5033 Letson St · Brighton, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$93,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3BR 1BA. Full brick home. Full unfinished basement. Corner lot. Investment prospect. Very convenient location.
Key facts
- Functional layout
- Additional storage
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel ID available for records; Lot size approx. 0.22 acres
- Financial info: No financial or investor-specific details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Front garage entry; Basement parking; Driveway parking; One total garage space (located at basement level)
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Gas water heater; Internet service availability unknown
- Home design: Existing single-family property; Four-sided brick construction; Basement foundation; Tri-level/split-level features not indicated
- Construction: 4-side brick exterior; Basement (daylight) with all-unfinished areas
- Exterior features: Front porch; No deck, patio, pool, or garden listed; Located in Oakdale subdivision; Not waterfront; not in flood plain
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Electric stove
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo (shared bath)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Smooth ceilings; No notable built-in interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (laundry in basement); Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in basement area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $93k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $93k).
- Recommended offer: $90k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#459 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Brighton School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #566 of 627 statewide, top 90%, 365 students, 89% FRL); Hueytown High School (math 7% / reading 20%, grade F, #235 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 1,210 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 49% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $643 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $93k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.91%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $74,743
- List price
- $93,000
- Delta
- 24.43%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1401 Carol Cir | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (+4%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $98 | 71 |
| 911 12th Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 992 (-4%) | 1mo | $26,500 | $27 | 65 |
| 1446 12th St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,123 (+8%) | 12mo | $80,000 | $71 | 61 |
| 808 Alden Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 962 (-7%) | 12mo | $61,900 | $64 | 59 |
| 1545 Carol Cir | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,184 (+14%) | 11mo | $85,000 | $72 | 56 |
| 1521 Watts St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 903 (-13%) | 2mo | $10,000 | $11 | 56 |
| 907 7th St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,044 (+1%) | 10mo | $56,500 | $54 | 52 |
| 440 Oakmont St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-7%) | 3mo | $53,000 | $55 | 52 |
| 1209 8th St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-12%) | 15mo | $52,000 | $57 | 41 |
| 1502 9th Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (+11%) | 16mo | $10,000 | $9 | 35 |
| 4432 Mcclain St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 896 (-14%) | 22mo | $79,000 | $88 | 34 |
| 600 10th Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (+12%) | 15mo | $45,000 | $39 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $3,394
- Equity at exit
- $13,867
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $17,637
- Equity at exit
- $8,041
Cash invested: $26,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35020
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Rents YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,202 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$488
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $934/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $345
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,250
- Closing costs
- $2,790
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 832 Alden Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $1,150 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1109 12th Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1217 | $1,475 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4506 Letson St Brighton, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 806 12th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1262 | $1,075 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1401 9th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1254 Lewis St Brighton, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $850 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 603 11th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 605 10th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $850 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 617 8th Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 1d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 616 Rutledge Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,095 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 80 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 63 Wilkes Cir Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,250 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 63 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,200 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 608 5th Ave Midfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1241 | $795 | $0.64 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 36 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $875 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 200 Woodward Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,123 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1983 Townhouse Ln Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,100 | $0.75 | 16d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 520 Brewer Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 546 Selma Rd Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $900 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 222 4th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 216 Pine St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 733 Glen Ridge Dr Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,378 | $1.12 | 1d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1565 Miles St Dolomite, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 800 Fairfax Dr Fairfield, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 1d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 226 3rd Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6001 Ivy St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $950 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 925 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $950 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 923 Woodward Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1273 | $1,200 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 6025 Ivy St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,300 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 6029 Ivy St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $1,200 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $93,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $93,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $93,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $93,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $93,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $93,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $93,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $93,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $93,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $93,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $93,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $93,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $93,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06$93,000 Active 827-char remark
-
2026-01-06historical $1,075
-
2025-12-22$1,075
-
2023-11-30historical $995
-
2023-10-28$995
-
2023-08-24historical
-
2021-06-11soldstatus $35,000 Sold 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
3BR 1BA. Full brick home. Full unfinished basement. Corner lot. Investment prospect. Very convenient location.
-
2021-06-02historical Contingent 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
3BR 1BA. Full brick home. Full unfinished basement. Corner lot. Investment prospect. Very convenient location.
-
2021-05-26$39,900 Active 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
3BR 1BA. Full brick home. Full unfinished basement. Corner lot. Investment prospect. Very convenient location.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $934 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $934 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,424
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,209
- − Property taxes
- −$934
- − Insurance
- −$465
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,154
- − Management
- −$1,154
- − Depreciation
- −$2,705
- Taxable income
- $2,802
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$673
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,471/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Brighton
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #459
- US rank
- #23847
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brighton, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,892
- Household income
- $35,362
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1001.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 11% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.54%
- Current HPI
- 179.7702
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.12%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+133.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $93,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-06 Rental Removed $1,075 APPFOLIO
- 2025-12-22 Listed for Rent $1,075 APPFOLIO
- 2023-11-30 Rental Removed $995 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-28 Listed for Rent $995 APPFOLIO
- 2023-08-24 Rental Removed — APPFOLIO
- 2021-06-11 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-06-02 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-05-26 Listed $39,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2025): $934 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…