776 Crestside Ct · Mableton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$178,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
END UNIT 2 MASTER BEDROOM TOWN HOME- THAT'S MOVE IN READY. FRESH CARPET AND PAINT!
Key facts
- Built 1987
- Listed 106 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $178k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $236 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (2.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $162k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.0% in Mableton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#94 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute D-.
- Cobb County (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #25 of 174 in GA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 126 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,625 units permitted in Cobb County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cobb County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $178k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.69%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $174,420
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 776 Crestside Ct | 0.00mi | 2/2.5 | 1,292 (0%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $135 | 97 |
| 7224 Crestside Dr #1 | 0.08mi | 2/2.5 | 1,280 (-1%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $129 | 89 |
| 7221 Crestside Dr | 0.05mi | 2/2.5 | 1,280 (-1%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $117 | 87 |
| 774 Crestside Ct | 0.01mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,292 (0%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $128 | 85 |
| 796 Crestside Ct #1 | 0.04mi | 2/2.5 | 1,214 (-6%) | 5mo | $135,900 | $112 | 82 |
| 7238 Crestside Dr #79 | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,240 (-4%) | 2mo | $221,900 | $179 | 80 |
| 7220 Crestside Dr | 0.07mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,212 (-6%) | 8mo | $157,000 | $130 | 75 |
| 7236 Crestside Dr #80 | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,240 (-4%) | 13mo | $230,900 | $186 | 71 |
| 7240 Crestside Dr #78 | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,240 (-4%) | 13mo | $233,900 | $189 | 71 |
| 7264 Crestside Dr #66 | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,240 (-4%) | 13mo | $230,900 | $186 | 69 |
| 7266 Crestside Dr #65 | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,240 (-4%) | 14mo | $230,900 | $186 | 68 |
| 937 Pine Oak Trl | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,480 (+15%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $91 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-17,651
- Equity at exit
- $26,540
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-11,122
- Equity at exit
- $15,390
Cash invested: $49,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30168
- Home prices YoY
- -25.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,742 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$933
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,592/yr
- Insurance
- −$74
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$366
- Net cashflow
- $236
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,500
- Closing costs
- $5,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 859 Springchase Dr Austell, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $5,800 | $3.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 595 Riverside Pkwy Austell, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $1,059 | $1.09 | 5d | 7 | 0.36mi |
| 575 Riverside Pkwy Austell, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $1,189 | $1.40 | 2d | 6 | 0.38mi |
| 1032 Winterglen Way Austell, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1506 | $2,075 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1138 Summerstone Trce Austell, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,736 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1047 Winterglen Way Austell, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $1,879 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 325 Riverside Pkwy SW Austell, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $1,448 | $1.41 | 44d | 9 | 0.76mi |
| 304 Flagstone Way Austell, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,480 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 597 S Gordon Rd SW Mableton, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $4,500 | $4.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6970 Shenandoah Trl Austell, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,300 | $1.57 | 2d | 23 | 0.84mi |
| 283 Flagstone Way Unit 283 Austell, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 7440 Riverside Pkwy SW Austell, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 3d | 4 | 0.98mi |
| 1350 Ambercrest Way Austell, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1390 | $2,061 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1357 Ling Dr Austell, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,805 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 7073 Allison Ct Austell, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1760 | $1,100 | $0.62 | 5d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 879 Howard Ct SW Mableton, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 20d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 848 Howard Ct SW Mableton, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,045 | $0.73 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7262 Bridgeport Ct Austell, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1390 | $2,020 | $1.45 | 20d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6607 Ivy Log Dr Austell, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,728 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 6619 Ivy Log Dr Austell, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1160 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6623 Ivy Log Dr Austell, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1160 | $1,600 | $1.38 | 19d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 6702 Songwood Dr Austell, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1527 | $3,200 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 6761 Armonia Dr Mableton, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,600 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 214 Kinship Dr Mableton, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6719 Armonia Dr Mableton, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,600 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6715 Armonia Dr Mableton, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 6712 Ivy Log Dr Austell, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 6660 Mableton Pkwy SE Mableton, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,378 | $1.53 | 2d | 8 | 1.45mi |
| 7036 Ivy Pointe Row Austell, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1629 | $2,000 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-20historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-17price $178,000
-
2026-02-11historical $1,299
-
2026-02-11price $188,000
-
2026-01-07$192,000 Active
-
2025-11-08price $1,299
-
2025-10-17price $1,350
-
2025-10-10price $1,375
-
2025-09-26historical
-
2025-09-18$1,425
-
2025-09-18historical $1,375
-
2025-09-17$1,375
-
2025-06-26$202,500 Active
-
2024-07-10historical $1,375
-
2024-06-26price $1,375
-
2024-06-06$1,425
-
2024-06-06historical $1,425
-
2024-03-21historical $1,425
-
2024-03-21$1,425
-
2024-03-20$1,425
-
2018-11-20soldstatus $77,900
-
2018-11-19soldstatus $77,900 Sold 84-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
END UNIT 2 MASTER BEDROOM TOWN HOME- THAT'S MOVE IN READY. FRESH CARPET AND PAINT!
