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2444 1st Ave S Triplex
B- Composite 66.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$515,000

2444 1st Ave S · Minneapolis, MN 55404
8 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,046 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1909 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

1909 Victorian Whittier triplex. Built in buffets w/ lead windows, natural wood trim & floors. This triplex has been updated & renovated w/ many amenities. All units have new carpet in BR`s & lots of natural light. Unit # 3-1 BR/1 BA-$475 rent.

Key facts

  • Triplex
  • Private parking
  • Artist studio

Tags

TRIPLEXARTIST STUDIOPRIVATE PARKINGEASY ACCESS TO 35WDOWNTOWN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Owner-occupied: No; Above grade finished area approximately 2,504; Below grade finished area approximately 505; Living area approximately 3,009; Lot dimensions about 49 x 126 (0.14 acres)
  • Financial info: 3 total units; Gross income: $40,075; Net operating income: $9,155.56; Owner pays sewer, water and trash collection; Tenants pay electricity, fuel, gas and heat

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Residential income property (triplex); More than 2 stories; Entry includes front porch
  • Construction: Other construction materials; Asphalt roof (age 8 years or less); Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Wood exterior; Wood fencing; Light tree coverage on lot; City street frontage, public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Ranges; Refrigerators
  • Bedrooms: 5 total bedrooms; Unit breakdown: two 2-bedroom units and one 1-bedroom unit
  • Bathrooms: 3 total full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Boiler
  • Interior features: Full basement; Front porch
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $515k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $549/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $515k).
  • Recommended offer: $507k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,730/mo this rent would consume 193% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2999% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($507k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $390k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $507,275 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.13%
Cash-on-cash
13.72%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$8,407
Equity at exit
$76,788
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$90,827
Equity at exit
$44,528

Cash invested: $144,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
34 Tenant-Leaning
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City Minneapolis
34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
Tenant Opportunity to Purchase; renter's protections.

ZIP-level market 55404

Home prices YoY
-33.3%
Rents YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
19.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,730 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,701
Tax from tax record
$753 /mo · $9,040/yr
Insurance
$215
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,413
Net cashflow
$1,648

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,644
Max offer price $515,000
Occupancy floor 71%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $6,730

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$128,750
Closing costs
$15,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $515,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $515,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $515,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $515,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $515,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $515,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $515,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $515,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $515,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $515,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $515,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $515,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $515,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-20
    listed $515,000 Active
  15. 2002-07-05
    soldstatus $390,000
  16. 2002-05-31
    soldstatus $390,000 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    1909 Victorian Whittier triplex. Built in buffets w/ lead windows, natural wood trim & floors. This triplex has been updated & renovated w/ many amenities. All units have new carpet in BR`s & lots of natural light. Unit # 3-1 BR/1 BA-$475 rent.

  17. 2002-04-06
    historical 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    1909 Victorian Whittier triplex. Built in buffets w/ lead windows, natural wood trim & floors. This triplex has been updated & renovated w/ many amenities. All units have new carpet in BR`s & lots of natural light. Unit # 3-1 BR/1 BA-$475 rent.

  18. 2002-03-18
    listed $398,500 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    1909 Victorian Whittier triplex. Built in buffets w/ lead windows, natural wood trim & floors. This triplex has been updated & renovated w/ many amenities. All units have new carpet in BR`s & lots of natural light. Unit # 3-1 BR/1 BA-$475 rent.

  19. 1987-08-01
    soldstatus $88,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$9,040 · $753/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,040 · $753/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$80,760
− Mortgage interest
−$28,848
− Property taxes
−$9,040
− Insurance
−$2,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,461
− Management
−$6,461
− Depreciation
−$14,982
Taxable income
$12,394
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,975
After-tax cash flow
$16,803/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Minneapolis Public School District
NCES district ID
2721240
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$50,521
Composite
34.92/100
National rank
#5067
State rank
#217 of 301 in MN

Livability — Minneapolis

Score
78/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#2525

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minneapolis, MN
County
Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
City population
417,555
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
28,920
Household income
$41,940
Rent vs Own
82.5% rent · 17.5% own
Severe rent burden
2999.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,405,227 people
By 2030
1,492,650 · +6.2%
By 2040
1,660,157 · +18.1%
By 2050
1,823,498 · +29.8%
By 2075
2,221,283 · +58.1%
By 2100
2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Native American 5% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, China, United Kingdom
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.31%
Current HPI
224.8886
Rent YoY
▲ 1.00%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+485.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $515,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $390,000 Public Records
  • 2002-05-31 Sold (MLS) $390,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-04-06 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-03-18 Listed $398,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1987-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,040 · +41.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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