🌊 Lakefront
125 Hunters Dr · Westwood Shores, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 92.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled in a peaceful lakefront community in Trinity, Texas, this charming 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and outdoor living. Situated on a desirable corner lot, the property features a beautifully treed landscape that provides both shade and serenity. Enjoy easy lake access just moments away—ideal for fishing, boating, or simply soaking in the scenic views. The home boasts a spacious kitchen with abundant cabinetry and storage, perfect for cooking and entertaining, and the two nearly new mini splits will keep you heated and cooled to perfection. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard, ideal for pets or play, and take advantage of multiple storage buildings for all your tools and gear. A circle driveway and covered parking add convenience and curb appeal, making this home as practical as it is inviting. Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat or a full-time residence, this property offers the relaxed lifestyle of lake living with all the amenities you need.
Key facts
- Easy lake access
- Lakefront community
- Treed landscape
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.6% in Westwood Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#914 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Trinity ISD (rural): math 27% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #682 of 826 in TX (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 468 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Trinity County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $209 of equity ($829 loan paydown + $-620 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Trinity County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 92% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.34%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,255
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -27.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179 S Oak Blf | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,924 (0%) | 9mo | $37,500 | $19 | 63 |
| 171 W Dogwood Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 2,167 (+13%) | 20mo | $327,000 | $151 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $10,273
- Equity at exit
- $31,748
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $42,987
- Equity at exit
- $35,794
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75862
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 468
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,365 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$112 /mo · $1,338/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$27
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $261
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $329 | -5% $295 | +0% $261 | +5% $227 | +10% $194 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $154 | -5% $207 | +0% $261 | +5% $315 | +10% $369 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $322 | -0.5pp $292 | base $261 | +0.5pp $230 | +1.0pp $199 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $27 · $324/yr
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-02-25price $119,900 1023-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
Nestled in a peaceful lakefront community in Trinity, Texas, this charming 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and outdoor living. Situated on a desirable corner lot, the property features a beautifully treed landscape that provides both shade and serenity. Enjoy easy lake access just moments away—ideal for fishing, boating, or simply soaking in the scenic views. The home boasts a spacious kitchen with abundant cabinetry and storage, perfect for cooking and entertaining, and the two nearly new mini splits will keep you heated and cooled to perfection. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard, ideal for pets or play, and take advantage of multiple storage buildings for all your tools and gear. A circle driveway and covered parking add convenience and curb appeal, making this home as practical as it is inviting. Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat or a full-time residence, this property offers the relaxed lifestyle of lake living with all the amenities you need.
-
2026-02-25$119,900 Active 1023-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
Nestled in a peaceful lakefront community in Trinity, Texas, this charming 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and outdoor living. Situated on a desirable corner lot, the property features a beautifully treed landscape that provides both shade and serenity. Enjoy easy lake access just moments away—ideal for fishing, boating, or simply soaking in the scenic views. The home boasts a spacious kitchen with abundant cabinetry and storage, perfect for cooking and entertaining, and the two nearly new mini splits will keep you heated and cooled to perfection. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard, ideal for pets or play, and take advantage of multiple storage buildings for all your tools and gear. A circle driveway and covered parking add convenience and curb appeal, making this home as practical as it is inviting. Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat or a full-time residence, this property offers the relaxed lifestyle of lake living with all the amenities you need.
-
2025-10-20$125,000 Active 1023-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
Nestled in a peaceful lakefront community in Trinity, Texas, this charming 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and outdoor living. Situated on a desirable corner lot, the property features a beautifully treed landscape that provides both shade and serenity. Enjoy easy lake access just moments away—ideal for fishing, boating, or simply soaking in the scenic views. The home boasts a spacious kitchen with abundant cabinetry and storage, perfect for cooking and entertaining, and the two nearly new mini splits will keep you heated and cooled to perfection. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard, ideal for pets or play, and take advantage of multiple storage buildings for all your tools and gear. A circle driveway and covered parking add convenience and curb appeal, making this home as practical as it is inviting. Whether you're looking for a weekend retreat or a full-time residence, this property offers the relaxed lifestyle of lake living with all the amenities you need.
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2024-07-02soldstatus Sold
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2024-06-10status Pending
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2024-05-01price $99,000
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2024-03-28price $105,000
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2024-03-27$95,000 Active
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2023-12-06soldstatus Sold
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2023-11-17status Pending
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2023-10-31status Active
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2023-10-28status Pending, Continue to Show
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2023-10-19$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,338 · $112/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,194 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$856/yr (+$71/mo · 64.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 92% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,385
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,338
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,311
- − Management
- −$1,311
- − HOA
- −$324
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $1,297
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$311
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,826/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trinity ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843200
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,104
- Composite
- 23.31/100
- National rank
- #7919
- State rank
- #682 of 826 in TX
Livability — Westwood Shores
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #914
- US rank
- #16347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,030
Population outlook (Trinity County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,746 people
- By 2030
- 13,333 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 12,542 · -8.8%
- By 2050
- 11,942 · -13.1%
- By 2075
- 10,871 · -20.9%
- By 2100
- 9,784 · -28.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 10% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Trinity
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.0) · D 16.2% · R 83.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.3pp toward R · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.0 2020: R+61.3 2016: R+59.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+35.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.52%
- Current HPI
- 174.6638
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+41.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $119,900 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-02-25 Listed $119,900 Unlock MLS
- 2025-10-20 Listed $125,000 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-07-02 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2024-06-10 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-05-01 Price Changed $99,000 HARMLS
- 2024-03-28 Price Changed $105,000 HARMLS
- 2024-03-27 Listed $95,000 HARMLS
- 2023-12-06 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2023-11-17 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-10-31 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2023-10-28 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-10-19 Listed $85,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,338 · +25.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…