2815 Westover Rd · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$43,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 6,795 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 287 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $43k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($902 rent vs $43k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $297 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 287 days — a 12% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 287 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.78%
- DSCR
- 2.86
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $32,408
- List price
- $43,000
- Delta
- 32.68%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3030 Morningside Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,005 (+6%) | 2mo | $53,000 | $53 | 78 |
| 2910 Meadow Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 931 (-2%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $48 | 60 |
| 2446 Drexel St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 979 (+3%) | 4mo | $15,000 | $15 | 57 |
| 3101 Syphon St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-11%) | 10mo | $10,000 | $12 | 54 |
| 3934 Fairfax Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (+9%) | 2mo | $84,000 | $81 | 54 |
| 5203 Bienville Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 987 (+4%) | 7mo | $24,900 | $25 | 53 |
| 2511 Drexel St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,005 (+6%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $45 | 50 |
| 2647 Drexel St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,079 (+14%) | 2mo | $67,500 | $63 | 49 |
| 3149 Fulton St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 870 (-8%) | 2mo | $34,900 | $40 | 47 |
| 2946 Midway St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 822 (-13%) | 6mo | $22,500 | $27 | 40 |
| 3250 Wagner St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,044 (+10%) | 8mo | $29,500 | $28 | 38 |
| 2632 Desoto St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,069 (+13%) | 10mo | $32,500 | $30 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $19,176
- Equity at exit
- $6,411
- IRR
- 43.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.06×
- Total profit
- $48,823
- Equity at exit
- $3,718
Cash invested: $12,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71108
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $902 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$225
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $601/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $419
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,750
- Closing costs
- $1,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5306 Prentiss Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $975 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2644 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2641 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1045 | $725 | $0.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 5218 Fairfax Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $825 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1954 State St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3530 Pleasant Dr Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $725 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2924 DuPont St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $750 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2714 DuPont St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $565 | $0.58 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4122 Cherokee St Apt 4 Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4122 Cherokee St Apt 4 Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $850 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2943 Hillcrest Ave Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2544 DuPont St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 683 | $600 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1749 Caroline St Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $975 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2721 Sunnybrook St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $1,000 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2520 Merwin St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $700 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2762 Marquette St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,000 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3051 Amherst St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $595 | $0.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1421 Clover St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $675 | $0.75 | 13d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1430 Grigsby St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $775 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1416 Natalie St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3240 Jackson St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $700 | $0.69 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $43,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $43,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $43,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $43,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $43,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $43,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $43,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $43,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $43,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $43,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $43,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $43,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $43,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $43,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $43,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $43,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2025-09-04$43,000 Active
-
2007-08-14soldstatus
-
2007-03-20soldstatus
-
2006-04-17soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $601 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $601 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,826
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,409
- − Property taxes
- −$601
- − Insurance
- −$215
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$866
- − Management
- −$866
- − Depreciation
- −$1,251
- Taxable income
- $4,618
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,108
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,922/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,072
- Household income
- $32,055
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1526.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 11% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.98%
- Current HPI
- 58.1377
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.37%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-04 Listed $43,000 NTREIS
- 2007-08-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-03-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-04-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $601 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…