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1275 Old Sardis Rd
D+ Composite 45.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$180,000

1275 Old Sardis Rd · Sardis, GA 30456
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,784 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 2000 3.00 ac lot Est $206k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath beauty offering 2,784 sq ft of potential and comfort. Built in 2000, this three story home features generous living area, a 2 car garage, bonus room and a layout perfect for anyone looking to create their own personalized retreat. From the moment you step inside, you'll notice the possibilities - whether you're dreaming of a cozy family space, a modern refresh or your own private oasis. With the right touches, this home can truly shine. Conveniently located and attractively priced at 180,00000, this property is the perfect opportunity for homeowner or investors ready to add value and make it their own. Ready to take a tour? Call Your Favorit

Key facts

  • 3 acre lot
  • Built 2000
  • Listed 32 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-138 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (13.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (28.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#510 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Burke County (town): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #148 of 174 in GA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: S G A Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 274 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 72% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Burke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (7.8% local appreciation)).
  • Burke County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,940 (28.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.38%
Cash-on-cash
-3.27%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$206,016
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1275 Old Sardis Rd 0.00mi 3/2.5 2,784 (0%) 1mo $183,750 $66 97
808 S Hill St 0.75mi 3/3.0 2,562 (-8%) 21mo $190,000 $74 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$63,252
Equity at exit
$134,514
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
4.77×
Total profit
$189,901
Equity at exit
$264,902

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30456

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,289 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,647/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$-138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,464
Max offer price $155,702
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    historical
  2. 2026-03-25
    status Under Contract
  3. 2026-02-20
    listed $180,000 New
  4. 2026-02-18
    historical
  5. 2026-02-17
    status Back On Market
  6. 2026-02-15
    historical
  7. 2026-02-15
    historical
  8. 2025-11-19
    listed $199,900
  9. 2025-11-19
    listed $199,900 New
  10. 2025-11-19
    listed $199,900 Active
  11. 2022-07-18
    soldstatus $307,000
  12. 2022-07-11
    soldstatus $307,000
  13. 2022-07-11
    soldstatus $307,000
  14. 2022-06-01
    listed $275,000
  15. 2022-06-01
    listed $275,000
  16. 2012-09-20
    soldstatus $94,100
  17. 2006-05-01
    soldstatus $127,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,647 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,656 · $138/mo
Expected delta
+$9/yr (+$1/mo · 0.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,473
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$1,647
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,238
− Management
−$1,238
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$4,869
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,169
After-tax cash flow
$-482/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burke County
NCES district ID
1300660
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$34,532
Composite
15.18/100
National rank
#9343
State rank
#148 of 174 in GA

Livability — Sardis

Score
55/100
State rank
#510
US rank
#23227

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sardis, GA
Population (ZIP)
1,851

Population outlook (Burke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,186 people
By 2030
20,207 · -4.6%
By 2040
18,109 · -14.5%
By 2050
16,102 · -24.0%
By 2075
12,103 · -42.9%
By 2100
9,671 · -54.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (53%)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 45% Hispanic / Latino 1% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Slovak 1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Burke

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.3) · D 45.1% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.6pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -9.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.3 2020: R+1.8 2016: D+2.6 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.82%
Current HPI
191.8851
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.2% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $180,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-02-15 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-15 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $199,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $199,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $199,900 Hive MLS
  • 2022-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $307,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-11 Sold (MLS) $307,000 Hive MLS
  • 2022-07-11 Sold (MLS) $307,000 Hive MLS
  • 2022-06-01 Listed $275,000 Hive MLS
  • 2022-06-01 Listed $275,000 Hive MLS
  • 2012-09-20 Sold (MLS) $94,100 GAMLS
  • 2006-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $127,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,647 · -7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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