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5104 Lakeland Rd
B- Composite 65.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

5104 Lakeland Rd · College Park, MD 20740
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,235 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1949 0.29 ac lot $283/sqft · 11% above area Est $533k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Exceptional opportunity in the heart of College Park just minutes from the University of Maryland! This spacious detached Cape Cod offers 6 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a flexible income-producing layout ideal for investors or owner-occupants alike. The home features approximately 1,235 finished square feet above grade plus a finished basement apartment offering additional living space and rental potential. Situated in a highly desirable rental market with strong long-term demand, this property is perfect for student housing, multi-generational living, or buyers seeking to maximize income potential. Features include multiple living configurations, generous bedroom count, private yard spa

Key facts

  • Private yard space
  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Built 1949

Tags

INCOME PRODUCING LAYOUTFINISHED BASEMENT APARTMENTPRIVATE YARD SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership; Accessibility with 2+ access exits

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas for heating and hot water
  • Home design: Detached property; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Partially fenced yard; No tidal water on the lot; Below-grade finished area (estimated)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; Two bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the first lower level; Master bedroom
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total; One half bathroom total; One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom on the first lower level; One half bathroom on the first upper level
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Natural gas heating and hot water; Window air conditioning units (electric)
  • Interior features: Dining area; Living room; Dining room; Game room; Den; Outside entrance to basement; Walkout stairs to basement; Fully finished basement; Estimated living area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $702 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $350k).
  • Recommended offer: $345k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.4% in College Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#44 in MD, #1,640 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,885/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 2772% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($345k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $350k implies a 289% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $344,750 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.70%
Cash-on-cash
8.59%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$532,762
List price
$350,000
Delta
-34.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8713 Rhode Island Ave 0.56mi 6/2.0 1,175 (-5%) 13mo $430,000 $366 55
8804 48th Ave 0.65mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,410 (+14%) 11mo $395,000 $280 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.49% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-2,017
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$98,982
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20740

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,885 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$386 /mo · $4,634/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$816
Net cashflow
$702

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,997
Max offer price $350,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $900 -5% $801 +0% $702 +5% $603 +10% $504
Rent -10% $395 -5% $548 +0% $702 +5% $855 +10% $1,009
Rate -1.0pp $878 -0.5pp $791 base $702 +0.5pp $611 +1.0pp $519

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8713 Rhode Island Ave College Park, MD 6.0 3.0 1175 $4,007 $3.41 5d 1 0.55mi
9108 49th Ave College Park, MD 5.0 3.0 1188 $3,500 $2.95 44d 1 1.02mi
5001 Iroquois St College Park, MD 5.0 3.0 1183 $3,500 $2.96 0d 1 1.31mi
8709 37th Ave College Park, MD 6.0 3.0 1230 $4,000 $3.25 44d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    listed $350,000 Active 915-char remark
  2. 1999-08-09
    soldstatus $90,000
  3. 1999-07-21
    soldstatus $90,000
  4. 1999-06-01
    historical
  5. 1999-04-14
    listed $110,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,634 · $386/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,634 · $386/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,620
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$4,634
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,730
− Management
−$3,730
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable income
$2,990
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$718
After-tax cash flow
$7,703/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Prince George'S County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400510
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$73,967
Composite
16.82/100
National rank
#9151
State rank
#21 of 24 in MD

Livability — College Park

Score
80/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#1640

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
College Park, MD
County
Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
City population
36,847
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
36,847
Household income
$77,317
Rent vs Own
63.3% rent · 36.7% own
Severe rent burden
2772.0

Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,005,426 people
By 2030
1,048,416 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,123,425 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,183,220 · +17.7%
By 2075
1,306,202 · +29.9%
By 2100
1,408,179 · +40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
White 35% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 22% Asian 14% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's

2024 margin
Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -337.75%
Current HPI
314.4446
Rent YoY
▲ 5.49%
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+218.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 1999-07-21 Sold (MLS) $90,000 MRIS
  • 1999-06-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 1999-04-14 Listed $110,000 MRIS

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,634 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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