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206 S Chestnut St
D+ Composite 48.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$159,900

206 S Chestnut St · Earl Park, IN 47942
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,732 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1910 0.36 ac lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

We've got a wonderful home priced just right for you! This property has had several updates over the last few years including updates to the baths, some new flooring, and a newer roof. Located in the heart of the wonderful community of Earl Park and offering 3 to possibly 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, a 2 car garage, PLUS an extra storage shed in the backyard, both front porch and back patios for your outdoor activities, a spacious yard, and so much more. We really love the corner built-ins that you'll find tucked away in the open dining space. The kitchen also has plenty of room to add your chef's island if you so desire. Come check it out for yourself, this one won't last long at all!

Key facts

  • 0.36 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1910

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($167/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (19.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#392 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Benton Community School Corporation (rural): math 38% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #134 of 301 in IN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Prairie Crossing Elementary School (math 46% / reading 37%, grade F, #478 of 994 statewide, top 49%, 561 students, 65% FRL); Benton Central Jr-Sr High School (math 31% / reading 53%, grade F, #197 of 369 statewide, top 57%, 790 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 38% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (7.1% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (7.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $69k; list at $160k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $129,225 (19.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.37%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$57,723
Equity at exit
$111,915
10-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
4.73×
Total profit
$166,935
Equity at exit
$213,600

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47942

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,292 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,222/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,275
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $104 -5% $59 +0% $14 +5% $-31 +10% $-77
Rent -10% $-88 -5% $-37 +0% $14 +5% $65 +10% $116
Rate -1.0pp $94 -0.5pp $55 base $14 +0.5pp $-28 +1.0pp $-70

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2012-09-24
    soldstatus $69,000
  2. 2012-06-14
    historical
  3. 2012-05-02
    historical
  4. 2012-01-13
    listed $74,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,222 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,291 · $108/mo
Expected delta
+$69/yr (+$6/mo · 5.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,507
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$1,222
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,241
− Management
−$1,241
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$2,604
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$625
After-tax cash flow
$792/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Benton Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1800480
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,073
Composite
34.9/100
National rank
#5076
State rank
#134 of 301 in IN

Livability — Earl Park

Score
64/100
State rank
#392
US rank
#14495

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Earl Park, IN
Population (ZIP)
789

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,404 people
By 2030
8,234 · -2.0%
By 2040
7,832 · -6.8%
By 2050
7,337 · -12.7%
By 2075
6,436 · -23.4%
By 2100
5,139 · -38.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Romanian 5% Iranian 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.5% · R 72.7% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-30.9pp toward R · 2008: -16.3pp · 2024: -47.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.1 2020: R+48.6 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+32.7 2008: R+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.11%
Current HPI
305.0335
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2012-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
  • 2012-06-14 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-05-02 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-01-13 Listed $74,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,222 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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