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4911 Dahlia Dr
B+ Composite 78.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

4911 Dahlia Dr · Bossier City, LA 71111
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,063 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1969 7,231 sqft lot Est $120k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity with this investment property. A little TLC from paint to flooring and this baby is ready to go! 3 beds, 1.5 baths with all major systems being less than 10 years old. Metal roof with lifetime warranty. Great area of town that rents quickly. Add this great addition to your portfolio and watch the rent come in.

Key facts

  • 7,231 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1969

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: County: Bossier; Country: United States; Directions: GPS
  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (covered, 1 covered space, 1 carport space); No garage spaces
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Property in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Property attached: Yes
  • Construction: Brick construction; Metal roof; Built in 1969
  • Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (approximately 0.166 acres); Subdivision: Swan Lake Sub

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom with ensuite bath
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; One living area; One dining area; 8 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room (main level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $497 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 4.7% in Bossier City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#47 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Bossier Parish (urban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #17 of 98 in LA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 421 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 716 units permitted in Bossier Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bossier County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
12.26%
Cash-on-cash
21.32%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$120,119
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4844 Camellia Ln 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,091 (+3%) 3mo $149,900 $137 86
4913 Dahlia Dr 0.01mi 3/1.5 1,021 (-4%) 10mo $105,000 $103 85
4853 Lilac Cir 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,013 (-5%) 8mo $122,000 $120 77
4908 Okeefe St 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,023 (-4%) 11mo $95,900 $94 73
4817 Orchid Cir 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,006 (-5%) 8mo $119,900 $119 69
4517 Donnie Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,022 (-4%) 3mo $128,000 $125 59
4809 Sullivan St 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,186 (+12%) 9mo $115,000 $97 56
4521 Donnie Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,074 (+1%) 17mo $109,900 $102 53
4825 Sullivan St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,204 (+13%) 12mo $134,000 $111 52
4717 Okeefe St 0.49mi 3/2.5 1,144 (+8%) 11mo $129,900 $114 51
4610 Voss Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,126 (+6%) 9mo $127,500 $113 47
4603 Sullivan St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+8%) 11mo $89,900 $78 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$20,731
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
3.93×
Total profit
$82,067
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71111

Home prices YoY
-34.8%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
421
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,424 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$497

Break-even live

Break-even rent $795
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4720 Okeefe St Bossier City, LA 3.0 1.0 1212 $1,300 $1.07 21d 1 0.47mi
5705 E Texas St #175 Bossier City, LA 2.0 1.5 1044 $1,050 $1.01 43d 1 0.48mi
4612 Sullivan St Bossier City, LA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,200 $1.39 21d 1 0.55mi
5200 E Texas St Bossier City, LA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1068 $1,731 $1.62 13d 28 0.65mi
800 Venecia Dr Bossier City, LA 3.0 2.0 1363 $2,000 $1.47 43d 1 0.79mi
1206 Olwen Dr Bossier City, LA 3.0 1.0 1056 $975 $0.92 13d 1 0.82mi
1314 Lampkin St Bossier City, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 21d 1 0.91mi
1523 Lampkin Cir Bossier City, LA 3.0 1.0 1114 $1,150 $1.03 21d 1 0.99mi
1315 Norris Dr Bossier City, LA 3.0 1.0 1095 $1,150 $1.05 21d 1 1.08mi
1419 Teekell St Bossier City, LA 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,400 $1.22 43d 1 1.09mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    remarks 329-char remark
  3. 2026-06-16
    listed $99,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$748 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$748 · $62/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 3% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,086
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,367
− Management
−$1,367
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$4,603
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,105
After-tax cash flow
$4,859/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bossier Parish
NCES district ID
2200270
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -28.00%
Median HH income
$51,326
Composite
37.5/100
National rank
#4402
State rank
#17 of 98 in LA

Livability — Bossier City

Score
71/100
State rank
#47
US rank
#7044

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bossier City, LA
County
Bossier Parish · 98,704 people
City population
91,925
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
Population (ZIP)
43,925
Household income
$65,292
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
1942.0

Population outlook (Bossier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
143,247 people
By 2030
151,802 · +6.0%
By 2040
168,194 · +17.4%
By 2050
183,533 · +28.1%
By 2075
217,009 · +51.5%
By 2100
230,091 · +60.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bossier

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.7% · R 71.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+0.3pp no change · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -43.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.3 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+45.4 2008: R+43.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.78%
Current HPI
149.4336
Rent YoY
▲ 6.56%
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $99,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $748 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…