🏷️ Likely Rental
3523 Mobile Way · Sacramento, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A99
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 27 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 33 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.3
$44,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom 2 bathroom doublewide home in Silver Eagle ALL AGE mobile home park. Space rent is $1,295/month. This home is ready for your personal upgrades and updates. The home features a carport on the right side and open space on the left. Parking on both sides of the home is possible. There's plenty of room for a garden, additional storage, or even another shed. The carport accommodates 2-3 vehicles comfortably. The community itself offers wonderful amenities including a laundry facility, plant nursery, two playgrounds, a picnic area with BBQ grills, horseshoe pit, community garden, walking track, and even a soccer field.
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1973
- Listed 115 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $44k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $988 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $44k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 36.6% vs local median 3.0% in Sacramento — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#218 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Twin Rivers Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #970 of 1,400 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Garden Valley Elementary (331 students, 90% FRL); Rio Tierra Junior High (292 students, 89% FRL); Grant Union High (2,040 students, 88% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 192 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 38d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A99 (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 108.42%
- DSCR
- 5.82
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $68,310
- List price
- $44,000
- Delta
- -35.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3602 Binghamton Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,075 (+3%) | 0mo | $415,000 | $386 | 67 |
| 539 Lindsay Ave | 1.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,018 (-2%) | 0mo | $360,000 | $354 | 61 |
| 384 Du Bois Ave | 1.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (+5%) | 0mo | $432,000 | $396 | 56 |
| 233 Arcade Blvd | 0.88mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,003 (-4%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $309 | 49 |
| 3100 Normington Dr | 0.76mi | 3/2.0 | 1,131 (+9%) | 1mo | $364,999 | $323 | 49 |
| 3396 Ruby Sky Walk | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+25%) | 1mo | $416,990 | $322 | 46 |
| 690 Acacia Ave | 1.44mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-10%) | 0mo | $349,000 | $373 | 44 |
| 200 Lindley Dr | 1.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,158 (+11%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $259 | 40 |
| 1140 Edmonton Dr | 0.95mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (+16%) | 0mo | $490,000 | $407 | 40 |
| 3495 Cattle Dr | 1.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 941 (-10%) | 0mo | $380,000 | $404 | 40 |
| 2825 Normington Dr | 1.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,206 (+16%) | 1mo | $440,000 | $365 | 39 |
| 613 Morrison Ave | 1.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,236 (+19%) | 1mo | $410,000 | $332 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 94.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.22×
- Total profit
- $52,040
- Equity at exit
- $6,561
- IRR
- 96.8%
- Equity multiple
- 10.06×
- Total profit
- $111,628
- Equity at exit
- $3,804
Cash invested: $12,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $85,000 ($101/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 5 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -35.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 95834
- Home prices YoY
- -13.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,794 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$231
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$55 /mo · $660/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$377
- Net cashflow
- $988
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,018 | -5% $1,003 | +0% $988 | +5% $973 | +10% $957 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $846 | -5% $917 | +0% $988 | +5% $1,059 | +10% $1,130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,010 | -0.5pp $999 | base $988 | +0.5pp $976 | +1.0pp $965 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,000
- Closing costs
- $1,320
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 Brook Bay Way Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1315 | $2,495 | $1.90 | 13d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 581 Summer Garden Way Sacramento, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 51d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 801 San Juan Rd Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 765 | $1,615 | $2.11 | 9d | 3 | 0.56mi |
| 3196 Kinnaird Way Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,525 | $1.84 | 71d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 337 Potomac Ave Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $2,100 | $2.90 | 29d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 300 Curran Ave Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,695 | $2.39 | 93d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 310 Graves Ave Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,725 | $2.16 | 41d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3462 Bridgeford Dr Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1336 | $2,550 | $1.91 | 93d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3250 Bozeman St Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1437 | $2,500 | $1.74 | 9d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 290 Lindley Dr Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $2,350 | $1.85 | 38d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 441 Haggin Ave Unit C Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1244 | $1,895 | $1.52 | 9d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3525 Cattle Dr Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,295 | $2.24 | 73d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3291 Rockhampton Dr Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,900 | $2.32 | 27d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3291 Rockhampton Dr Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,900 | $2.32 | 9d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4337 Norwood Ave Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,895 | $2.40 | 67d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4337 Norwood Ave Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 835 | $1,895 | $2.27 | 73d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4337 Norwood Ave Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 712 | $2,025 | $2.84 | 9d | 8 | 1.27mi |
| 2680 Grove Ave Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $2,700 | $1.99 | 9d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2680 Grove Ave Unit NA Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $2,500 | $1.84 | 32d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 385 Bell Ave Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,459 | $1.64 | 56d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 410 Bell Ave Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 754 | $1,899 | $2.52 | 13d | 10 | 1.36mi |
| 3047 Mill Oak Way Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $2,650 | $1.80 | 46d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $44,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $44,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $44,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $44,000 Active 113 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A99 · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,526
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,465
- − Property taxes
- −$660
- − Insurance
- −$1,722
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,722
- − Management
- −$1,722
- − Depreciation
- −$1,280
- Taxable income
- $11,955
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,869
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,985/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This mobile home has average exterior and interior conditions, with faded paint and minimal landscaping. A fresh coat of paint and some landscaping improvements would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $30,000–$90,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — roof appears damaged and missing shingles
- Major Windows (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — windows appear old and possibly not sealed properly
- Major Exterior (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — exterior siding appears worn and possibly needs repainting or replacement
Repairs flagged
- Major Paint — Faded paint on exterior and interior
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown areas need trimming
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Twin Rivers Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0601332
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,481
- Composite
- 30.67/100
- National rank
- #11437
- State rank
- #970 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Sacramento
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #6957
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sacramento, CA
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,660,763 people
- City population
- 761,410
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,245
- Household income
- $101,260
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 21% of renters
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 29% Hispanic / Latino 28% White 19% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 14% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.12%
- Current HPI
- 295.8305
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.82%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…