1504 6th Pl NW · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3br, 1.5 bath home with formal dining room and living room. Home has deck on side and storage building. Home located in cul-de-sac.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Deck on side
- Living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.62%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,275
- List price
- $104,900
- Delta
- -30.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1317 5th Pl NW | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,086 (+2%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $85 | 75 |
| 421 Wedgeworth Rd | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (+2%) | 2mo | $116,400 | $107 | 67 |
| 1209 Rose Lynn Ln | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+1%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $139 | 66 |
| 424 13th Ct NW | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,118 (+4%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $83 | 65 |
| 1360 5th Pl NW | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,220 (+14%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $76 | 60 |
| 409 13th Ct NW | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,118 (+4%) | 6mo | $98,672 | $88 | 60 |
| 1640 4th Way NW | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+7%) | 4mo | $149,900 | $131 | 58 |
| 512 16th Ter NW | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,225 (+14%) | 1mo | $183,000 | $149 | 55 |
| 1712 4th Pl NW | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,182 (+10%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $76 | 48 |
| 1240 Lynn Acres Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,224 (+14%) | 6mo | $168,000 | $137 | 46 |
| 505 18th Ave NW | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,220 (+14%) | 6mo | $89,500 | $73 | 38 |
| 1128 Cardwell Ln | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,225 (+14%) | 4mo | $93,500 | $76 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,168
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $24,564
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35215
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,249 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,302/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $344 | -5% $314 | +0% $284 | +5% $255 | +10% $225 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $186 | -5% $235 | +0% $284 | +5% $334 | +10% $383 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $337 | -0.5pp $311 | base $284 | +0.5pp $257 | +1.0pp $230 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 621 15th Ave NW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 500 15th Ave NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 4d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1356 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,105 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1612 Glenwood St NW Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1344 | $1,480 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1333 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1328 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,050 | $0.84 | 17d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1305 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 434 15th Ter NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1301 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 400 13th Ave NW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $890 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 769 15th Ct NW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1130 | $1,310 | $1.16 | 12d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1232 Oakwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1301 | $1,223 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 324 13th Ter NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $1,295 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 405 13th Ct NW Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $1,415 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1732 6th St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 4d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1225 Birchwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,175 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1617 3rd Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1237 Linwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1066 | $995 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1700 4th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $1,075 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1712 4th Pl NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1182 | $1,150 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1153 Linwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,295 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 108 13th Ave NW Center Point, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,265 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1801 Carson Rd Unit 2 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $600 | $0.75 | 11d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1821 Carson Rd Unit 2 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $765 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1821 Carson Rd Unit 3 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $580 | $0.72 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 433 Orchid Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,255 | $1.08 | 17d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1827 Carson Rd Unit 7 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1332 | $950 | $0.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1827 Carson Rd Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1332 | $1,125 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 405 18th Ave NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,299 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 217 Killough Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 120 Shawnee Ln NW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,075 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1628 1st St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,150 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1112 Violet Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1629 1st St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,025 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 305 18th Ct NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $1,100 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1541 Charter East Cir NE Birmingham, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 807 | $1,095 | $1.36 | 3d | 8 | 0.98mi |
| 1628 1st St NE Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1027 | $1,165 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 241 Mamie Ln Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,495 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1905 2nd St NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,395 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 113 19th Ave NW Center Point, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,250 | $0.89 | 12d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $104,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $104,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $104,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-04-13price $104,900 131-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
3br, 1.5 bath home with formal dining room and living room. Home has deck on side and storage building. Home located in cul-de-sac.
-
2026-01-27$109,900 Active 131-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
3br, 1.5 bath home with formal dining room and living room. Home has deck on side and storage building. Home located in cul-de-sac.
-
2025-12-11soldstatus $297,550
-
2025-02-07historical $1,050
-
2025-01-17$1,050
-
2018-02-27soldstatus $1,428,250
-
2016-07-29soldstatus $45,500 Sold 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Move right in to this nice one level 3 bedroom 1.5 bath home. Large deck overlooks the backyard. This is a Fannie Mae homepath property. Right of redemption may apply.
-
2016-06-17$49,900 Active 167-char remark
Show marketing remark (167 chars)
Move right in to this nice one level 3 bedroom 1.5 bath home. Large deck overlooks the backyard. This is a Fannie Mae homepath property. Right of redemption may apply.
-
1989-10-31soldstatus $45,000
-
1981-09-01soldstatus $42,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,302 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,302 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$1,302
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,199
- − Management
- −$1,199
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $1,835
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$440
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,972/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,903
- Household income
- $52,793
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1729.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.97%
- Current HPI
- 215.0607
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.04%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+144.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $104,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-27 Listed $109,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $297,550 Public Records
- 2025-02-07 Rental Removed $1,050 APPFOLIO
- 2025-01-17 Listed for Rent $1,050 APPFOLIO
- 2018-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $1,428,250 Public Records
- 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) $45,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-06-17 Listed $49,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1989-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1981-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,302 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…