211 Cannon Ln · Knollwood, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$143,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Centrally located near Hwy 75, Hwy 82, shopping, and dining, this Palm Harbor & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; built home offers comfort, quality, and convenience in Knollwood Mobile Home Park. Situated on a desirable corner lot, the property features exterior Hardie board siding, 4x6 exterior walls, gutters around the entire roofline, a fully sodded yard (April 2024), and additional storage under the home with a hinged door opening. Inside, you & acirc; & euro; & trade; ll find an open layout filled with abundant natural light, all interior drywall with texture and paint, crown molding, and extra-wide doorways throughout. The kitchen with eat-in dining area offers an abund
Key facts
- Fully sodded yard
- Open layout
- Hardie board siding
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $143k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $736 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $143k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,276 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Sherman ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #546 of 826 in TX (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 636 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $989 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.07%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,832
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Cannon Ln | 0.02mi | 4/2.0 | 1,768 (-14%) | 13mo | $104,000 | $59 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $17,369
- Equity at exit
- $21,322
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $50,933
- Equity at exit
- $12,364
Cash invested: $40,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75092
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 636
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,183 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$750
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$179 /mo · $2,145/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$458
- Net cashflow
- $736
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,750
- Closing costs
- $4,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4909 Sweetbay Rd Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2006 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 20d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 601 Graham Dr Sherman, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1119 | $2,526 | $2.26 | 20d | 68 | 0.35mi |
| 4901 Sweetbay Rd Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2038 | $2,300 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 100 W North Creek Dr Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 20d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4409 Augusta Cir Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4723 N Loy Lake Rd Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1475 | $1,500 | $1.02 | 20d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 418 Sagebrush Trl Sherman, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2472 | $2,490 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 504 Sagebrush Trl Sherman, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2472 | $2,545 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 619 Sagebrush Trl Sherman, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2386 | $2,400 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3813 Melrose Trl Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2180 | $2,450 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $143,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $143,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $143,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $143,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $143,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $143,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $143,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 675-char remark
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2026-06-10$143,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,198
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,010
- − Property taxes
- −$2,145
- − Insurance
- −$715
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,096
- − Management
- −$2,096
- − Depreciation
- −$4,160
- Taxable income
- $6,976
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,674
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,163/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This well-maintained mobile home in Knollwood Mobile Home Park offers a good condition with potential for minor cosmetic improvements to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating these spaces can significantly increase the home's value for both buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating these spaces can significantly increase the home's value for both buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sherman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840080
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,587
- Composite
- 28.79/100
- National rank
- #6665
- State rank
- #546 of 826 in TX
Livability — Knollwood
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #1276
- US rank
- #22189
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Knollwood, TX
- County
- Grayson County · 108,053 people
- Metro
- Sherman-Denison, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,342
- Household income
- $68,036
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1278.0
Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,540 people
- By 2030
- 138,653 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 145,958 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 151,218 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 161,802 · +20.3%
- By 2100
- 159,036 · +18.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grayson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.47%
- Current HPI
- 235.984
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.36%
- Metro
- Sherman-Denison, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-1.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $143,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-02-11 Listed $145,000 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…