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4080 Pedley #50
C Composite 58.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,900

4080 Pedley #50 · Jurupa Valley, CA 92509
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,820 sqft · Manufactured public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1988 Est $184k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Pride of ownership shines throughout this beautifully maintained move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering approximately 1,820 sqft of comfortable living space in a desirable Jurupa Valley community. Built in 1988, this spacious home features vaulted ceilings, updated flooring, abundant natural light, and an open layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers spacious cabinetry and generous counter space while opening to spacious living and dining areas. The oversized primary suite provides comfort and functionality, while additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, office space, or hobbies. Step outside and enjoy a backyard upgraded with low-maintenance t

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Spacious cabinetry
  • Open layout

Tags

MOVE-IN READYUPDATED FLOORINGABUNDANT NATURAL LIGHTOPEN LAYOUTSPACIOUS CABINETRYGENEROUS COUNTER SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot features: 0–1 unit per acre; Elevation measured in feet; Manager approval may be required; Pets: contact manager/park for rules
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease payment (park-managed)
  • HOA & community: Community amenities include pool, spa, sauna, clubhouse, and billiard room; Park name: Bravo Estates; Land lease (park) monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Mobile home (Bravo House model); Faces south; One story; Entry on side porch
  • Construction: Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approximately 34 ft wide by 60 ft long; Year built per assessor
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Community pool; Street lighting in neighborhood; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry (kitchen storage)
  • Bedrooms: Single-level home (one story)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Pantry; Recessed lighting; Open floor plan; Community spa
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $901 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
  • Recommended offer: $222k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 2.9% in Jurupa Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,170 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jurupa Unified (suburban): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #953 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $221,526 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
11.10%
Cash-on-cash
17.18%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$183,820
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4080 Pedley Rd #89 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,820 (0%) 20mo $100,000 $55 83
4080 Pedley Rd #182 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,664 (-9%) 14mo $130,000 $78 69
4080 Pedley Rd #8 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,642 (-10%) 18mo $184,000 $112 68
4080 Pedley Rd Unit 28A 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,646 (-10%) 14mo $166,000 $101 68
4080 Pedley Rd #6 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (-8%) 21mo $160,000 $95 65
4080 pedley #191 0.00mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,584 (-13%) 20mo $150,000 $95 57
4041 Pedley Rd #133 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,584 (-13%) 17mo $112,500 $71 53
3700 Quartz Canyon Rd #82 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-14%) 6mo $180,000 $115 44
4041 Pedley Rd #149 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,580 (-13%) 20mo $220,000 $139 42
3700 Quartz Canyon Rd #123 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-14%) 12mo $199,000 $127 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$16,180
Equity at exit
$33,533
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$69,007
Equity at exit
$19,445

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92509

Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,801 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $458/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$588
Net cashflow
$901

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,660
Max offer price $224,900
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3892 Kenneth St Jurupa Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1700 $3,000 $1.76 44d 1 0.67mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $224,900 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $224,900 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $224,900 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $224,900 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $224,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $224,900 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $224,900 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $224,900 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $224,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $224,900 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $224,900 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $224,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,900 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-27
    listed $224,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$458 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,709 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$1,251/yr (+$104/mo · 273.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 34 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,611
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$458
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,689
− Management
−$2,689
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable income
$7,511
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,803
After-tax cash flow
$9,015/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jurupa Unified
NCES district ID
0619260
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$58,100
Composite
30.97/100
National rank
#11327
State rank
#953 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Jurupa Valley

Score
49/100
State rank
#1170
US rank
#25915

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jurupa Valley, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
119,165
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
81,182
Household income
$95,355
Rent vs Own
28.7% rent · 71.3% own
Severe rent burden
1694.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 74% White 17% Two or more races 16% Black 4% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 67%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 54% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -374.91%
Current HPI
464.8939
Rent YoY
▲ 1.31%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $224,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $458 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…