208 Pine St · Mignon, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 37.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A vintage Doll House!!! This one has so much history; many many memories have been made here!! So much to love, and a Home to make new memories! see for yourself but HURRY!
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 116 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#400 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Talladega County (rural): math 15% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #75 of 129 in AL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $92k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 37% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.43%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,661
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 Oak St | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+6%) | 5mo | $136,000 | $85 | 72 |
| 423 Odens Mill Rd | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,488 (-1%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $134 | 48 |
| 1006 5th Pl | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (-14%) | 23mo | $166,500 | $129 | 28 |
| 130 Twin St | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-11%) | 18mo | $84,000 | $63 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-7,025
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $8,038
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35150
- Home prices YoY
- -7.9%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $168
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 N Cannon Ave Sylacauga, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $1,350 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 123 Avondale Ave Sylacauga, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $915 | $0.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 75 Cole Ln Sylacauga, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1936 | $1,700 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 90 Cole Ln Sylacauga, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $1,595 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2023-03-08soldstatus $92,000
-
2022-10-25soldstatus $92,000
-
2022-10-21status Pending
-
2022-10-11historical Contingent
-
2022-10-06price $109,900
-
2022-09-27price $104,900
-
2022-09-17status Active
-
2022-09-16historical Contingent
-
2022-09-06status Active
-
2022-08-08historical Contingent
-
2022-06-27$114,900 Active
-
2020-08-05soldstatus $66,200
-
2020-07-31soldstatus $66,200 Sold 172-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
A vintage Doll House!!! This one has so much history; many many memories have been made here!! So much to love, and a Home to make new memories! see for yourself but HURRY!
-
2020-07-24status Pending 172-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
A vintage Doll House!!! This one has so much history; many many memories have been made here!! So much to love, and a Home to make new memories! see for yourself but HURRY!
-
2020-07-14historical Contingent 172-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
A vintage Doll House!!! This one has so much history; many many memories have been made here!! So much to love, and a Home to make new memories! see for yourself but HURRY!
-
2020-06-16$66,500 Active 172-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
A vintage Doll House!!! This one has so much history; many many memories have been made here!! So much to love, and a Home to make new memories! see for yourself but HURRY!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 37% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,987
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,648
- − Insurance
- −$2,052
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,279
- − Management
- −$1,279
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $376
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$90
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,923/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Talladega County
- NCES district ID
- 0103180
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,715
- Composite
- 24.5/100
- National rank
- #7650
- State rank
- #75 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mignon
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #400
- US rank
- #22308
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mignon, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,118
Population outlook (Talladega County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,905 people
- By 2030
- 77,160 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 72,937 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 68,279 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 57,884 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 47,220 · -40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 32% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Talladega
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.9% · R 66.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.5pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+25.5 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+16.0 2008: R+18.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.65%
- Current HPI
- 240.527
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+38.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2023-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-21 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-10-11 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-10-06 Price Changed $109,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-09-27 Price Changed $104,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-09-17 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-09-16 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-09-06 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-08-08 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-06-27 Listed $114,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $66,200 Public Records
- 2020-07-31 Sold (MLS) $66,200 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-07-24 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-07-14 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-06-16 Listed $66,500 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $201 · -10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…