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125 Hunters Dr 🌊 Lakefront
B- Composite 69.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$119,900

125 Hunters Dr · Westwood Shores, TX 75862
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,924 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 114 Days on market
Built 1980 0.56 ac lot $62/sqft · 28% below area Est $166k · 28% under $27/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled in a peaceful lakefront community in Trinity, Texas, this charming 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and outdoor living. Situated on a desirable corner lot, the property features a beautifully treed landscape that provides both shade and serenity. Enjoy easy lake access just moments away—ideal for fishing, boating, or simply soaking in the scenic views. The home boasts a spacious kitchen with abundant cabinetry and storage, perfect for cooking and entertaining, and the two nearly new mini splits will keep you heated and cooled to perfection. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard, ideal for pets or play, and take advantage of multiple storage buildings for all your tools and gear. A circle driveway and covered parking add convenience and curb appeal, making this home as practical as it is inviting. Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat or a full-time residence, this property offers the relaxed lifestyle of lake living with all the amenities you need.

Key facts

  • Easy lake access
  • Lakefront community
  • Treed landscape

Tags

LAKEFRONT COMMUNITYCORNER LOTTREED LANDSCAPEEASY LAKE ACCESSSPACIOUS KITCHENFULLY FENCED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.6% in Westwood Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#914 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Trinity ISD (rural): math 27% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #682 of 826 in TX (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 468 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Trinity County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $209 of equity ($829 loan paydown + $-620 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Trinity County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 92% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,109 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.91%
Cash-on-cash
9.34%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$166,255
List price
$119,900
Delta
-27.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
179 S Oak Blf 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,924 (0%) 9mo $37,500 $19 63
171 W Dogwood Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 2,167 (+13%) 20mo $327,000 $151 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$10,273
Equity at exit
$31,748
10-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$42,987
Equity at exit
$35,794

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75862

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
468
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,365 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$112 /mo · $1,338/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$27
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,034
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $329 -5% $295 +0% $261 +5% $227 +10% $194
Rent -10% $154 -5% $207 +0% $261 +5% $315 +10% $369
Rate -1.0pp $322 -0.5pp $292 base $261 +0.5pp $230 +1.0pp $199

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$27 · $324/yr

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,900 Active 114 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 113 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 107 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 105 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 102 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,900 Active 99 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 95 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 94 DOM
  17. 2026-02-25
    price $119,900 1023-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1023 chars)

    Nestled in a peaceful lakefront community in Trinity, Texas, this charming 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and outdoor living. Situated on a desirable corner lot, the property features a beautifully treed landscape that provides both shade and serenity. Enjoy easy lake access just moments away—ideal for fishing, boating, or simply soaking in the scenic views. The home boasts a spacious kitchen with abundant cabinetry and storage, perfect for cooking and entertaining, and the two nearly new mini splits will keep you heated and cooled to perfection. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard, ideal for pets or play, and take advantage of multiple storage buildings for all your tools and gear. A circle driveway and covered parking add convenience and curb appeal, making this home as practical as it is inviting. Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat or a full-time residence, this property offers the relaxed lifestyle of lake living with all the amenities you need.

  18. 2026-02-25
    listed $119,900 Active 1023-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1023 chars)

    Nestled in a peaceful lakefront community in Trinity, Texas, this charming 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and outdoor living. Situated on a desirable corner lot, the property features a beautifully treed landscape that provides both shade and serenity. Enjoy easy lake access just moments away—ideal for fishing, boating, or simply soaking in the scenic views. The home boasts a spacious kitchen with abundant cabinetry and storage, perfect for cooking and entertaining, and the two nearly new mini splits will keep you heated and cooled to perfection. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard, ideal for pets or play, and take advantage of multiple storage buildings for all your tools and gear. A circle driveway and covered parking add convenience and curb appeal, making this home as practical as it is inviting. Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat or a full-time residence, this property offers the relaxed lifestyle of lake living with all the amenities you need.

  19. 2025-10-20
    listed $125,000 Active 1023-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1023 chars)

    Nestled in a peaceful lakefront community in Trinity, Texas, this charming 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and outdoor living. Situated on a desirable corner lot, the property features a beautifully treed landscape that provides both shade and serenity. Enjoy easy lake access just moments away—ideal for fishing, boating, or simply soaking in the scenic views. The home boasts a spacious kitchen with abundant cabinetry and storage, perfect for cooking and entertaining, and the two nearly new mini splits will keep you heated and cooled to perfection. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard, ideal for pets or play, and take advantage of multiple storage buildings for all your tools and gear. A circle driveway and covered parking add convenience and curb appeal, making this home as practical as it is inviting. Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat or a full-time residence, this property offers the relaxed lifestyle of lake living with all the amenities you need.

  20. 2024-07-02
    soldstatus Sold
  21. 2024-06-10
    status Pending
  22. 2024-05-01
    price $99,000
  23. 2024-03-28
    price $105,000
  24. 2024-03-27
    listed $95,000 Active
  25. 2023-12-06
    soldstatus Sold
  26. 2023-11-17
    status Pending
  27. 2023-10-31
    status Active
  28. 2023-10-28
    status Pending, Continue to Show
  29. 2023-10-19
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,338 · $112/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,194 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$856/yr (+$71/mo · 64.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 92% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,385
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,338
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,311
− Management
−$1,311
− HOA
−$324
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$1,297
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$311
After-tax cash flow
$2,826/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trinity ISD
NCES district ID
4843200
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$37,104
Composite
23.31/100
National rank
#7919
State rank
#682 of 826 in TX

Livability — Westwood Shores

Score
62/100
State rank
#914
US rank
#16347

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,030

Population outlook (Trinity County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,746 people
By 2030
13,333 · -3.0%
By 2040
12,542 · -8.8%
By 2050
11,942 · -13.1%
By 2075
10,871 · -20.9%
By 2100
9,784 · -28.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 10% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Trinity

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.0) · D 16.2% · R 83.2%
2008→2024 swing
-31.3pp toward R · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -67.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.0 2020: R+61.3 2016: R+59.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+35.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.52%
Current HPI
174.6638
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $119,900 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $119,900 Unlock MLS
  • 2025-10-20 Listed $125,000 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-07-02 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2024-06-10 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-05-01 Price Changed $99,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-03-28 Price Changed $105,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-03-27 Listed $95,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-12-06 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2023-11-17 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-10-31 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2023-10-28 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-10-19 Listed $85,000 HARMLS

Property tax history

+9.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,338 · +25.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…