24600 Mountain Ave #138 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.5/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the desired Mountain View Estates an age qualified 55+ senior park. Beautiful views of the San Jacinto mountains & park like setting. Move in ready 1987 Canterbury MH manufactured by Golden West Homes 2 bedroom with a den could be a third bedroom, 2 bathrooms. Enter the front door to the large living room & dining room with a built-in lighted hutch. Kitchen has new refrigerator (INCLUDED) & new freestanding gas range & oven, breakfast bar & lots of built-in cabinetry and open to the family room. Large master bedroom with wardrobe closet. Master bathroom has a vanity sink & shower/tub combo. Guest bedroom has a wardrobe closet. Guest bathroom with vanity sink & shower/tub combo. Indoor laundry room & direct access to the full-length covered carport. One large storage shed improved and lots of extra storage. Home features many upgrades, newer carpeting, laminate wood flooring & plumbing. Mountain View Estates features a resort style pool & spa. The clubhouse features several amenities & recreational activities and has lots of social gatherings. Great location close to the clubhouse. Call today for your private showing!!
Key facts
- New refrigerator
- Move in ready
- Breakfast bar
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 323 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.28%
- DSCR
- 3.06
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $88,176
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 13.30%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24600 Mountain Ave #63 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $39,000 | $29 | 99 |
| 24600 Mountain Ave #66 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 6mo | $129,900 | $97 | 95 |
| 24600 Mountain Ave #20 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $90 | 86 |
| 881 N Lake St #204 | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $56 | 86 |
| 880 N Lake St #49 | 0.17mi | 2/2.5 | 1,344 (0%) | 7mo | $103,000 | $77 | 84 |
| 24600 Mountain #58 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $56 | 84 |
| 880 Lake St N #81 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 8mo | $98,000 | $73 | 83 |
| 24600 Mountain Ave #97 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 6mo | $89,000 | $62 | 83 |
| 24600 Mountain Ave #103 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $63 | 82 |
| 881 Lake Street Space 253 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $67 | 72 |
| 24770 Wendell Dr | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 1mo | $259,000 | $180 | 64 |
| 43334 Ballew | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $222 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $56,651
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 52.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.56×
- Total profit
- $155,424
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92544
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 323
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,130 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $464/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$447
- Net cashflow
- $1,079
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1809 Rue Chenin Blanc San Jacinto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $2,500 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1939 Hooper Dr San Jacinto, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,950 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 43435 Nola St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 43170 Wall St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,895 | $1.66 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 43816 C St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,250 | $2.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $99,900 1212-char remark
Show marketing remark (1212 chars)
Welcome to the desired Mountain View Estates an age qualified 55+ senior park. Beautiful views of the San Jacinto mountains & park like setting. Move in ready 1987 Canterbury MH manufactured by Golden West Homes 2 bedroom with a den could be a third bedroom, 2 bathrooms. Enter the front door to the large living room & dining room with a built-in lighted hutch. Kitchen has new refrigerator (INCLUDED) & new freestanding gas range & oven, breakfast bar & lots of built-in cabinetry and open to the family room. Large master bedroom with wardrobe closet. Master bathroom has a vanity sink & shower/tub combo. Guest bedroom has a wardrobe closet. Guest bathroom with vanity sink & shower/tub combo. Indoor laundry room & direct access to the full-length covered carport. One large storage shed improved and lots of extra storage. Home features many upgrades, newer carpeting, laminate wood flooring & plumbing. Mountain View Estates features a resort style pool & spa. The clubhouse features several amenities & recreational activities and has lots of social gatherings. Great location close to the clubhouse. Call today for your private showing!!
-
2026-04-02price $119,900 1212-char remark
Show marketing remark (1212 chars)
Welcome to the desired Mountain View Estates an age qualified 55+ senior park. Beautiful views of the San Jacinto mountains & park like setting. Move in ready 1987 Canterbury MH manufactured by Golden West Homes 2 bedroom with a den could be a third bedroom, 2 bathrooms. Enter the front door to the large living room & dining room with a built-in lighted hutch. Kitchen has new refrigerator (INCLUDED) & new freestanding gas range & oven, breakfast bar & lots of built-in cabinetry and open to the family room. Large master bedroom with wardrobe closet. Master bathroom has a vanity sink & shower/tub combo. Guest bedroom has a wardrobe closet. Guest bathroom with vanity sink & shower/tub combo. Indoor laundry room & direct access to the full-length covered carport. One large storage shed improved and lots of extra storage. Home features many upgrades, newer carpeting, laminate wood flooring & plumbing. Mountain View Estates features a resort style pool & spa. The clubhouse features several amenities & recreational activities and has lots of social gatherings. Great location close to the clubhouse. Call today for your private showing!!
-
2026-02-13$125,000 Active 1212-char remark
Show marketing remark (1212 chars)
Welcome to the desired Mountain View Estates an age qualified 55+ senior park. Beautiful views of the San Jacinto mountains & park like setting. Move in ready 1987 Canterbury MH manufactured by Golden West Homes 2 bedroom with a den could be a third bedroom, 2 bathrooms. Enter the front door to the large living room & dining room with a built-in lighted hutch. Kitchen has new refrigerator (INCLUDED) & new freestanding gas range & oven, breakfast bar & lots of built-in cabinetry and open to the family room. Large master bedroom with wardrobe closet. Master bathroom has a vanity sink & shower/tub combo. Guest bedroom has a wardrobe closet. Guest bathroom with vanity sink & shower/tub combo. Indoor laundry room & direct access to the full-length covered carport. One large storage shed improved and lots of extra storage. Home features many upgrades, newer carpeting, laminate wood flooring & plumbing. Mountain View Estates features a resort style pool & spa. The clubhouse features several amenities & recreational activities and has lots of social gatherings. Great location close to the clubhouse. Call today for your private showing!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $464 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $759 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$295/yr (+$25/mo · 63.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,564
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$464
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,045
- − Management
- −$2,045
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $12,008
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,882
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,064/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,751
- Household income
- $73,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1518.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% White 40% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -219.06%
- Current HPI
- 391.972
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.90%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-20.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $99,900 CRMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $119,900 CRMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $125,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $464 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…