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183 W Berger Ave
A Composite 85.63
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$89,900

183 W Berger Ave · Syracuse, NY 13205
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,442 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1920 0.68 ac lot Est $147k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY or MAKE IT YOUR OWN FOR YOUR NEW HOME! Living Room, Dining Room, Kitchen 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath upstairs; Hardwood floors, NEW CHIMNEY, NEW WINDOWS, BRICK FIREPLACE, PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD IN "AS IN" CONDITION. SQ. FOOTAGE IS AS LISTED IN THE PUBLIC RECORDS.

Key facts

  • New chimney
  • Brick fireplace
  • New windows

Tags

NEW CHIMNEYNEW WINDOWSBRICK FIREPLACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story house; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Poured foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms located on the second floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heating present (see remarks)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Living/dining room; Partial basement; Has fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $857 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $90k implies a 799% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $88,551 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.02%
Cap rate
17.73%
Cash-on-cash
40.84%
DSCR
2.82
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,084
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
504 W Newell St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,545 (+7%) 0mo $110,000 $71 79
604 W Ostrander Ave 0.03mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,320 (-8%) 1mo $201,000 $152 72
122 Maxwell Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,410 (-2%) 4mo $160,000 $113 64
875 W Lafayette Ave 0.32mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,568 (+9%) 4mo $160,000 $102 62
144 Oakdale Dr 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-7%) 1mo $72,000 $54 62
403 Pacific Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,331 (-8%) 3mo $130,000 $98 60
142 Maxwell Ave 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,392 (-4%) 4mo $122,500 $88 56
147 E Matson Ave 0.72mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,421 (-2%) 3mo $80,000 $56 50
122 Charmouth Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,286 (-11%) 1mo $187,500 $146 48
133 Hobart Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-14%) 1mo $145,000 $116 43
609 W Colvin St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,236 (-14%) 2mo $100,000 $81 43
109 Smith Rd 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,244 (-14%) 2mo $155,500 $125 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.9%
Equity multiple
5.11×
Total profit
$103,527
Equity at exit
$80,989
10-year hold
IRR
49.4%
Equity multiple
11.41×
Total profit
$261,968
Equity at exit
$174,656

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13205

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,819 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $860/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$857

Break-even live

Break-even rent $735
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2331 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.5 1664 $2,300 $1.38 21d 1 0.36mi
300 Mains Ave Unit Bradford-7 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 13d 1 0.58mi
213 Fletcher Ave Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 13d 1 0.63mi
2859 S Salina St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 0.71mi
147 E Matson Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.5 1421 $2,000 $1.41 21d 1 0.72mi
1330 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1870 $2,000 $1.07 21d 1 0.81mi
158 Parkway Dr Syracuse, NY 4.0 3.0 1029 $2,250 $2.19 21d 1 0.83mi
269 W Borden Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.5 1800 $650 $0.36 21d 1 0.88mi
154 Seeley Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1312 $2,100 $1.60 13d 1 0.93mi
102 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,550 $1.29 13d 1 0.99mi
116 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,295 $1.57 13d 7 1.11mi
260 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 1200 $2,097 $1.75 44d 1 1.39mi
409 Stolp Ave Syracuse, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0 849 $1,575 $1.86 13d 5 1.39mi
259 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 1350 $699 $0.52 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $89,900 Pending 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-05-20
    listed $89,900 Active
  8. 2004-03-30
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$860 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,190 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$330/yr (+$27/mo · 38.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,832
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$860
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,747
− Management
−$1,747
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$9,378
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,251
After-tax cash flow
$8,030/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
City population
152,627
Population (ZIP)
18,562

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 37% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Swiss 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.12%
Current HPI
345.8854
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+799.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $89,900 CNYIS
  • 2004-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $860 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…