21377 Concord St · Southfield, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$274,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to beautiful and sought after Evergreen Glen with lots of trees and easy access to major highways, shopping and parks. This colonial-style residence is filled with charm and classic details throughout. From the moment you step inside, you'll fall in love with the stunning hardwood floors that flow throughout the home, adding beauty and character to every room. The bright white kitchen offers ample cabinetry and pantry space. Vintage lovers will appreciate the home's original tile work, preserved in excellent condition and full of timeless appeal. Step outside to a spacious private backyard ideal for summer gatherings. The large screened-in patio provides the perfect place to enjoy morning coffee or dinners while taking in the outdoors. The 4th upstairs bedroom has been turned into open flex space to use for so many different things! Primary bedroom has walk in closet. This great house is ready for your updates and personal touches at a value you don't want to pass up.
Key facts
- Original tile work
- Bright white kitchen
- Private backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 1,858
- HOA & community: Association fee: $3.00 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Electricity available; Natural gas available and connected; Natural gas water heater
- Home design: Colonial-style single family residence; Built in 1963; Paved road access
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Crawl space and full basement
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 10
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling (has cooling)
- Interior features: Garage door opener; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Wood-burning fireplace; Storm windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $275k (0.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $275k (0.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.4% in Southfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#248 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime F.
- Southfield Public School District (urban): math 17% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #392 of 540 in MI (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.66%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $232,250
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21377 Concord St | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,858 (0%) | 0mo | $283,000 | $152 | 95 |
| 21289 Concord St | 0.04mi | 4/2.5 | 1,927 (+4%) | 6mo | $302,000 | $157 | 87 |
| 21505 N Tuller Ct | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,765 (-5%) | 10mo | $280,000 | $159 | 71 |
| 27270 Devonshire St | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 | 2,095 (+13%) | 6mo | $345,000 | $165 | 61 |
| 21901 Concord St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,132 (+15%) | 7mo | $245,000 | $115 | 48 |
| 20385 Harbor Ln | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,050 (+10%) | 4mo | $249,900 | $122 | 46 |
| 20345 Harbor Ln | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,080 (+12%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $125 | 40 |
| 20195 Ledgestone St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,059 (+11%) | 9mo | $302,000 | $147 | 38 |
| 28421 Tapert Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,996 (+7%) | 12mo | $246,000 | $123 | 37 |
| 22903 N Bellwood Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,103 (+13%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $102 | 36 |
| 27900 E Larkmoor St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,132 (+15%) | 4mo | $237,000 | $111 | 30 |
| 20225 Ledgestone St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,132 (+15%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $110 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-20,291
- Equity at exit
- $40,988
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $29,037
- Equity at exit
- $23,768
Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48076
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,748 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$313 /mo · $3,757/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$3
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$577
- Net cashflow
- $299
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,725
- Closing costs
- $8,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27345 Harvard Rd Southfield, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2500 | $3,495 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 20800 Knob Woods Dr Southfield, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1625 | $2,515 | $1.55 | 1d | 9 | 0.44mi |
| 20300 Civic Center Dr Southfield, MI | 4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1200 | $2,215 | $1.85 | 1d | 12 | 0.87mi |
| 25582 Saint James Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1539 | $2,600 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 25582 Saint James Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1539 | $2,600 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $3 · $36/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-13$274,900 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Pending 990-char remark
Show marketing remark (990 chars)
Welcome to beautiful and sought after Evergreen Glen with lots of trees and easy access to major highways, shopping and parks. This colonial-style residence is filled with charm and classic details throughout. From the moment you step inside, you'll fall in love with the stunning hardwood floors that flow throughout the home, adding beauty and character to every room. The bright white kitchen offers ample cabinetry and pantry space. Vintage lovers will appreciate the home's original tile work, preserved in excellent condition and full of timeless appeal. Step outside to a spacious private backyard ideal for summer gatherings. The large screened-in patio provides the perfect place to enjoy morning coffee or dinners while taking in the outdoors. The 4th upstairs bedroom has been turned into open flex space to use for so many different things! Primary bedroom has walk in closet. This great house is ready for your updates and personal touches at a value you don't want to pass up.
-
2026-05-13status Pending 990-char remark
Show marketing remark (990 chars)
Welcome to beautiful and sought after Evergreen Glen with lots of trees and easy access to major highways, shopping and parks. This colonial-style residence is filled with charm and classic details throughout. From the moment you step inside, you'll fall in love with the stunning hardwood floors that flow throughout the home, adding beauty and character to every room. The bright white kitchen offers ample cabinetry and pantry space. Vintage lovers will appreciate the home's original tile work, preserved in excellent condition and full of timeless appeal. Step outside to a spacious private backyard ideal for summer gatherings. The large screened-in patio provides the perfect place to enjoy morning coffee or dinners while taking in the outdoors. The 4th upstairs bedroom has been turned into open flex space to use for so many different things! Primary bedroom has walk in closet. This great house is ready for your updates and personal touches at a value you don't want to pass up.
