17250 NW 26th Ct · Trenton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this spacious and well-maintained concrete block home situated on a beautiful 1-acre lot in Executive Homes subdivision in Trenton, Florida. Offering 1,859 heated and cooled square feet, this 4-bedroom, 2-bath home provides the perfect combination of comfort, durability, and country charm. Inside, you'll find a warm and inviting living area centered around a cozy wood-burning fireplace, perfect for gathering with family and friends. The functional floor plan includes a dedicated utility room and pantry, providing plenty of storage and convenience. Step outside to the screened back porch, an ideal place to relax and enjoy the peaceful North Florida setting. Built to last, the home
Key facts
- Mature fruit trees
- Screened back porch
- Fenced backyard area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt and concrete parking surfaces
- Home design: Single-family detached residence; Residential property in the Executive Homes subdivision
- Construction: Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built on 1.03-acre lot
- Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Interior features: Pantry; Six total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-318 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (20.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (32.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (32.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#207 in FL, #3,078 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $149k; list at $270k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.05%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $293,722
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 909 SW 103rd St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,744 (-6%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $158 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $126,716
- Equity at exit
- $243,147
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.15×
- Total profit
- $388,991
- Equity at exit
- $524,356
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32693
- Home prices YoY
- 14.8%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,818 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$226 /mo · $2,712/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $-318
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-165 | -5% $-241 | +0% $-318 | +5% $-394 | +10% $-471 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-461 | -5% $-390 | +0% $-318 | +5% $-246 | +10% $-174 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-182 | -0.5pp $-249 | base $-318 | +0.5pp $-388 | +1.0pp $-459 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$269,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,712 · $226/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,712 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,814
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$2,712
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,745
- − Management
- −$1,745
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$8,708
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,090
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,723/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Levy
- NCES district ID
- 1201140
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,254
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4673
- State rank
- #54 of 73 in FL
Livability — Trenton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #207
- US rank
- #3078
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,692
Population outlook (Levy County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,536 people
- By 2030
- 34,498 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 30,294 · -17.1%
- By 2050
- 26,368 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 19,003 · -48.0%
- By 2100
- 13,169 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Levy
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.6% · R 74.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 46.81%
- Current HPI
- 363.4299
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+246.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $269,900 DGLMLS
- 2024-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $149,000 Public Records
- 2001-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,712 · -23.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…