9560 Sunnehanna Blvd Unit B203 · Ferry Pass, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Rare find! Updated and spacious upstairs condo conveniently located just off 9 Mile Road near Scenic Hills Country Club. This unit features fresh interior paint, new luxury laminate flooring throughout, and a new HVAC system with a 10-year warranty. Washer and dryer convey. The open floor plan offers a bright living area with an attractive fireplace. Adjacent to the dining area is a private balcony with an exterior storage closet. Down the hall, across from the guest bedroom, is a full bathroom and laundry area. The primary bedroom, located at the end of the hall, includes a private full bath and a large walk-in closet. Conveniently located just minutes from UWF, Scenic Hills Golf Course, s
Key facts
- Private balcony
- Upstairs condo
- New hvac system
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.4% in Ferry Pass — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#664 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 221 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $120k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.53%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,696
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $9,167
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32514
- Home prices YoY
- -31.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,825 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,684/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$300
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1878 E Nine Mile Rd Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $1,495 | $1.68 | 23d | 8 | 0.76mi |
| 9100 Baldridge Rd Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1086 | $1,966 | $1.81 | 13d | 13 | 0.80mi |
| 8733 Chisholm Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2025 Cambridge Cir Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $1,600 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1600 Governors Dr Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1010 | $1,991 | $1.97 | 13d | 25 | 1.20mi |
| 9095 Airway Dr Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1542 | $1,809 | $1.17 | 13d | 19 | 1.20mi |
| 9307 Mabel St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,300 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8440 Chisholm Rd Unit B Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,525 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2220 Gloria Cir Pensacola, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1123 | $1,825 | $1.63 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $300 · $3,600/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending
-
2026-04-09historical Contingent
-
2026-02-10$119,900 Active
-
2021-07-04historical
-
2021-06-02price $125,000
-
2021-05-07$135,000 Active
-
2014-06-12soldstatus $53,000
-
2014-01-01$55,400
-
2002-03-22soldstatus $53,500
-
2001-09-18$56,900
-
2001-09-18soldstatus $107,900
-
1984-05-01soldstatus $45,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,684 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,684 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,684
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,752
- − Management
- −$1,752
- − HOA
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $2,308
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$554
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ferry Pass
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #664
- US rank
- #13543
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ferry Pass, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- City population
- 43,072
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,447
- Household income
- $66,644
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1962.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 22% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.99%
- Current HPI
- 266.7408
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.76%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+162.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — PARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $119,900 PARMLS
- 2021-07-04 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2021-06-02 Price Changed $125,000 PARMLS
- 2021-05-07 Listed $135,000 PARMLS
- 2014-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 2014-01-01 Listed $55,400 PARMLS
- 2002-03-22 Sold (MLS) $53,500 PARMLS
- 2001-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $107,900 Public Records
- 2001-09-18 Listed $56,900 PARMLS
- 1984-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+25.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,684 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…