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19195 Greeley St
B Composite 71.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$42,500

19195 Greeley St · Detroit, MI 48203
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 838 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1924 3,049 sqft lot $51/sqft · 9% below area Est $46k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BANK OWNED MIN EMD $750 TO BE HELD BY LIST OFFICE IN CERTIFIED FUNDS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR PRE APPROVAL LETTER REQUIRED FOR ALL OFFERS. BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL CITY CERT AND INSPECTIONS, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO ACR, WELL, SEPTIC AND CERT OF OCCUPANCY. DIMENSIONS ARE APPROXIMATE. BATVAI.

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1924
  • Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and a half stories; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.07 acres (30 x 100)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $613 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $294 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $2k; list at $42k implies a 1600% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $41,862 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.89%
Cap rate
23.61%
Cash-on-cash
61.84%
DSCR
3.75
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$46,490
List price
$42,500
Delta
-8.58%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18877 Fleming St 0.47mi 2/1.0 870 (+4%) 3mo $9,900 $11 70
19210 Cameron St 0.28mi 2/1.0 750 (-10%) 5mo $52,500 $70 66
18042 Russell St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 851 (+2%) 9mo $45,000 $53 58
19164 Dequindre St 0.28mi 3/1.5 (+1) 918 (+10%) 8mo $80,000 $87 58
18882 Marx St 0.28mi 2/1.0 945 (+13%) 13mo $28,000 $30 55
19235 Fleming St 0.44mi 2/1.0 720 (-14%) 6mo $57,000 $79 52
19308 Lumpkin St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 747 (-11%) 10mo $38,000 $51 49
18128 Fleming St 0.65mi 2/1.0 950 (+13%) 1mo $21,500 $23 47
709 E Margaret St 0.65mi 3/1.5 (+1) 913 (+9%) 6mo $15,000 $16 42
17888 Marx St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 937 (+12%) 2mo $34,000 $36 42
20401 Greeley St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 928 (+11%) 1mo $55,000 $59 41
18908 Mackay St 0.59mi 2/1.0 724 (-14%) 11mo $32,624 $45 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
60.8%
Equity multiple
3.71×
Total profit
$32,227
Equity at exit
$6,337
10-year hold
IRR
65.4%
Equity multiple
7.60×
Total profit
$78,590
Equity at exit
$3,675

Cash invested: $11,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48203

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,230 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$223
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,416/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$613

Break-even live

Break-even rent $454
Max offer price $42,500
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,625
Closing costs
$1,275
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 0.27mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 16d 1 0.47mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 24d 1 0.51mi
18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 790 $1,050 $1.33 16d 1 0.71mi
19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 16d 1 0.73mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 16d 1 0.83mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 15d 1 0.97mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 16d 1 1.02mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 24d 1 1.03mi
404 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 43d 1 1.04mi
406 W Goldengate St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 43d 1 1.04mi
2034 John B Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,261 $1.37 43d 1 1.08mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 1.10mi
1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $5,301 $5.13 1d 1 1.13mi
1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 721 $1,500 $2.08 24d 1 1.21mi
407 E Hayes Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 24d 1 1.26mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 16d 1 1.30mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 24d 1 1.31mi
1326 E Evelyn Ave Unit 1032332P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1097 $6,448 $5.88 1d 1 1.33mi
27 E Milton Ave Hazel Park, MI 1.0 1.0 568 $1,050 $1.85 15d 1 1.35mi
155 W George Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 725 $1,000 $1.38 24d 1 1.35mi
1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 749 $1,295 $1.73 18d 1 1.35mi
21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 837 $1,375 $1.64 22d 1 1.35mi
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 18d 1 1.42mi
13929 Arlington St Unit 2 Hamtramck, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    listed $42,500 Active 149-char remark
  2. 2026-05-11
    listed $42,500 Active 149-char remark
  3. 2010-06-23
    soldstatus $2,500
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    BANK OWNED MIN EMD $750 TO BE HELD BY LIST OFFICE IN CERTIFIED FUNDS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR PRE APPROVAL LETTER REQUIRED FOR ALL OFFERS. BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL CITY CERT AND INSPECTIONS, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO ACR, WELL, SEPTIC AND CERT OF OCCUPANCY. DIMENSIONS ARE APPROXIMATE. BATVAI.

  4. 2010-03-26
    listed $2,500
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    BANK OWNED MIN EMD $750 TO BE HELD BY LIST OFFICE IN CERTIFIED FUNDS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR PRE APPROVAL LETTER REQUIRED FOR ALL OFFERS. BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL CITY CERT AND INSPECTIONS, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO ACR, WELL, SEPTIC AND CERT OF OCCUPANCY. DIMENSIONS ARE APPROXIMATE. BATVAI.

  5. 2010-03-04
    historical
  6. 2009-12-18
    historical
  7. 2009-12-17
    listed $4,900
  8. 2009-04-22
    listed $2,400
  9. 2007-11-20
    soldstatus $67,000
  10. 2006-11-02
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,416 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,416 · $118/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,761
− Mortgage interest
−$2,381
− Property taxes
−$1,416
− Insurance
−$212
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,181
− Management
−$1,181
− Depreciation
−$1,236
Taxable income
$7,154
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,717
After-tax cash flow
$5,641/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,049
Household income
$38,404
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
1192.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.13%
Current HPI
297.0176
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $42,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $42,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-06-23 Sold (MLS) $2,500 REALCOMP
  • 2010-03-26 Listed $2,500 REALCOMP
  • 2010-03-04 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-12-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-12-17 Listed $4,900 REALCOMP
  • 2009-04-22 Listed $2,400 REALCOMP
  • 2007-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2006-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,416 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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