255 Barnes Ave #255 · New Haven, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 61.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors take notice! Condominium in a convenient location in New Haven. This two-bedroom, 1-bathroom offers over 920 square feet, needs work. Close to area restaurants, shopping, and schools. Located on the bus line for easy transportation. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Washer and dryer
- Finished basement
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $149k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.8% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#31 in CT, #2,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
- New Haven School District (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #147 of 153 in CT (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $149k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.12%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-13,366
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $710
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06511
- Home prices YoY
- -20.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,934 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$186 /mo · $2,235/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$320
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $178
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 430 Eastern St New Haven, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $1,832 | $2.04 | 2d | 2 | 0.23mi |
| 5 Assumption St New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $2,750 | $3.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 95 Weybosset St Unit 3 New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,800 | $2.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 339 Eastern St New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 505 | $1,600 | $3.17 | 43d | 6 | 0.49mi |
| 59 Foxon Blvd East Haven, CT | 1.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,850 | $2.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 631 Middletown Ave New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,775 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 80 New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,900 | $2.24 | 3d | 2 | 0.87mi |
| 110 Maltby St New Haven, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,550 | $2.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 57 Maltby St Unit 2nd Front New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 153 Dover St New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,800 | $2.03 | 11d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 153 Dover St Unit D New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,750 | $1.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 153 Dover St New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,750 | $1.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 232 Glen Haven Rd New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1397 State St Unit 6 New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,695 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1399 State St Unit 5B New Haven, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,595 | $2.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10 Rowe St New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 11d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 40 Exchange St Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,050 | $2.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 483 Ferry St Unit 3 New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 383 Lombard St #383 New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 968 | $2,100 | $2.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 30 Bright St Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 993 | $2,000 | $2.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1730 State St #312 Hamden, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,350 | $1.71 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1730 State St Hamden, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,400 | $1.77 | 18d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 261 View St New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,400 | $2.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 55 Pierpont St Unit 1 New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $2,100 | $2.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 55 Pierpont St Unit 1 New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $2,100 | $2.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 152 Lenox St New Haven, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 833 | $2,000 | $2.40 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $320 · $3,840/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-13status Under Contract
-
2026-04-09$149,000 Active
-
2022-03-03soldstatus $50,000 Closed 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Investors take notice! Condominium in a convenient location in New Haven. This two-bedroom, 1-bathroom offers over 920 square feet, needs work. Close to area restaurants, shopping, and schools. Located on the bus line for easy transportation. Schedule your showing today!
-
2022-01-05historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Investors take notice! Condominium in a convenient location in New Haven. This two-bedroom, 1-bathroom offers over 920 square feet, needs work. Close to area restaurants, shopping, and schools. Located on the bus line for easy transportation. Schedule your showing today!
-
2021-10-22$50,000 Active 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Investors take notice! Condominium in a convenient location in New Haven. This two-bedroom, 1-bathroom offers over 920 square feet, needs work. Close to area restaurants, shopping, and schools. Located on the bus line for easy transportation. Schedule your showing today!
-
2021-07-20historical
-
2021-07-19$49,900 Active
-
2007-07-13soldstatus $87,000
-
2007-04-18$89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$2,235
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,856
- − Management
- −$1,856
- − HOA
- −$3,840
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable loss
- −$10
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,137/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This two-bedroom condo requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Painting, refinishing, and updating the kitchen and appliances would significantly enhance its appeal.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Exterior siding — Significant weathering and discoloration
- Moderate Hardwood floors — Worn appearance
- Minor Interior paint — Slight fading
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and refinishing — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both New flooring — Improves living space and adds value
- Both Kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts more buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Significant weathering and discoloration | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Hardwood floors · Worn appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Interior paint · Slight fading | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and refinishing — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both New flooring — Improves living space and adds value ↑
- Both Kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts more buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Haven School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902790
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,058
- Composite
- 15.48/100
- National rank
- #9308
- State rank
- #147 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Haven
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #2190
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Haven, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 132,813
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,730
- Household income
- $59,969
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4999.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 34% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 8% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 15% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.05%
- Current HPI
- 328.1353
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
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Price history
+65.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $149,000 Smart MLS
- 2022-03-03 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Smart MLS
- 2022-01-05 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2021-10-22 Listed $50,000 Smart MLS
- 2021-07-20 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2021-07-19 Listed $49,900 Smart MLS
- 2007-07-13 Sold (MLS) $87,000 Smart MLS
- 2007-04-18 Listed $89,900 Smart MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…