9 E 29th St · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring Offers! Over $13,000 price reduction. Clean, but needs TLC.
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Huge backyard
- Fenced front yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Cunningham subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Property listed as fixer
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on 0.21-acre lot
- Exterior features: Patio; Chain link fencing; Paved, public-maintained city street frontage
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall/window unit cooling; Ceiling fans (cooling); Other heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bradford El (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,048 of 4,322 statewide, top 95%, 418 students, 94% FRL); Lincoln Middle (math 19% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 844 students, 78% FRL); Lake View H S (math 6% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,527 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,085 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 53% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 30% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the San Angelo ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.17%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $184,228
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 E 25th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,189 (+2%) | 1mo | $209,900 | $177 | 71 |
| 258 E 23rd St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,138 (-2%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $158 | 67 |
| 250 E 23rd St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,138 (-2%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $158 | 67 |
| 526 E 29th St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+3%) | 1mo | $179,000 | $149 | 66 |
| 266 E 23rd St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,138 (-2%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $158 | 65 |
| 59 W 34th St | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-4%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $156 | 60 |
| 76 E 23rd St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+10%) | 2mo | $193,500 | $151 | 58 |
| 2801 Bowie St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+7%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $176 | 57 |
| 2809 Bowie St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+7%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $176 | 57 |
| 2410 Brown St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,220 (+5%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $156 | 54 |
| 67 37th St | 0.56mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,048 (-10%) | 2mo | $139,900 | $133 | 42 |
| 310 E 38th St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 996 (-15%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $151 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,091
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $46,647
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76903
- Rents YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,377 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$236 /mo · $2,833/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $173
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $241 | -5% $207 | +0% $173 | +5% $139 | +10% $105 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $64 | -5% $118 | +0% $173 | +5% $227 | +10% $282 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $233 | -0.5pp $203 | base $173 | +0.5pp $142 | +1.0pp $110 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3212 Orchard Dr San Angelo, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1216 | $1,445 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2417 Oaklawn Blvd San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 897 | $1,550 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 312 E 23rd St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 510 E 28th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,102 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2917 JFK Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,102 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2921 JFK Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,102 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 939 LBJ Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,102 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 940 LBJ Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,102 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3302 N Bryant Blvd San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 559 | $975 | $1.74 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 810 W 19th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,249 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 540 W 16th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,364 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 706 W 16th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,590 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 134 E 11th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,025 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1714 Cordell Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,850 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$120,000 Active
-
2025-01-08$139,999 Active
-
2014-05-28soldstatus
-
2012-05-21soldstatus
-
2008-03-21soldstatus 65-char remark
Show marketing remark (65 chars)
Bring Offers! Over $13,000 price reduction. Clean, but needs TLC.
-
2008-02-20soldstatus
-
2008-02-18$45,900 65-char remark
Show marketing remark (65 chars)
Bring Offers! Over $13,000 price reduction. Clean, but needs TLC.
-
2007-05-21soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,833 · $236/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,833 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,529
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$2,833
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,322
- − Management
- −$1,322
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $238
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$57
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,016/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,947
- Household income
- $49,498
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1255.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 56% White 36% Two or more races 26% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 33%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.90%
- Current HPI
- 217.0406
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.46%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+161.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $120,000 SAAR TX
- 2025-01-08 Listed $139,999 SAAR TX
- 2014-05-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-05-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-03-21 Sold (MLS) — SAAR TX
- 2008-02-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-02-18 Listed $45,900 SAAR TX
- 2007-05-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+12.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,833 · +19.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…