-
2018-11-19soldstatus $77,900 Sold
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
END UNIT 2 MASTER BEDROOM TOWN HOME- THAT'S MOVE IN READY. FRESH CARPET AND PAINT!
-
2018-11-11status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
END UNIT 2 MASTER BEDROOM TOWN HOME- THAT'S MOVE IN READY. FRESH CARPET AND PAINT!
-
2018-11-11status Pending 84-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
END UNIT 2 MASTER BEDROOM TOWN HOME- THAT'S MOVE IN READY. FRESH CARPET AND PAINT!
-
2018-10-26$79,900 Active 84-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
END UNIT 2 MASTER BEDROOM TOWN HOME- THAT'S MOVE IN READY. FRESH CARPET AND PAINT!
-
2018-10-26$79,900 New
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
END UNIT 2 MASTER BEDROOM TOWN HOME- THAT'S MOVE IN READY. FRESH CARPET AND PAINT!
-
2005-05-19soldstatus $94,000
-
2000-11-16soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,592 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,638 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- +$46/yr (+$4/mo · 2.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,909
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,971
- − Property taxes
- −$1,592
- − Insurance
- −$890
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,673
- − Management
- −$1,673
- − Depreciation
- −$5,178
- Taxable loss
- −$67
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$16
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,851/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cobb County
- NCES district ID
- 1301290
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,845
- Composite
- 37.93/100
- National rank
- #4308
- State rank
- #25 of 174 in GA
Livability — Mableton
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #7534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cobb County · 777,758 people
- City population
- 41,829
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,612
- Household income
- $64,059
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 993.0
Population outlook (Cobb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 868,385 people
- By 2030
- 929,614 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 1,047,533 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 1,155,537 · +33.1%
- By 2075
- 1,405,030 · +61.8%
- By 2100
- 1,555,058 · +79.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% Hispanic / Latino 21% White 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 20% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cobb
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 56.9% · R 42.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +24.3pp toward D · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+14.3 2016: D+2.1 2012: R+12.6 2008: R+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.55%
- Current HPI
- 246.7995
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.77%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+154.3% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-04-20 Contingent — FMLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $178,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-11 Rental Removed $1,299 FMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $188,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-07 Listed $192,000 FMLS
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $1,299 FMLS
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed $1,350 FMLS
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $1,375 FMLS
- 2025-09-26 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-09-18 Listed for Rent $1,425 FMLS
- 2025-09-18 Rental Removed $1,375 BUILDIUM
- 2025-09-17 Listed for Rent $1,375 BUILDIUM
- 2025-06-26 Listed $202,500 FMLS
- 2024-07-10 Rental Removed $1,375 RENTLY
- 2024-06-26 Price Changed $1,375 RENTLY
- 2024-06-06 Listed for Rent $1,425 RENTLY
- 2024-06-06 Rental Removed $1,425 RENTLY
- 2024-03-21 Rental Removed $1,425 BUILDIUM
- 2024-03-21 Listed for Rent $1,425 RENTLY
- 2024-03-20 Listed for Rent $1,425 BUILDIUM
- 2018-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $77,900 Public Records
- 2018-11-19 Sold (MLS) $77,900 GAMLS
- 2018-11-19 Sold (MLS) $77,900 FMLS
- 2018-11-11 Pending — GAMLS
- 2018-11-11 Pending — FMLS
- 2018-10-26 Listed $79,900 GAMLS
- 2018-10-26 Listed $79,900 FMLS
- 2005-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
- 2000-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,592 · -13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…