-
2026-05-13status Pending
Show marketing remark (990 chars)
Welcome to beautiful and sought after Evergreen Glen with lots of trees and easy access to major highways, shopping and parks. This colonial-style residence is filled with charm and classic details throughout. From the moment you step inside, you'll fall in love with the stunning hardwood floors that flow throughout the home, adding beauty and character to every room. The bright white kitchen offers ample cabinetry and pantry space. Vintage lovers will appreciate the home's original tile work, preserved in excellent condition and full of timeless appeal. Step outside to a spacious private backyard ideal for summer gatherings. The large screened-in patio provides the perfect place to enjoy morning coffee or dinners while taking in the outdoors. The 4th upstairs bedroom has been turned into open flex space to use for so many different things! Primary bedroom has walk in closet. This great house is ready for your updates and personal touches at a value you don't want to pass up.
-
2026-05-10$274,900 Active 990-char remark
Show marketing remark (990 chars)
Welcome to beautiful and sought after Evergreen Glen with lots of trees and easy access to major highways, shopping and parks. This colonial-style residence is filled with charm and classic details throughout. From the moment you step inside, you'll fall in love with the stunning hardwood floors that flow throughout the home, adding beauty and character to every room. The bright white kitchen offers ample cabinetry and pantry space. Vintage lovers will appreciate the home's original tile work, preserved in excellent condition and full of timeless appeal. Step outside to a spacious private backyard ideal for summer gatherings. The large screened-in patio provides the perfect place to enjoy morning coffee or dinners while taking in the outdoors. The 4th upstairs bedroom has been turned into open flex space to use for so many different things! Primary bedroom has walk in closet. This great house is ready for your updates and personal touches at a value you don't want to pass up.
-
2026-05-10$274,900 Active
Show marketing remark (990 chars)
Welcome to beautiful and sought after Evergreen Glen with lots of trees and easy access to major highways, shopping and parks. This colonial-style residence is filled with charm and classic details throughout. From the moment you step inside, you'll fall in love with the stunning hardwood floors that flow throughout the home, adding beauty and character to every room. The bright white kitchen offers ample cabinetry and pantry space. Vintage lovers will appreciate the home's original tile work, preserved in excellent condition and full of timeless appeal. Step outside to a spacious private backyard ideal for summer gatherings. The large screened-in patio provides the perfect place to enjoy morning coffee or dinners while taking in the outdoors. The 4th upstairs bedroom has been turned into open flex space to use for so many different things! Primary bedroom has walk in closet. This great house is ready for your updates and personal touches at a value you don't want to pass up.
-
2026-05-10$274,900 Active 990-char remark
Show marketing remark (990 chars)
Welcome to beautiful and sought after Evergreen Glen with lots of trees and easy access to major highways, shopping and parks. This colonial-style residence is filled with charm and classic details throughout. From the moment you step inside, you'll fall in love with the stunning hardwood floors that flow throughout the home, adding beauty and character to every room. The bright white kitchen offers ample cabinetry and pantry space. Vintage lovers will appreciate the home's original tile work, preserved in excellent condition and full of timeless appeal. Step outside to a spacious private backyard ideal for summer gatherings. The large screened-in patio provides the perfect place to enjoy morning coffee or dinners while taking in the outdoors. The 4th upstairs bedroom has been turned into open flex space to use for so many different things! Primary bedroom has walk in closet. This great house is ready for your updates and personal touches at a value you don't want to pass up.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,757 · $313/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,995 · $333/mo
- Expected delta
- +$238/yr (+$20/mo · 6.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,982
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,399
- − Property taxes
- −$3,757
- − Insurance
- −$1,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,639
- − Management
- −$2,639
- − HOA
- −$36
- − Depreciation
- −$7,997
- Taxable loss
- −$858
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$206
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,795/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southfield Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2632310
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,400
- Composite
- 23.77/100
- National rank
- #7814
- State rank
- #392 of 540 in MI
Livability — Southfield
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #248
- US rank
- #6175
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Southfield, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 54,914
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,405
- Household income
- $90,058
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 607.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 32% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.13%
- Current HPI
- 229.2304
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.84%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-13 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-10 Listed $274,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-10 Listed $274,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-10 Listed $274,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,757 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…