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57 Pinewood Dr 🌊 Lakefront
B+ Composite 79.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$49,000

57 Pinewood Dr · Altona, NY 12910
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 256 sqft · Other public records · 82 Days on market
Built 2005 9,583 sqft lot ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Seasonal home on owned land in Stonewall Acres Campground with one bedroom, two bathrooms. Overlooking a small pond with large deck and fireplace entertaining area. Large family room off of the main living quarters. Oversized lot and storage shed. Annual HOA fee of $500 to enjoy the pool, clubhouse, mini put, road maintenance and public water.

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Large family room
  • Small pond

Tags

OWNED LANDSMALL PONDLARGE DECKFIREPLACE ENTERTAINING AREALARGE FAMILY ROOMOVERSIZED LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($853 rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $46k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,166 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Northern Adirondack Central School District (rural): math 47% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #430 of 590 in NY (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($339 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $46,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  6. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  7. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
14.61%
Cash-on-cash
29.70%
DSCR
2.32
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.8%
Equity multiple
4.52×
Total profit
$48,326
Equity at exit
$44,143
10-year hold
IRR
40.7%
Equity multiple
10.13×
Total profit
$125,322
Equity at exit
$95,196

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12910

Home prices YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$853 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $683/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$179
Net cashflow
$340

Break-even live

Break-even rent $423
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,000 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,000 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,000 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,000 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $49,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,000 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $49,000 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,900 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 64 DOM
  15. 2026-03-27
    listed $59,900 Active 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Seasonal home on owned land in Stonewall Acres Campground with one bedroom, two bathrooms. Overlooking a small pond with large deck and fireplace entertaining area. Large family room off of the main living quarters. Oversized lot and storage shed. Annual HOA fee of $500 to enjoy the pool, clubhouse, mini put, road maintenance and public water.

  16. 2025-10-01
    price $79,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$683 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$756 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$73/yr (+$6/mo · 10.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,236
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$683
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$819
− Management
−$819
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$3,500
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$840
After-tax cash flow
$3,235/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northern Adirondack Central School District
NCES district ID
3621260
Math proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$44,656
Composite
40.62/100
National rank
#3689
State rank
#430 of 590 in NY

Livability — Altona

Score
51/100
State rank
#1166
US rank
#25387

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,994

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,791 people
By 2030
76,848 · -2.5%
By 2040
71,579 · -9.2%
By 2050
66,471 · -15.6%
By 2075
57,361 · -27.2%
By 2100
47,232 · -40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 5% Asian 2% Two or more races 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 23% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.9% · R 51.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -2.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.2 2020: D+5.2 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+25.6 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.23%
Current HPI
260.0932
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $59,900 ACVMLS
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $79,900 ACVMLS

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $683 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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