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3523 Mobile Way 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 72.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -6.3

$44,000

3523 Mobile Way · Sacramento, CA 95834
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · Manufactured · 116 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 1973 Fair condition $42/sqft · 36% below area Est $68k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bedroom 2 bathroom doublewide home in Silver Eagle ALL AGE mobile home park. Space rent is $1,295/month. This home is ready for your personal upgrades and updates. The home features a carport on the right side and open space on the left. Parking on both sides of the home is possible. There's plenty of room for a garden, additional storage, or even another shed. The carport accommodates 2-3 vehicles comfortably. The community itself offers wonderful amenities including a laundry facility, plant nursery, two playgrounds, a picnic area with BBQ grills, horseshoe pit, community garden, walking track, and even a soccer field.

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Built 1973
  • Listed 115 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $44,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$68,310) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $44k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $988 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $44k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 36.6% vs local median 3.0% in Sacramento — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#218 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Twin Rivers Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #970 of 1,400 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Garden Valley Elementary (331 students, 90% FRL); Rio Tierra Junior High (292 students, 89% FRL); Grant Union High (2,040 students, 88% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 192 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 38d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A99 (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $40,040 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.08%
Cap rate
36.65%
Cash-on-cash
108.42%
DSCR
5.82
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$68,310
List price
$44,000
Delta
-35.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3602 Binghamton Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,075 (+3%) 0mo $415,000 $386 67
539 Lindsay Ave 1.04mi 3/2.0 1,018 (-2%) 0mo $360,000 $354 61
384 Du Bois Ave 1.08mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+5%) 0mo $432,000 $396 56
233 Arcade Blvd 0.88mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,003 (-4%) 1mo $310,000 $309 49
3100 Normington Dr 0.76mi 3/2.0 1,131 (+9%) 1mo $364,999 $323 49
3396 Ruby Sky Walk 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+25%) 1mo $416,990 $322 46
690 Acacia Ave 1.44mi 3/1.0 936 (-10%) 0mo $349,000 $373 44
200 Lindley Dr 1.00mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,158 (+11%) 1mo $300,000 $259 40
1140 Edmonton Dr 0.95mi 3/2.0 1,204 (+16%) 0mo $490,000 $407 40
3495 Cattle Dr 1.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 941 (-10%) 0mo $380,000 $404 40
2825 Normington Dr 1.12mi 3/2.0 1,206 (+16%) 1mo $440,000 $365 39
613 Morrison Ave 1.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,236 (+19%) 1mo $410,000 $332 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
94.5%
Equity multiple
5.22×
Total profit
$52,040
Equity at exit
$6,561
10-year hold
IRR
96.8%
Equity multiple
10.06×
Total profit
$111,628
Equity at exit
$3,804

Cash invested: $12,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
1 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$85,000 ($101/sqft)
Median days on market
5 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-35.1% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 95834

Home prices YoY
-13.2%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,794 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$231
Tax est. 1.5%
$55 /mo · $660/yr
Insurance
$18
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$988

Break-even live

Break-even rent $543
Max offer price $44,000
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,018 -5% $1,003 +0% $988 +5% $973 +10% $957
Rent -10% $846 -5% $917 +0% $988 +5% $1,059 +10% $1,130
Rate -1.0pp $1,010 -0.5pp $999 base $988 +0.5pp $976 +1.0pp $965

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,000
Closing costs
$1,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
47 Brook Bay Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1315 $2,495 $1.90 13d 1 0.38mi
581 Summer Garden Way Sacramento, CA 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,800 $1.87 51d 1 0.47mi
801 San Juan Rd Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 765 $1,615 $2.11 9d 3 0.56mi
3196 Kinnaird Way Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 830 $1,525 $1.84 71d 1 0.64mi
337 Potomac Ave Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 723 $2,100 $2.90 29d 1 0.68mi
300 Curran Ave Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 710 $1,695 $2.39 93d 1 0.77mi
310 Graves Ave Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,725 $2.16 41d 1 0.79mi
3462 Bridgeford Dr Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1336 $2,550 $1.91 93d 1 0.86mi
3250 Bozeman St Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1437 $2,500 $1.74 9d 1 0.86mi
290 Lindley Dr Sacramento, CA 3.0 1.0 1270 $2,350 $1.85 38d 1 1.05mi
441 Haggin Ave Unit C Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 1244 $1,895 $1.52 9d 1 1.09mi
3525 Cattle Dr Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1025 $2,295 $2.24 73d 1 1.14mi
3291 Rockhampton Dr Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,900 $2.32 27d 1 1.19mi
3291 Rockhampton Dr Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,900 $2.32 9d 1 1.19mi
4337 Norwood Ave Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 788 $1,895 $2.40 67d 1 1.27mi
4337 Norwood Ave Sacramento, CA 2.0 2.0 835 $1,895 $2.27 73d 1 1.27mi
4337 Norwood Ave Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 712 $2,025 $2.84 9d 8 1.27mi
2680 Grove Ave Sacramento, CA 3.0 1.0 1360 $2,700 $1.99 9d 1 1.28mi
2680 Grove Ave Unit NA Sacramento, CA 3.0 1.0 1360 $2,500 $1.84 32d 1 1.28mi
385 Bell Ave Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 890 $1,459 $1.64 56d 1 1.35mi
410 Bell Ave Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 754 $1,899 $2.52 13d 10 1.36mi
3047 Mill Oak Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1474 $2,650 $1.80 46d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $44,000 Active 116 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $44,000 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $44,000 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,000 Active 113 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A99 · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,526
− Mortgage interest
−$2,465
− Property taxes
−$660
− Insurance
−$1,722
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,722
− Management
−$1,722
− Depreciation
−$1,280
Taxable income
$11,955
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,869
After-tax cash flow
$8,985/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,200–$15,600 screening

This mobile home has average exterior and interior conditions, with faded paint and minimal landscaping. A fresh coat of paint and some landscaping improvements would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Components & finishes AI

Flooring tile

Deferred maintenance Est. $30,000–$90,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — roof appears damaged and missing shingles
  • Major Windows (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — windows appear old and possibly not sealed properly
  • Major Exterior (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — exterior siding appears worn and possibly needs repainting or replacement

Repairs flagged

  • Major Paint — Faded paint on exterior and interior
  • Minor Landscaping — Overgrown areas need trimming

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

Zoned Schools

Elementary Garden Valley Elementary Middle Nova Opportunity High Grant Union High

Schools (NCES district)

District
Twin Rivers Unified
NCES district ID
0601332
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$42,481
Composite
30.67/100
National rank
#11437
State rank
#970 of 1400 in CA
B Composite livability gradescore 71/100

Livability — Sacramento

Score
71/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#6957

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B- Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sacramento, CA
County
Sacramento County · 1,660,763 people
City population
761,410
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
36,245
Household income
$101,260
Rent vs Own
47.6% rent · 52.4% own
Severe rent burden
21% of renters

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 29% Hispanic / Latino 28% White 19% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
58% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 14% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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