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154 Newbury St #26
B Composite 71.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

154 Newbury St #26 · Peabody, MA 01960
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 952 sqft · Manufactured · 7 Days on market
Built 1972 Fair condition Est $212k · 6% under $275/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and affordable 3-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in a well-maintained park in Peabody, MA! This bright and inviting home features beautiful hardwood floors, a spacious sun room perfect for relaxing or entertaining, and convenient in-unit laundry. Enjoy two dedicated parking spaces and easy access to major highways for a stress-free commute. The thoughtfully designed layout offers comfortable living with great natural light throughout. A fantastic condo alternative with low-maintenance living and a welcoming community setting-don't miss this opportunity to own in a convenient North Shore location!

Key facts

  • Sun room
  • In-unit laundry
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSSUN ROOMIN-UNIT LAUNDRYDEDICATED PARKING SPACESEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR HIGHWAYSTHOUGHTFULLY DESIGNED LAYOUT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total of 6 rooms; Building area (above grade) of 952
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association membership required; Association fee of $275; Community offers public transportation, shopping, parks, walking/jogging trails, golf, medical facility, laundromat, bike path, conservation area, highway access, places of worship, and schools

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Two parking spaces (open)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric
  • Home design: Mobile home (house with addition); Single-story entry (first floor living areas)
  • Construction: Modular construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Year built reported by owner
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch; Corner lot; Paved road frontage; Public road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Hardwood flooring and overhead lighting
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor with hardwood flooring and overhead lighting; Second bedroom on the first floor with hardwood flooring and overhead lighting; Third bedroom on the first floor with hardwood flooring and overhead lighting
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; Master bathroom present; Full bathroom with tiled shower stall and stone/ceramic tile flooring
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Window unit(s) for cooling; Has heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Sun room; Storm door(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the first floor; Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 3.4% in Peabody — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#44 in MA, #2,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
  • Peabody (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #233 of 302 in MA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: John E. Mccarthy (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #421 of 938 statewide, top 48%, 338 students, 0% FRL); Peabody Veterans Memorial High (math 46% / reading 59%, grade C-, #173 of 343 statewide, top 51%, 1,476 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 30% district-wide (30 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 48% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Peabody average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 40 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,032 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (590 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,711/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 2570% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Essex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
13.95%
Cash-on-cash
27.34%
DSCR
2.22
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$212,296
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
165 Newbury St #2 0.20mi 3/1.0 930 (-2%) 5mo $143,000 $154 82
161 Newbury St #11 0.11mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (+5%) 16mo $220,000 $220 68
165 Newbury #5 0.20mi 2/2.0 (-1) 870 (-9%) 5mo $269,900 $310 64
41 Pine St #13 0.40mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,056 (+11%) 7mo $235,000 $223 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$38,177
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$96,713
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01960

Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,711 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax est. 1.5%
$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$275
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$779
Net cashflow
$1,275

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,097
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
128 Newbury St Peabody, MA 3.0 1.0–2.0 955 $4,105 $4.30 2d 15 0.29mi
7 Dearborn Rd Peabody, MA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1105 $3,629 $3.28 2d 12 0.97mi
2 Hotel Ave Peabody, MA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $3,500 $3.33 2d 3 0.98mi
19 Magnolia Way Peabody, MA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1034 $3,940 $3.81 2d 28 1.10mi
286 Newbury St Unit 114 Peabody, MA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,400 $2.18 44d 1 1.22mi
1000 Crane Brook Way Peabody, MA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1137 $3,991 $3.51 2d 24 1.27mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$275 · $3,300/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 New 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 608-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $199,900 New 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,532
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,998
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,563
− Management
−$3,563
− HOA
−$3,300
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$13,096
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,143
After-tax cash flow
$12,160/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen and bathrooms, as well as some exterior updates.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Worn and outdated appearance.
  • Moderate Appliances — Old and possibly inefficient models.
  • Moderate Countertops — Cluttered and worn appearance.
  • Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Outdated and possibly leaking fixtures.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting and updating the kitchen cabinets and appliances — Fresh paint and updated appliances would significantly improve the home's curb appeal and functionality.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — A well-maintained exterior would attract more potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Refrigerator and stove replacement — Upgrading to energy-efficient appliances would improve the home's functionality and appeal to potential buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn and outdated appearance. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Appliances · Old and possibly inefficient models. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Countertops · Cluttered and worn appearance. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Bathroom fixtures · Outdated and possibly leaking fixtures. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $12,000–60,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting and updating the kitchen cabinets and appliances — Fresh paint and updated appliances would significantly improve the home's curb appeal and functionality.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — A well-maintained exterior would attract more potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Refrigerator and stove replacement — Upgrading to energy-efficient appliances would improve the home's functionality and appeal to potential buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peabody
NCES district ID
2509360
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$64,022
Composite
31.23/100
National rank
#6033
State rank
#233 of 302 in MA

Livability — Peabody

Score
79/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#2070

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peabody, MA
County
Essex County · 632,995 people
City population
54,474
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
Population (ZIP)
54,474
Household income
$96,501
Rent vs Own
34.6% rent · 65.4% own
Severe rent burden
2570.0

Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
840,920 people
By 2030
872,201 · +3.7%
By 2040
927,918 · +10.3%
By 2050
970,206 · +15.4%
By 2075
1,077,993 · +28.2%
By 2100
1,103,053 · +31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Russian 6% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Essex

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.2% · R 38.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
0.0pp no change · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -565.60%
Current HPI
285.9699
Rent YoY
▼ -0.91%
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $199,900 MLS PIN

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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