.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
452,380 people
By 2030
474,175 · +4.8%
By 2040
511,577 · +13.1%
By 2050
541,467 · +19.7%
By 2075
604,947 · +33.7%
By 2100
621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 3%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.39%
Current HPI
248.3322
Rent YoY
▼ -5.40%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+112.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $214,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-02-13 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-09-22 Listed $100,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,746 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…