630 Hunter Circle - Private Vacation Clb Unit 3 2ND HOME ALT · Pocono, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
$111,440
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled in the heart of the Pocono Mountains, a Private Luxury Vacation Club at Camelback Mountain in Tannersville, Monroe County, PA, offers an unparalleled mountain retreat. Situated on approximately 125.6 acres atop the Northridge of Camelback Mountain, this EXCLUSIVE club is less than two hours from New York City and Philadelphia. "The Family & Friends" One-time LIFETIME pricing of $111,440 grants you access to luxurious 1-5 bedrooms, offering the ultimate seclusion and comfort. Whether you're seeking a romantic retreat, an extended reunion, or a spontaneous spa weekend or golf/ski outing, this private haven caters to your every need, hassle-free. Vacation club participants will enjoy the privilege of inviting close family, friends, or esteemed guests from your circle to share in these exceptional experiences, ensuring every visit is as memorable as it is personalized. For those who value privacy and tranquility, these villas provide the perfect escape from the spotlight, allowing you to unwind and recharge in luxury. There is no fixed schedule for your stays, allowing you to book your time at the club at your convenience, year-round. With the flexibility to reserve your visits whenever it suits your lifestyle, this is a mountain or second home alternative without the traditional home ownership burdens. ONE-TIME, LIFETIME PRICING with financing options are available. You'll have exclusive access to a world-class clubhouse, featuring a heated four-season mountaintop pool with lap lanes and a jetted hot tub, a health and wellness center, a spa with hydrotherapy circuits designed by TLEE Spas and Wellness, a private movie theater, and a lounge with dining and beverages. Seamlessly utilize the concierge for dinner reservations, tee times, black car service, and tailored mountain experiences. Whether your interests include just relaxing by the pool or nearby hiking, water-sports, skiing, snowboarding, fishing, boating, biking, visiting water-parks, exploring wildlife parks and zoos, shopping at outlets, enjoying casinos, attending seasonal festivals and concerts, or experiencing vibrant nightlife, this Private VACATION Club at Camelback Mountain offers a year-round-four seasons escape perfectly aligned with your lifestyle. The LIFETIME pricing is $111,440 and comes with 320,000 points to book your stay. Points renew annually at no cost. The ownership type is Fractional Interest and is inheritable. This is NOT a permanent residence, Airbnb, or rental.
Key facts
- Garage
- Community pool
- Built 2023
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $111k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $111k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $751 of equity ($770 loan paydown + $-19 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 528 days — a 12% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 528 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 91.91%
- DSCR
- 5.09
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $519,569
- List price
- $111,440
- Delta
- -78.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2250 Camelback Dr | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,503 (-7%) | 14mo | $515,000 | $206 | 42 |
| 124 High Mountain Ln | 0.48mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,325 (-13%) | 8mo | $532,500 | $229 | 38 |
| 2210 Camelback Dr | 0.53mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,295 (-14%) | 9mo | $450,000 | $196 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 94.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.77×
- Total profit
- $148,922
- Equity at exit
- $32,263
- IRR
- 95.6%
- Equity multiple
- 11.91×
- Total profit
- $340,439
- Equity at exit
- $38,705
Cash invested: $31,203 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18372
- Home prices YoY
- -0.0%
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$584
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$139 /mo · $1,672/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$840
- Net cashflow
- $2,390
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,860
- Closing costs
- $3,343
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 386 Aspen Ct Tannersville, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1938 | $4,000 | $2.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $111,440 Active 528 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $111,440 Active 527 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $111,440 Active 526 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $111,440 Active 525 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $111,440 Active 523 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $111,440 Active 522 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $111,440 Active 520 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $111,440 Active 518 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $111,440 Active 517 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $111,440 Active 512 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $111,440 Active 511 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $111,440 Active 510 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $111,440 Active 509 DOM
-
2025-01-06$111,440 Active 2509-char remark
Show marketing remark (2509 chars)
Nestled in the heart of the Pocono Mountains, a Private Luxury Vacation Club at Camelback Mountain in Tannersville, Monroe County, PA, offers an unparalleled mountain retreat. Situated on approximately 125.6 acres atop the Northridge of Camelback Mountain, this EXCLUSIVE club is less than two hours from New York City and Philadelphia. "The Family & Friends" One-time LIFETIME pricing of $111,440 grants you access to luxurious 1-5 bedrooms, offering the ultimate seclusion and comfort. Whether you're seeking a romantic retreat, an extended reunion, or a spontaneous spa weekend or golf/ski outing, this private haven caters to your every need, hassle-free. Vacation club participants will enjoy the privilege of inviting close family, friends, or esteemed guests from your circle to share in these exceptional experiences, ensuring every visit is as memorable as it is personalized. For those who value privacy and tranquility, these villas provide the perfect escape from the spotlight, allowing you to unwind and recharge in luxury. There is no fixed schedule for your stays, allowing you to book your time at the club at your convenience, year-round. With the flexibility to reserve your visits whenever it suits your lifestyle, this is a mountain or second home alternative without the traditional home ownership burdens. ONE-TIME, LIFETIME PRICING with financing options are available. You'll have exclusive access to a world-class clubhouse, featuring a heated four-season mountaintop pool with lap lanes and a jetted hot tub, a health and wellness center, a spa with hydrotherapy circuits designed by TLEE Spas and Wellness, a private movie theater, and a lounge with dining and beverages. Seamlessly utilize the concierge for dinner reservations, tee times, black car service, and tailored mountain experiences. Whether your interests include just relaxing by the pool or nearby hiking, water-sports, skiing, snowboarding, fishing, boating, biking, visiting water-parks, exploring wildlife parks and zoos, shopping at outlets, enjoying casinos, attending seasonal festivals and concerts, or experiencing vibrant nightlife, this Private VACATION Club at Camelback Mountain offers a year-round-four seasons escape perfectly aligned with your lifestyle. The LIFETIME pricing is $111,440 and comes with 320,000 points to book your stay. Points renew annually at no cost. The ownership type is Fractional Interest and is inheritable. This is NOT a permanent residence, Airbnb, or rental.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,242
- − Property taxes
- −$1,672
- − Insurance
- −$557
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,840
- − Management
- −$3,840
- − Depreciation
- −$3,242
- Taxable income
- $28,607
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,866
- After-tax cash flow
- $21,813/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This luxury vacation club unit is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a high-end living experience with a stunning mountain view and a well-maintained exterior. Value-adding updates include landscaping and interior touch-ups.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Interior paint touch-ups — Maintains a fresh and inviting atmosphere
- Rental Regular HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Interior paint touch-ups — Maintains a fresh and inviting atmosphere ↑
- Rental Regular HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pocono
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,397
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Russian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Other Indo-European 12% Chinese 7% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▬ -0.02%
- Current HPI
- 147.7957
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-01-06 Listed $111,440 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…