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1611 N Ashland Ave
D- Composite 39.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.9/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

1611 N Ashland Ave · Beatrice, NE 68310
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 2022 0.32 ac lot $108/sqft · at area comps Est $172k · at est. ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Situated on a spacious . 32-acre lot, this property offers comfortable living with an open-concept layout connecting the living room, kitchen, and dining area—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, including a primary suite with its own private bath, this home provides both functionality and convenience. Enjoy outdoor living on the deck overlooking the large yard, plus added storage with a detached 1-stall garage and storage shed. Plenty of space inside and out—don’t miss this great opportunity to make improvements and make this home your own — seller is willing to provide a professional deep cleaning at closing.

Key facts

  • Spacious lot
  • Storage shed
  • Outdoor living

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTOUTDOOR LIVINGDETACHED GARAGESTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 1 covered parking space (1 total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 2022; Not new or a model; One-story (all main-floor living areas)
  • Construction: No foundation details listed
  • Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s) on the property; Lot approximately 0.32 acre (about 138 x 101)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main floor; All bedrooms on the main floor
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main floor
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No basement; No fireplaces

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-340/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (2.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (18.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.7% in Beatrice — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#21 in NE, #1,637 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
  • Beatrice Public Schools (town): math 40% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #92 of 111 in NE (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Beatrice Community Preschool (226 students, 54% FRL); Beatrice Middle School (math 42% / reading 43%, grade D-, #71 of 128 statewide, top 55%, 421 students, 48% FRL); Beatrice High School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #98 of 261 statewide, top 40%, 644 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 41 units permitted in Gage County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gage County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $138,174 (18.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.09%
Cash-on-cash
-0.72%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$171,660
List price
$170,000
Delta
-0.97%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1600 Ashland Ave 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,762 (+12%) 17mo $165,000 $94 60
1309 N 8th St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,344 (-14%) 4mo $136,000 $101 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-29,367
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
-9.6%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-27,951
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68310

Home prices YoY
-26.8%
Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,382 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$158 /mo · $1,891/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$-28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,418
Max offer price $164,989
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $68 -5% $20 +0% $-28 +5% $-76 +10% $-125
Rent -10% $-138 -5% $-83 +0% $-28 +5% $26 +10% $81
Rate -1.0pp $57 -0.5pp $15 base $-28 +0.5pp $-72 +1.0pp $-117

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
527 Irving St Beatrice, NE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 915 $1,295 $1.42 45d 10 0.60mi
1215 N 10th St Beatrice, NE 3.0 2.0 1464 $1,500 $1.02 45d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $170,000 Pending 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-05-07
    listed $172,000 New 693-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,891 · $158/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,941 · $245/mo
Expected delta
+$1,050/yr (+$87/mo · 55.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,581
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$1,891
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,326
− Management
−$1,326
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$3,281
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$788
After-tax cash flow
$447/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beatrice Public Schools
NCES district ID
3103600
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,020
Composite
35.57/100
National rank
#4899
State rank
#92 of 111 in NE

Livability — Beatrice

Score
80/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#1637

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beatrice, NE
County
Gage County · 14,093 people
City population
14,093
Metro
Beatrice, NE
Population (ZIP)
14,093
Household income
$60,928
Rent vs Own
31.7% rent · 68.3% own
Severe rent burden
369.0

Population outlook (Gage County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,133 people
By 2030
20,629 · -2.4%
By 2040
19,398 · -8.2%
By 2050
18,049 · -14.6%
By 2075
15,504 · -26.6%
By 2100
12,941 · -38.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Guatemala, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gage

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.2) · D 29.7% · R 68.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -9.5pp · 2024: -39.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.2 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -89.13%
Current HPI
243.8948
Rent YoY
Metro
Beatrice, NE
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2026-05-25 Price Changed $170,000 GPRMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $172,000 GPRMLS

Property tax history

+18.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,891 · -29.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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