Fourplex
1715 Saint Peters Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,499,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Legal 4 family 7 Bedrooms & 6 full bathrooms +5 Rooms in Basement, brand new 4 new biolers, 4 gas meters, shared driveway, shools, supermarkets, Subway 6 Train, Bus, prayer places in walking distance. More Photos are coming soon
Key facts
- 2,589 sq ft lot
- Built 1926
- Listed 139 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Quadruplex; Total building area approximately 3616
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront; No additional parcels
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit
- Bathrooms: Six full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: First floor bedroom; Finished full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 7-bed/6.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.50M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $281/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.41M (5.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.32M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $14,128/mo this rent would consume 253% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 4430% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $420k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.32M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $402k; list at $1.50M implies a 273% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.21%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-96,775
- Equity at exit
- $223,506
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $347,034
- Equity at exit
- $129,606
Cash invested: $419,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10461
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 35.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $14,128 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$7,861
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,551 /mo · $18,616/yr
- Insurance
- −$625
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,967
- Net cashflow
- $1,124
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 7 | 6 | $14,128 |
| #1 | 7 | 6 | $3,532 |
| #2 | 7 | 6 | $3,532 |
| #3 | 7 | 6 | $3,532 |
| #4 | 7 | 6 | $3,532 |
| Total (4 units) | $14,128 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $374,750
- Closing costs
- $44,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,499,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,499,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,499,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,499,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,499,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,499,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,499,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,499,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,499,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,499,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-01-29$1,499,000 Active
-
2026-01-01historical
-
2025-04-24price $1,549,000
-
2025-04-05price $1,599,000
-
2025-03-14$1,695,000 Active
-
2025-03-14historical
-
2016-06-29soldstatus $402,000
-
2014-04-16historical Withdrawn
-
2014-04-16historical
-
2013-08-27Active
-
2013-08-27$600,000
-
2011-02-11soldstatus $460,000
-
2003-10-20soldstatus $165,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $18,616 · $1,551/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $21,975 · $1,831/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,359/yr (+$280/mo · 18.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $169,536
- − Mortgage interest
- −$83,967
- − Property taxes
- −$18,616
- − Insurance
- −$7,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$13,563
- − Management
- −$13,563
- − Depreciation
- −$43,607
- Taxable loss
- −$11,275
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,706
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,197/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,012
- Household income
- $67,028
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4430.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 30% Asian 13% Two or more races 10% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 20% Cuban 1% Dominican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 13% Tagalog/Filipino 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.06%
- Current HPI
- 266.5457
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.99%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+808.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-29 Listed $1,499,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-24 Price Changed $1,549,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-05 Price Changed $1,599,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-14 Listed $1,695,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-14 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $402,000 Public Records
- 2014-04-16 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2014-04-16 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-27 Listed — HGMLS
- 2013-08-27 Listed $600,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $460,000 Public Records
- 2003-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $18,616 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…